Jack's Weather Report

April 2019 El Nino Update

By Jack Martin on May 20, 2019 at 03:06 PM

Ok, so here is the latest El Niño forecast. You can read all the details and learn lots of stuff, or you can just look at this map.

You see all the blue colors in the Pacific.

That tells you the water temps are higher then normal and the likelihood for another El Niño is good for 2020.

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/april-2019-el-niño-update-you-are-here

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Saturday 5/18/19

By Jack Martin on May 20, 2019 at 03:01 PM

Did you see the full moon out there? Pretty bright in the west this morning, if you were up with me.

Today will start out nice with clouds moving in this afternoon as the low pressure system moves closer.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.66102600097652&lat=34.44542371620851#.XN_6gIplCfC

Tonight, the rain is back. It will start up in SLO around sunset and move towards us.

Expect rain to begin around 11pm in Santa Barbara. This is a fairly quick moving system and the rain will pretty much be over by sunrise. 

How much?

1/4 to 1/2 inch coastal and double in the mountains. Not as much as Wednesday night - Thursday’s storm, but still quite a bit for this time of year. 

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Windy 5/15/19

By Jack Martin on May 20, 2019 at 02:48 PM

Good Friday morning,

Pretty impressive rain totals, especially in the Santa Barbara and Santa Ynez Area. 

These areas saw close to 1 inch coastal to 1 .5 in the mountains. 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA

Today we will continue with northwest winds today and again tonight. 

There is lots of Action flowing across the skies, with clouds moving though the jet stream quickly. 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Saturday, a quick ridge builds in, making for a nice day. Saturday night, the next low approaches the central coast.

This low is further north then yesterday’s, so there will not be as much rain, however it is likely.

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5/16/19 Impressive Rain Totals

By Jack Martin on May 16, 2019 at 02:55 PM

Good Thursday morning, 

While we were sleeping, we had a good steady rain. For Santa Barbara county it was very impressive. The low pressure system is currently over point conception and beginning to move East. This will allow steady rain to back off and turn to showers. 

Chance of showers will persist into the afternoon, then the rain turns to wind.

Northwest winds through the afternoon into tonight’s. 20 to 30 miles an hour.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Friday, a weak ridge builds in and temps rebound slightly. Saturday will start out the same.

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5/15/19 Rain Forecast

By Jack Martin on May 15, 2019 at 02:46 PM

Good Wednesday morning, 

Another cloudy day for all. Today will be dry for the most part with some morning dampness. 

Tonight the Action begins. Rain will start from north to south.

SLO will see rain begin around 9 pm and move south. SB should see the rain about midnight. LA by dawn. 

This is a late season storm that will give us more than spotty rain totals.

Rain along coastal areas will total around 1/2 inch and mountains can see 1 to 2 inches.

“ that’s pretty crazy for this time of year” 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Rain will taper to showers Thursday by noon. 

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Good Tuesday Morning 5/14/19

By Jack Martin on May 14, 2019 at 03:03 PM

Good damp morning, 

Fog at my house is pretty thick. Quite damp outside with moisture in the driveway. 

This trend will continue today and Wednesday. Clearing will occur slowly as the day turns to the afternoon.

Some beach areas will likely see no sun again. 

Wednesday afternoon, low pressure arrives.

This will create a chance for rain in the central coast Wednesday night and spread south over night. 

Thursday will bring rain for everyone.

This is more like a February storm, with colder air support and will bring rain instead of showers.

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5/13/19 Monday Morning

By Jack Martin on May 13, 2019 at 03:01 PM

Good Monday morning, 

What a great Sunday. Mother’s Day outside was fantastic. We traveled to Santa Ynez and enjoyed a great afternoon at Sunstone winery.

What a great spot with kids running everywhere, sunshine and of course wine for moms. “I was the DD so water was my main course.”

Today and Tuesday should be just like Sunday. Temps will creep into the low to mid 70s coastal after fog burns off.

Santa Ynez will have another great few days with highs around 80. 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

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5/12/19 Mother's Day Forecast

By Jack Martin on May 13, 2019 at 02:46 PM

Happy Mother’s Day. 

It will be a nice day after the fog and low clouds burn off. 

Today we should see some low 70s coastal and upper 70s in Santa Ynez. 

Overall great day with high pressure building in through Tuesday.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

It has been interesting to follow our weather this month. It is quite unusual to see as much rain chance as we have had.

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Happy Saturday

By Jack Martin on May 13, 2019 at 02:42 PM

Yesterday was an interesting day, with the low spinning all the rain around SB with really none, or very little here.

Actually, some mountain areas did get over an inch, Santa Ynez also saw a heavy shower but it is all over now.

Sunshine is back. It has been awhile since we have seen the sun.

The good news is the cut-off low is in northern Baja and has taken the rain chances to the south.

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5/10/19 Funky Weather

By Jack Martin on May 10, 2019 at 02:44 PM

Good Friday morning, 

Wow, this is an interesting weather day. Currently there is a low pressure system over Bakersfield and area around, causing rain inland. This area has seen ¼ to 1 inch so far.

Typically we see weather north to South, West to East, and even South to North sometimes. It is rare we see East to West, however today is one of those rare days. The San Marcos pass has even seen a little rain in the past hour .04. Sunlight will creep in around 5:30 so we will see what the skies look like.

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