Jack's Weather Report

Good Tuesday morning,

A weak low-pressure system will pass through the next 2 days. This really will not do much to our weather here.

Yes, if you listen to the TV they say 20% of thundershowers, but this is not likely here. Maybe to the south, but not here.

So what’s up? weak low pressure will bring more northwest winds tonight. Highs will remain in the 60s. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=37.3,-139.4,4z

North winds are not likely to cause any rain in the Santa Barbara area because of our mountains.

Wednesday the low will pass through and on Thursday we will start a warming trend.

It does look like a big warm-up into next week as high pressure and offshore winds will be the formula for hotter temps.

70, 80s, and 90s into the weekend and next week.

Have a great day!

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning, 

A cut off low over the Oregon coast is spinning to the north keeping us cooler.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=37.2,-131.9,4.38z

This morning as I went outside to feed Pearl it truly felt like a spring morning. All the birds were chirping and cool damp air smelled fresh. 

I do think Spring has arrived and there is no more looking back from this crazy season.

Today it will remain cooler with highs in the 60s. Tonight some northwest winds 10 to 20 miles an hour.

Tuesday the cutoff low will keep us cooler, but no rain here. A few mountain showers north or south are possible, but just chilly.

Wednesday, we will see where the cut off low drifts, but high pressure should start to build in and begin a warming trend.

Looking into the second half of the week we will finally see temps rebound and warm us into the 70s, 80s and even some low 90s in valleys by the weekend.

Enjoy the spring like week, we deserve it.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

Surprise to some, but not to me as SB saw 1/4 an inch of rain around 3am. 

As mentioned yesterday, we had another 1/4 coming and low and behold, there it is. 

This increased Santa Barbara rain total to 1.08 inch for this rare May storm. 
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA

The low pressure system is now pushing East and will mess with the rest of the country. The rain early this morning was wrap around moisture as the main low is south and East of our area. Today we will see more sunshine slightly warmer by 3 to 6 degrees, but 60s at best and 10 to 15 degrees below normal. 

Saturday another weak system, that will do nothing more then bring high clouds and cool temps remain in the 60s. 

Saturday afternoon and night some north winds will blow mildly keeping fog out of SB for Sunday, but allowing it to form in other coastal location. 
Sunday a nice over all day, some valleys might hit 70  but nothing any warmer.

Next week, if you are looking for a warm up, it will not happen. No rain next week, but 70s should return. A system rolls into the Pacific Northwest keeping us cool though mid week. 

Thursday into the weekend the forecast is not 100%, but it does look like a ridge will build in and we will warm up to at least normal 70s- 80s. 

This year and season today has been very interesting, but I think we can finally put an end to the turbulent weather and start to enjoy the weather we live in California for. 

Don’t put that sweatshirt away yet, but you can hang up the rain gear for the season. 

Enjoy the weekend,

Jack Martin

Good wet Thursday morning,

I started to type 3/4/23 because it is more like the beginning of March... Just crazy rain total for May. Montecito had 1.10 inch, Santa Barbara .87 https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA

Of course south facing mountains got the most rain. The low is spinning right over point conception and rain has shifted further south in Long Beach.

So what’s up for today? It looks like lingering showers today and another ¼ of an inch. Because this storm has moved so slowly the rain can linger into Friday with showers possible mainly in the mountains. Snow level is 4000 feet with high elevation snows. It will be a chilly day with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s temps to rebound very slowly with a cool weekend in the 60s.

Next week we will rebound to 70s, but only getting to normal temps for this time of year. The only good new is the rain is gone.

We will start to dry out today and peaks of blue skies are visible.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

This morning it is clear and cold out there. I had to turn my heater back on this morning.

It certainly does not look like rain right now, but It is coming. The cutoff low has just been spinning for days with very little movement.

https://zoom.earth/ It does look like most of the rain will hold off till later in the day. Tonight into Thursday morning RAIN “finally.”

Around ½ to 1 inch coastal, 1 to 2 inches in the mountains. Snow level 4000 to 6000 feet and as low as 3500 feet. Higher elevations up to 12 inches of snow in May.

The amazing part about the snow this season is there is still 80% of the snow at resort levels that has not melted. Water supplies will just continue, well into the summer.

When will the rain chances end, well cut off lows have a mind of their own and are a weather mans wows.... or better analogy is like a 2-year-old, you never know where they will go.

It does look like rain showers can continue into Friday and possibly Saturday. The rain will be very showery , but it may not move out until Saturday morning.

Looks like Friday night Santa Barbara can get a good blast of northwest winds due to pressure gradience. The weekend will warm slightly with 60s for highs, but rain is out of the picture.

Next week , we are dry, and warming back into the 70s . The storm system we experienced will drift across the country making havoc for others.

Enjoy the rain, trust me it is coming... summer will come I promise.

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

The cold wind last night cleared out the marine layer, but it is chilly out there. Temps right now are in the upper 30s to upper 40s.

Today it will be cold with most areas only hitting the 50s. You can see the cut off low forming now with nice counterclockwise Action.

https://zoom.earth/ 

Rain is also on its way to us, likely arriving later in the afternoon. It is hard to believe that it is May, and we are looking at a classic low-pressure system like this.

This storm will spin counterclockwise then drop ever so slowly. The low-pressure system might even linger into Saturday with showers possible. Personally for us I think it will be gone by Friday.

This is also a system that is loved by the Santa Barbara mountains with enhance rain because of the south facing mountains. The rain over the next 3 days will be very showery in nature.

We are looking at .75 to 1.25 on south facing mountains, and .40 to .75 coastal and valleys. As for the weekend we are looking dry, but cooler with highs in the upper 60s. Next week rain chance goes away, and the forecast is dry.

Rain really will be Tuesday night through Wednesday night, any rain beyond that will be showery. I flew back form SF last night and the winds over the ocean were howling.

You can also see lake Cachuma on the first photo (zoom in and you will see it)

Rain is falling in SLO as we speak:  https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard

Enjoy the rain, for one last time till late October (I think !!!)

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning, May 1, and interesting first week of May to come.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=29.8,-119.6,5.49z/date=2023-05-01,05:50,-7

This morning the fog has taken to about 5000 feet, causing drizzle and some light rain and foot hills and valleys.

As you can see the low pressure system to the north is starting it’s truck south and you can see the cold air with the white spiky dots from the satellite.

This will arrive this afternoon and everybody will be chilly in the 50s and 60s for highs.

Depending on how the low cuts off from the main front, showers could linger into Friday at this point.  

Looks like the best chance of rain is going to be from Tuesday night to Wednesday night. Coastal area should receive around a half inch, mountains around an inch if the front cuts off, south-facing mountains of Santa Barbara could see additional rainfall.

Any rain that we receive will be showery in nature through a 2 to 3 day period.

Looks like the weather should clear up for the weekend and will start a warming trend for the weekend and into next week.

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning and the last day of April.

Where overall April has been a pretty good month, we can’t stay the same for the beginning of May. This morning the marine layer is thicker along the coast at about 1500 feet, and has moved into some of the valley area. You can also see the distinct low pressure system that is spinning counterclockwise up in the Pacific Northwest. This will influence our weather over the next four days.

 https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=34.1,-122.2,4z

Today will be cool and foggy along the coast, some warming in the valleys, but this will be the last warm day for a while.

Tonight will bring in a deeper marine layer and possibly produce some drizzle into Monday morning. Looks like a few 100s in the of an inch to a 1/10th. Cooling will be 12 to 25°. Into Tuesday the low pressure system will move south and cut off from the main low. It will remain cooling, but should remain relatively rainless into at least Tuesday night.

The best chance of rain will be Wednesday into Thursday with most Models agreeing. The rain that occurs between Tuesday and Thursday will be showering in nature. It looks like 1/3 to 2/3 of an inch of rain, coastal and 3/4 to to 1.25 

In the foothills. Snow level actually get down to 4500 feet. Looks like Thursday night rain chances will be behind us and we will start to warm up for the weekend. This late season storm will be kind of an encore to all the rain that we have seen here this season.

Hopefully, after this week, we will get into a dry warming pattern and put this rainy season behind us.

Sorry for the bleak forecast, but I only report them.

Have a good Sunday!

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

The weekend is close, and for some it has arrived. Especially if you work a flex week like the City of Santa Barbara and Action roofing.

Today is an off day for field workers. As they sleep in, and it is all about the fog of the day. The marine layer, like all week, will start us out with fog. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/

The good news is high pressure is building in and the marine layer will break up earlier each day. It looks like clearing along the coast will come around lunch time today, and in the Valleys mid-morning

Highs will vary today as simple as 70 coastal, 80 valley and 90 in the desert and lake Nacimiento. Then Saturday will be the warmest day of the week and weekend. Marine layer will be squashed allowing all areas to climb around 5 degrees.

Sunday is still a nice day, but high pressure moves East and a low-pressure system to the North moves into the Pacific Northwest. This will change the weather for next week. The forecast is becoming a little clearer for the first week in May.

Monday the marine layer deepens, and some drizzle and light rain is possible, especially in LA area. It also cools off quite a bit. The warmest inland areas can see temps drop 15 degrees.

Tuesday the low drops south bringing everyone a chance for rain North to south. Rain is likely Tuesday night through Wednesday night, then Wednesday afternoon into Thursday in LA.

At this point it looks like the heaviest rain will be in LA where 1 to 2 inches are possible. Here in SB less rain, but still likely. It is still too hard to call with how much, but for now we will go with ½ coastal to an inch in the mountains.

That’s still crazy for this time of year, but it will be nothing like the winter months. There are still models that vary the rain, so this is nothing to count on until we get into Sunday and Monday .

All we can count on is cooler weather along the coast and warmer in the Valleys. If you want 80s, drive to Santa Ynez on Saturday and hit a winery.

Otherwise, a few good western playoff games tonight with Golden state at 5pm and lakers at 7:30 pm tonight.

Have a nice weekend.

Updates to come!

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

There has been lots of chatter out there about next weeks weather, and possible May rain.

We are looking at a nice warm up through the weekend, especially in the valleys. Then next week it all changes back to March weather.

Let’s start with the now forecast, then we will get into the extended forecast.

As you can see the low clouds and fog has been persistent along the coast which will keep the temps down right along the coast.

Last night at my house the fog started to roll in at 6 Pm and has thickened overnight and has drifted into some of the valleys this morning
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=36.4,-105.7,5z

Today we will see clearing in the afternoon along the coast and mid-morning in valleys where fog exists.

Highs today will be in the upper 60s along the coast, but 80 in the valleys. There is high pressure and some northeast winds.

The winds will vary from northeast to northwest. Northeast means offshore, Northwest on shore. This is why coastal areas will see fog.

Friday and Saturday the marine layer will shrink along the coast and clearing will occur earlier. Highs along the coast Friday and Saturday will be in the low to mid 70s. If you want warmer just go over the hill in the Santa Ynez Valley where mid 80s are likely. If you want hot, go to the desert or Nascimento where 90s are likely, this is all typical spring-early summer weather.

Sunday a strong low moves into the pacific northwest, this will cool us off, but that’s about it.

Monday we will stay cool and maybe even some drizzle as the marine layer deepens.

Tuesday the low moves closer to us, models at this point looks like no rain until Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Wednesday we are looking at some rain, how much is still real widespread and will be defined as we get into the later part of the weekend.

The wettest models suggest we could see 1 to 3 inches, dry models ¼ to ½. Time will tell, but it does look like we can see rain Wednesday and possible Thursday.

Just crazy, as we thought the rainy season as over. Don’t panic yet, just keep an eye on the forecast.

In the meantime enjoy a great weekend!

Jack Martin