Jack's Weather Report

Happy Halloween day,

Another chilly day, to my surprise on Wednesday there was frost on roofs in SB early yesterday morning. Today another chilly to start the day, as a low pressure system is pushing through this morning, doing nothing more the cooling the air. Highs today will be in the 60s for all. The only rain will be in SLO and less then 1/10th of an inch

Tonight and Halloween, some sundowner winds, but overall great evening to take the kids out for Halloween 🎃. Temps in the 60s and some 50s as you get into the 8 pm hour.

Friday overall good but cooler day, but another system will be right on the heels of the last. Models have been struggling with the possibility of mixed results, but this morning they came back with dryer scenario for Saturday. It does still look like some rain will occur Saturday, but more to the north and less in Santa’s Barbara.

The latest is the front will approach over night Friday into Saturday north to south.

Rain in SLO and northern Santa Barbara county Saturday morning, maybe 1/4 of an inch. Rain chances for Santa’s Barbara Saturday afternoon 60% for 1/10 to 1/4. Not much rain. Slight chance for Sunday morning, but mainly over the mountains.

Sunday morning will be cooler starting in the 50s and warming into the 60s.

It should be a great cooler day with great Mountain View’s of the clouds drifting by.

Overall a great day for the 1/2 marathon in Santa Barbara, a picture perfect day.

Next week looks to be dry though mid week with slightly warmer temps.

Have a great Thursday and Halloween 🎃, and how about those Dodgers winning the World Series after the Yankees gave up 5 unearned runs in the 5th inning. It is not a good day for the Yankees, because they beat themselves. Overall however, it was a great series with 2 extremely talented teams, I wanted game 6 but that’s how the ball bounces sometimes. Have a fun Halloween 👻

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Clear skies out there this morning made a great view of the rocket launch at 5:07 am.

For those of you that were up at that time. I was outside watching it rip along the sky.

It was pretty amazing with the super clear skies.

Regarding our weather, we will have 2 systems affect us over the next 5 days. System one is approaching now. This will do nothing more the give us chilly temps with some high clouds and rain possibilities from Monterey north on Halloween day and night …. Here where we live, really no effect. Cooler days and some frost in the early mornings. For the most part, dry through Friday.

Now for the second system, that one is giving the computer models some trouble. Each model seems to give a little different outcome, but we are likely looking to see some rain over night Friday into Sunday. How much you ask? Well this depends on which model you believe. The further east the system is the less rain we will receive. The further west it stays the more rain we get. Since we do not know which computer to believe, we will go in the middle and average them. It does look like the middle indicates rain likely Saturday. 1/4 inch or less at this point, But if the system pushes further east we could see no rain. The opposite is true if it goes further west. We would see more rain. Bottom line we are at 70% likely we will get something out of this first Halloween timeline. Law of averages it will be on the lighter side.

From here, I will say stay tuned and by Friday we will know more.

Have a nice day, Halloween arrives on Thursday!

How about those Yankees getting one for Jeff last night!!
Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

Alert‼️ I messed up again Halloween is Thursday the 31st. (I propose getting rid of the 31 days in a month, that just confuses me 😂)

So don’t put your costume on till Thursday, or you will look like me saying Halloween is Wednesday night. Maybe I should stick to the weather.

Speaking of, boy that wind has been quite crazy the past 2 nights. Later today the low pressure system will move through and cool everyone off and winds will shift to the northeast.

It is perfectly clear out there this early morning. Glancing the skies the stars are bright and the early morning skies spectacular. 56 in Santa’s Barbara’s right now and 48 in Santa’s Ynez. Highs today will only be in the upper 60s in SB and 70 in the valley.

A cooler, but nice day other than the wind.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=41.4,-134.5,3.74z

A matter of fact, the entire week will be similar except the winds will go away. Expect highs to range in the upper 60s to mid 70s in SB and the valley.

Halloween (Thursday) will be perfect weather for the outdoor festivities. Starting in the 60s dropping into the upper 50s before bedtime.

Now as I always mention, out first rain always comes right around Halloween 🎃, Well, this is looking more likely to be fact on Friday night into Saturday day. This is not a big storm, but our standard 1/4 inch or less is likely now.

Have a great Tuesday, and how about those Dodgers ……
Can it be a sweep? I am not a betting man, but if it does happen I would bet New York will be a very quiet city later today. (game time 5:08 pm pacific time…)

Go Dodgers 👍

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Another month zipping by and so are the winds out there. Did you remember the forecast from Saturday when I said you would feel the winds, well that’s was true. I had to run out and put down my patio umbrella last night. The winds blew pretty strong all night as the low pressure system to the north is diving south creating nothing more them cooler days and wind. Wind will continue today from the northwest then shift to the northeast later Tuesday into Wednesday. Looking west Kristy is pretty much gone now and the tropical clouds and weather we had yesterday is moving out. I was at brunch at the boathouse and it was mighty tropical out there!

Looking at zoom earth you can see the systems to the north and also west. These will have little effect on us.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=41.4,-134.5,3.74z

Moving towards mid week. Halloween is Wednesday and it should be a good day and evening for the kids to dress up and gather candy for their parents.

Thursday and Friday looks like a weak system will affect us, but no rain here.

The weekend is still in question. It does look like systems are getting closer to us, but the forecast shifted from yesterday. This weekend is really not clear at this point but it does appear an inside slider may brush the coast and drop 1/4 of an inch or less. Don’t break out the rain gear at this point, but as we typically see around Halloween we get our first lighter rainfall.

What does this all mean? Well stay tuned and have a great week!

Jack Martin

Good Saturday morning,

Interesting weather pattern is out there, looking at zoom earth, but nothing more exciting than the Dodgers walk off grand slam in the 10th inning last night. Sadly it was past my bedtime so I had to watch the highlights at 5am, I heard my wife yelling with excitement 😂

Now weather, looking at the satellite you see a strong weather system forming in the Pacific Northwest to the north and a high clouds drifting over Southern California due to Kristy out in the western pacific.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=30,-113.7,4z/date=2024-10-26,02:20,-7

Today we are faced with a very damp start along the coast, at my house everything is damp due to the low fog. In santa Ynez it is a chilly 45 degrees right now, so break out that jacket or sweatshirt.

Today will clear to be nice this afternoon with highs in the low 70s along the coast and low 80s in the valleys.

Sunday and Monday the winds pick up and expect dampness in the morning.
Winds we be north and northeast, you will feel them.

Next week Monday and Tuesday the low pressure system to the north drops south and there is a 20% chance of drizzle or light rain Tuesday into Tuesday afternoon.

The second half of the week moves back to typical fall weather.
Enjoy the weekend, Dodgers game starts at 5:08 pm today and Duck 12:30

Go Dodgers and Ducks!

See you soon,

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

Looks like another weekend is arriving and overall it has been a quiet work week for weather. Nice warm weather has been the story, but this is going to change as we get deeper into the weekend.

Today we start with dampness and fog. Typical fall weather along the coast. Temps today will be mild with low 70s along the coast and low 80s in the valleys both today and Saturday after the fog burns off.

Sunday we start to feel the changes, first with the temps with highs only into the 60s along the coast and 70s in the valleys.

This is due to a weather disturbance in the gulf of Alaska that will bring a deeper marine layer, possible drizzle in the morning Sunday and Monday. The winds
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=37.3,-118.9,4z/date=2024-10-25,00:30,-7

This is a very typical fall pattern with rain chances still staying in the north only.

As the system approaches California it will produce some winds on and off into early next week, and much cooler temps with damp mornings.

The only flying the ointment is hurricane kristy out in the pacific. This might bring higher surf and high clouds into next week. (See zoom earth)

All in all the warm to hot weather will be replaced with cooler weather and some winds next week.

It does look like there is no real rain in our forecast through next week and likely into the first week of November, but generally we do see rain within Halloween and the first 2 weeks in November. We will see if this comes to pass. The best chance is looking into the weekend of the 10th.

In the meantime time pack a sweatshirt and expect your car to be damp.
Have a great weekend, and Go Dodgers!

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

It looks like we will have great weather through the weekend and into all of next week.

Today if you look outside, you will find clear skies and a full moon for the next few days https://zoom.earth/

Offshore Northeast winds this morning will compress the air and warm up Santa Barbara, it will be a great weekend with upper 70s to low 80s here in paradise.

Further south in Santa Ana wind country you will have some wind today tonight and Saturday. nothing crazy but 15 to 25 miles an hour is likely and 35 miles in the hills.

This of course is a fire concern as we always have this time of year due to dry brush and winds. highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s also except for the wind issue through Saturday.

Overall we will see a nice weekend and a fantastic weekend in Santa Barbara, just great Indian summer weather for southern California.

On the other spectrum, looking at Utah and Colorado you will find the first big snowstorm for the season.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/strong-weather-system-heading-utah-234120985.html
?fr=sycsrp_catchall

Pretty crazy to think we have hot weather and just east 700 miles they are getting snow.

Enjoy the great weather here, and check out the full moon this morning.

Have a great weekend,
Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Today weak front is moving through. This will do nothing more than cool off temps and keep the fog-clouds over us. Highs today will be below normal with 60s and 70s as highs. The front moves through LA later in the day and we will see a possibility of pockets of drizzle today and Thursday morning.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=41.4,-137.1,4.29z

After the front moves through, north winds will start up. First from the northwest then shift to the northeast later Friday and Saturday. This will bring temps back to above normal due to the winds compressing in the valleys rising the temps 5 to 8 degrees Saturday. Overall this is typical October weather where we see dining fronts then wind.

The weekend will be pleasant with sun returning. It does look like high pressure builds back in early next week with good overall weather to start the work week of next week.

Until then, not a lot of excitement, but wind, cooler and clouds are likely at times and some morning dampness.

More to come, we are on the second half of October, crazy to think November is 14 days away

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

Typical fog is with us to start the day. 1500 feet thick, this will melt away later in the day. Temps will be in the mid 70s coastal and around 80 in the valley.

You can see a weak front on zoom earth that will brush us Wednesday morning and overnight tonight. This will cause the Marine layer to thicken and cause some lift, which will result in some drizzle in areas Wednesday into Thursday. No real rain just damp mornings.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=32.7,-120,4z

As we get into the Friday and the weekend an inside slider will bring winds from the northwest then to the northeast. This is a very typical weather pattern for October as systems are still too far north to bring rain. Just damp mornings and wind at times.

Stay tuned,
Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,

How about those Ducks last night in Oregon beating THE OHIO STATE 😊 Ducks are #2 in the college football polls.

I had to get that in, but today is really about the upcoming weeks weather.

The week really starts out with high pressure thought Tuesday with temps in the valleys 10 degrees above normal with highs 78 to 88 degrees.

Along the Coast, typical morning clouds then highs in the mid-70s to 80 degrees in the foothills. Pretty much perfect weather for mid-October.

Tonight in Santa Barbara some sundowner winds will blow the fog out to sea, and we will start with sunny skies Monday morning

Wednesday a low-pressure system in Vancouver starts to work its way south. This will bring on some north winds to start. then it looks like an Eddy will form Wednesday into Thursday and with low clouds and possible drizzle. mornings could start out damp with drizzle in the foothills and valleys.

Looking further into the week, the low pass to the south then moves east, so winds return from the North then change to the northeast on Friday.

Not a lot of excitement in the forecast with the exception of the full moon arriving this week from the 17th to the 20th, this will be the biggest and fullest moon of the year lasting for around 3 days called the Hunters moon https://www.timeanddate.com/astronomy/moon/hunters.html

Then on the 21st we will see Meteor shower next Sunday with the Orion with 15 meteors per hour. That's your week of weather excitement

Have a great week,
Jack Martin