Jack's Weather Report

Good Tuesday morning,

Looking at an active weather pattern starting over night tonight with a cold system bringing us rain in 2 different phases
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=38.4,-151.1,4z/date=2025-03-04,02:20,-8

Today, a cool start to the morning with lows in the 30s in the valleys and 40s along the coast . Highs today will be in the 50s to low 60s. A chilly day overall.

Tonight the first part of the system arrives. It looks like over night rain will arrive on the central coast, but hold off for us until later in the morning on Wednesday.

The first wave will bring lighter rain and 1/4 to 1/2 inch, with some areas seeing 3/4 of an inch. The second wave arrives Wednesday night and Thursday bringing in the coldest air. Snow level drops to 3000 to 4000 feet making it feel more like January weather instead of march, or spring weather. (this will mess with the poppies that are popping up in the Santa’s Ynez valley) it will also bring the heavier rain with hail possible and rain rates of 1/2 inch per hour. This will be the bigger part of the storm with greater accumulation. Coastal up to another inch and 1 to 3 inches the mountains, especially south facing.

Friday we clear out for the weekend, but chilly temps, warming into the mid 60s.

Another stronger system Sunday night and Monday. It also looks like we might see 2 systems next week which will really help our rain totals.

It looks like we will be moving into a wet pattern with 3 different systems over the next 10 days.

Today will be dry, but rain for the next 2. Then a break for the weekend. Then 2 more systems next week.

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Sunday was just one of those days, that outdoor activities were not top on the list. It even snowed at bear valley for a bit. Here windy and chilly was the reason for indoor activities.

Storm 1 is departing and it was really about the winds, plus the cold air. Rain was only some pockets with the mountains seeing the greatest rain with Figueroa mountain seeing .28, and the pass with .12, SB and Montecito saw a trace at .004.

With storm system #1 moving East and winds backing off it is all about the storm Tuesday night into Thursday storm.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=39.5,-149,4z

Today and Tuesday will be dry, with winds backing off this morning. It will also be cold days and chilly nights. Highs will be in the 50s during the day and 40s at night.

Tuesday night rain will start north to south, and this next system will bring us a good rain. This next system has south winds, counterclockwise rotation and the potential for some heavy rain. As always Santa Barbara will get hit hardest with south flow and rotation against our local coastal mountains. Looks like 1 to 3 inches in the mountains and coastal Santa’s Barbara 1 to 2 inches. Everywhere else 1/2 to 1 inch. Rain rates could be as high as 1/2 inch per hour which could cause some flooding in the fire areas.

The storm clears out on Thursday then we will have Friday through Sunday with nice weather, but cooler.

Next week it does appear the models are still calling for 2 more systems between the 10th and the 15th of march, with above normal rainfall.

Jack Martin

Good windy Sunday morning,

You can see the wind pattern with clouds flowing down from the north
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=43.1,-125.9,4.35z

This system arriving today is taking a more inside track, which means it is moisture starved and we will see less rain and more wind because this is a very cold system.

Snow levels overnight will drop to 3000 feet. Rain that occurs will be showery in nature and 1/4 inch or less.

Monday and Tuesday colder and windy, with northwest winds.

Wednesday and Thursday the next system arrives. This system is looking stronger with 1/2 to 1 inch coastal and 1 to 2 inches in the mountains. It will also have a more southerly component so Santa Barbara can see more rain than other areas.

Once the mid week system clears out we will see a nice rest of the week and weekend with 70s for all and 1 more hour of evening daylight next Sunday.

Looking into the week of the 10th to the 15th it looks like we will be getting into a wet pattern with above normal rainfall predicted. Still to far out to pin down, but it looks like a wet pattern the second week of March.

Have a great day, not a lot of rain, but you will feel the wind

Jack Martin

Welcome to March and a new month. With the start of a new month, you can feel the change with cooler temps and higher humidity in the air.

You can see the low-pressure system spinning to the north, but not really causing any rain at this point. https://zoom.earth/

It does look like we will get some rain Sunday into Sunday night, but more showery in nature, with less than ½ inch in total. The snow level will drop to between 3 to 4 thousand feet.

Sunday some showers, but nothing crazy, just chilly temps with highs to 60 degrees.

Monday and Tuesday look dryer with fair early spring weather before more rain arrives Tuesday night into Thursday day.

This system is still developing, but it will be the strongest of the 3. At this point we are looking at ½ to 1 inch of rain.

Beyond we will dry out and next weekend looks to warm back up into the 70s and some low 80s in the valleys.

Looking well into the extended forecast we are looking for the next system around the 12th of March, it is way to far out to make a call on this.

In the meantime, the days are getting longer. March generally brings us an average of 2.5 inches, then rain really drops off April and beyond.

Time will tell, turn off the sprinklers for the next week, and hopefully longer

Have a great weekend.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning and the last day of February 2025.

I hope everyone has enjoyed the mixed bag that 2025 has brought us in February.

The first half of the month brought us good rainfall, but the second half the tap turned off and we had dry and very hot weather for this time of year. Actually hot weather with highs in the 80s for most of the areas the past few days.

That is behind us now and changes are a coming, starting today. We have the first of 3 systems that will begin to affect us. Today you can see the cut off low lightly spinning off the coast. This should only cause onshore flow and 10 degrees cooling.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=40.1,-122.3,4z

It does appear that March will start a lot like February with wetter weather. Saturday March 1st will be fair with just cooler temps. Possible a few light showers, but more likely in the hills than along the coast.

Sunday into Sunday night we will see the rain move in. This first system will bring some ran but less then 1/2 inch. It will be nice to dampen the ground which has been drying out for the past 2 weeks. (time to turn your sprinklers back off)

Next week, it looks like windy Monday and dry weather for the first 2 days. A stronger system arrives Tuesday night or sometime Wednesday. This should give us a good soaking with around an inch of rain at this point.

Moving beyond long range models into next weekend brings us another chance for rain, and this might even be a bigger system.

It has been a great warm few days but that is in the history books now. A few broken records, but most stayed in place, the 80s were great while they lasted.

Now we are close to March, the days are getting longer with daylight showing up at the 6am hour. This must mean daylight saving time is coming and the clocks will be turned ahead in 9 days.

It will also be nice to see some more rainfall between that period.

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

What a fantastic day it was on Wednesday. If you missed it for some reason, you have one more day before we go back to cooler and a pattern change.

Looking at zoom earth, you can see a low pressure system out in the pacific working its way towards the west coast.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/

This system will be felt on Friday with temps 10 degrees less than today. This first system is also moisture starved, so chances of rain Friday night and Saturday are 10 to 20% only.

On Sunday into Monday it gets more interesting. The low that is rolling in late Friday and Saturday will cut off and give us a cut-off low. Yes these get tricky to track there movement and intensity. At this point we do expect some rain Sunday into Monday, but 1/2 inch or less. However remember cut-off lows are like 2 year old kids, you never know where they will roam.

There is a 3rd system that will deliver us rain Tuesday night into Wednesday. This system is likely to bring us a decent rain with upwards of 1 inch of rain.

After the midweek system long range models indicate another stronger system between 8th to 10th of march. We will need to watch how this all tracks, but needless to say the rainy season is not over and we will be seeing how much wet stuff the month of March brings us.
Just a quick recap, because I love cliff notes.

1. Today, enjoy the last fantastic sunny day with 70s and 80s
2. Friday cooler by 10 degrees
3. Saturday cooler, with a slight chance of rain
4. Sunday and Sunday night, watch my updates to see where the 2 year old is wondering too, but we will see some rain
5. Monday into Tuesday slight chance for rain, but cooler and not much
6. Tuesday night and Wednesday a good system will bring us all rain
7. Late next weekend a bigger system can cause heavier rain, stay tuned
8. The best news of all. 3am Sunday the 9th of march we turn our clocks forward and we get daylight into the 7pm hour.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

We have been advertising this day for a week now, and you will not be disappointed. Today will be the warmest day of the year to date and it will likely be a while before we see it again. With some records to be broken today. So, let’s get to it ….

Today will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal with highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s, with some 90s sprinkled in. Starting off the day it is warmer in SB at 54 degrees and cool 37 in Santa Ynez but warming to 86 degrees today.

This is all due to offshore winds and a dome of high pressure https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=35.3,-126.8,4z

The fantastic weather will begin to back off Thursday with highs 10 degrees less, but the real change will be Friday when we change to onshore flow, and we can even see some fog or drizzle in the morning. Cold air dives into the area and highs along the coast will only be in the upper 50s.

Saturday a bare ridge will be upon us, but short lived and Sunday brings us a chance for rain, now don’t get too excited because this will be a very weak system with no more than ¼ to ½ inch of rain. (we will take anything at this point, so we are so far behind)

Next week will start with partly cloudy weather and another system arriving mid-week on Tuesday or Wednesday. This system looks to be a little stronger with up to 1 inch of rain. These are not big systems, but as mentioned we will take what we get at this point.

Looking way into the future the long-range models do show a possibility of a good system coming in around the 10th of March.

My goodness, can you believe that that March is just a few days away.

In the meantime, we need to focus on the present … Today will be what we call a Chambers of Commerce day, with just incredible weather.

Enjoy this great day, start your day early, so you might be able to enjoy the outdoors later in the afternoon and evening.

Daylight hangs around now into the 6pm hour.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

Where it is February by date, our weather the next week will feel like August.

You can call this whatever you want, but we will be treated with fantastic weather for at least the next 6 days.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.02975463867186&lat=34.601563177240905

Today off shore winds will create a mild Santa Ana event and warm us up.

It looks like all areas will see highs of 72 to 80 degrees. Right now it is chilly in the Santa Ynez valley at 37 degrees, but expect a 45 degree rise in temps today.

Saturday warmer and the same for Sunday. 80 plus is likely in most locations.

Next week high pressure breaks down Monday then ramps back up Tuesday and Wednesday. The national weather service forecast shows downtown LA with 90 to 98 degrees… that’s crazy to see even 90 in February, but more is nuts.

Enjoy the summer time weather

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

I have a forecast that everyone is going to love after some winds today.

First of all go to your closets, and find your summer attire.
No you do not need a suitcase for a trip to Mexico Because there weather will be here this weekend and into early next week.
https://www.weather.gov/lox/

Now for the details, High pressure off shore winds are going to bring temps 5 to 10 degrees above normal. Each day we will get warmer starting Friday and last into Monday. We will see mid 70s starting Friday then warming into the low 80s on Sunday and Monday ….. Now get this!! Some areas like Woodland Hills might see low 90s.

I know that’s not what we expect in February, but we will enjoy a few days of it.

The only sad part of the forecast is we are still way behind on our rain totals with only 2 good storms this year. Worst of all there is likely no rain for the rest of February and into early March. At this point we are 3 to 6 inches behind normal and climbing since there is no rain in the forecast.

Let’s hope for a March miracle, if you remember 1995 like I do we had 17 inches of rain in 1 month after an extremely dry rainy season. (Am I dating my age ? ,remembering 30 years ago ) 😂
We will not even discuss the lack of rain until the hot weather is behind us.

All you need to know is get ahead of the curve and get ready for an incredibly warm next 4 days.

Enjoy, and don’t forget sunscreen and a hat. Your skin is not ready for this yet.

Our forecast is great compared to all those poor freezing soles in the Midwest and east coast with snow storms and below 0 temps. By the way you have my permission to call, text, or email family and friends in those area with our weather.

Have a great weekend, the beaches will likely be quite busy ….

Enjoy,

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

After being gone most of last week in North Carolina and Phila
(it was snowing Saturday afternoon when I left Phila) it is great to be back in California!

Yesterday I was sitting on my deck loving the warm temps and the birds chirping. Feeling like spring is getting closer, And this is how we eegway into this weeks’s forecast.

You are going to love the weather this week, because it will be spring like. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast, valleys will even approach 80 degrees later in the week.

East coast folks will be in heaven if they come west for this week
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=193&y=118&site=lox&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=193&map_y=118

Enjoy the great weather, there is no rain for the next week and maybe the rest of the month

Jack Martin