Jack's Weather Report

Good Monday morning

It was fun to watch the fog start to flow in last night around 7:30 pm (see attachment ) The days are getting quite a bit longer. Sunrise 6:34 am Sunset 7:26 pm

https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/santa-barbara

High pressure remains in place,  pushing any weather systems to the north. https://zoom.earth/#view=33.7,-110.3,4z/map=live

This week, typical spring-like weather all week long. A weak system passes through creating nothing more than a morning, low clouds, and some wind times. Today high pressure rolls some fog along the coast and clear in the valleys highest today along the coast will be in the upper 60s thanks to the fog, but upper 70s in the valleys.  

Spring has begun and Tuesday not a lot of change high-pressure moves east replaced by a very weak low pressure which will do nothing more than bring up some wind on Tuesday and Wednesday evenings along the coast along with cooler temperatures. As we move into later in the week really there are not a lot of changes, it looks like the weekend will be nice. High pressure will build in keeping everyone in the mid-70s for just perfect spring-like weather with no rain in sight.

Have a great week will be checking in.

Jack Martin

Happy Easter,

As we rise, I look outside and wonder what’s going on…. Fog !!! I have not seen low fog in months.

The fog level is a low 600 feet so this will burn off early, around 10 am. We will see a nice sunny day.

Here in SB, the fog will keep us in the low 70s, but the Valleys should rise into the upper 70s.

The great weather will continue into the beginning of the week, with highs remaining in the 70s Monday. https://zoom.earth/

Tuesday has some cooling, but still nice. Wednesday's weak low pressure will bring more marine layer and fog .possible a little drizzle Wednesday or Thursday morning.

Next weekend, sunny skies and high pressure builds back in to make a nice weekend. still no rain in sight….

let’s look at lake levels this is amazing https://www.co.monterey.ca.us/home/showpublisheddocument/22189/638132588340230000 Nacimiento is 94% and San Antonio is 67%

We all know about our local lakes are all full and we are close to double the annual rainfall for the entire rain year Oct 1 to Sept 30th https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf Amazing.

I hope everyone enjoys the great day out there, then it is back to work on Monday.

Jack Martin

Good windy Monday morning, 

Oh, the fun of the wind. There will be plenty of it today, especially in the mountains, looking at 70-mile-an-hour winds. Locally 30 miles an hour to blow those tarps around.
https://zoom.earth/#view=29,-110.4,4z/map=live 

Other than the wind, we will be chilly through Tuesday then we start to come out of the cold and calm throughout the week into the weekend. 

Not any big changes to the forecast, just wind the next 2 days, national championship game is tonight ( Go SDSU ) Did you know it has been 25 years since the west coast has been in the championship game? I hope that UCON does not blow SDSU away in the wind like our weather. Nothing to lose …. 

The rest of this week we will look towards warming and a great holiday weekend coming up. Happy birthday Dina, and I hope everyone has a great week!

Jack Martin

Happy April,

We are starting a new month the right way, with no rain Insight. Today is the first day of April for jokesters.

Here is one that I can relate to Can bees fly in the rain? Sure, if they wear yellow jackets!

With all seriousness, it is great to see dry weather through the entire week, with no rain. “How long has it been “

You are going to love your Saturday; it is going to be sunny and warm 4 to 8 degrees from Friday. still a few degrees below normal, upper 60s. 

Sunday some onshore flow, nothing exciting, a fair overall day. Sunday night a cold inside slider brings winds from the Northwest. https://zoom.earth/

Next week we will see dry weather with mostly clear skies, all week long and by the end of the week….. 70s … now how about that !!!!

Not a lot more to say but enjoy the dry weeks' weather. What am I going to do with all my extra time?

ok lastly let’s give some lake levels https://www.co.monterey.ca.us/home/showpublisheddocument/22189/638132588340230000 Nacimiento

https://www.vcwatershed.net/fws/reports/reservoir-report Ventura https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf Santa Barbara

You want to know about snowpack ? https://ktla.com/news/california/californias-all-time-snowpack-record-within-reach/

Have a great weekend.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

It has been a rough March with so much more rain, but today March ends and we welcome April on Saturday.

Happy birthday to Terri and Andrea. March has been an amazing month after an amazing January. With all the rain and snow in our local mountains,

It has been the coldest winter in 50 years.

We will talk about this picture for decades to come, March the 30th 2023. The Santa Barbara Mission with the hills behind yesterday (great photo Mike)

Today we start with sunshine and warmer weather. The best news is rain is not in the extended forecast. The weekend will be full of sunshine, even if it is cooler than normal.

Just look at these crazy numbers for the season to date with the rain. Santa Barbara is 35 inches, San Marcos pass 75 inches. We have almost doubled rainfall for the entire year to date.

We are 214% of normal, The pass is 222% of normal to date. This is absolutely amazing https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

and of course, all our lakes are full.

High pressure will build in today with just some high clouds at times and highs in the mid-60s, still 10 degrees below normal https://zoom.earth/

Saturday will be a great day with highs in the upper 60s and lots of sunshine.

Sunday is a nice day, but maybe some marine layer then wind in the evening from the northwest.

next week, a few inside sliders which means some wind, and no rain. April always seems to be quite windy with sundowners from the Northwest.

This will likely be part of our forecast all month. In the meantime let’s begin to look forward to putting this rainy season behind us, and beginning to enjoy the spring and summer months.

Can you imagine that we might have to turn the heater off and switch to AC in the months to come? It has been a long time.

Have a great weekend, and don’t be fooled on Saturday, April 1st

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Last night the rain came down hard in spirits as the low dropped south. Results we better than expected and totals for last night and the entire storm were greater than originally predicted.

San Marcos pass added another 3 inches to the season's totals SB 1.5 inches. last night everyone was .70 to 1.5 inches of additional rainfall https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA The low is dropping south then moving east this afternoon. Rain will be showery this morning then stops this afternoon. Currently just off the Santa Barbara coast.

https://zoom.earth/ . Here is the current radar  https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard  

The good news is we will see dry weather after today. There should be no substantial storms through mid-April. “Yes, that’s what I said “ amen

This does not mean any rain, maybe a few weak systems, but no substantial ones. let spring arrive and start to dry us out and warm us up.

Today, is chilly, with showers and snow levels at 3500 feet. highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s . 10 to 15 degrees below normal .  

Friday zonal flow which means no rain and more sun, with a few degrees of warming

Saturday and Sunday are more of the same. warming each day, but temps will still be below normal.

Next week a weak system will bring showers to the interior but should keep us dry. cooler, but what’s new?

As I said we are then looking at an extended dry period. April brings spring flowers and warmer temps. I am hoping this holds true. it has been a long wet rainy season.

Have a great day, 2 days left in March.

Jack Martin

On another rainy day,

Good Wednesday morning, for more rain …. Where the rain has been on the lighter side, it is adding up quickly. In general, the forecast has been right on track, but some higher totals so far.

Basically ranging from .50 to 1.5 inches so far, but climbing. The pass has seen over 1.5 inches. Goleta 0.70, surprisingly Montecito is at 0.47 but climbing now. The big winner so far has been at Rocky Butte with 2.5 inches.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA  You can see on the satellite that we are just seeing the leading edge of the front which will move past us in the next few hours before we will get a break before the heart of the storm arrives https://zoom.earth/ 

The main low is in Nor Cal and will move south quickly this afternoon, however, we will get a break this morning into mid-afternoon. Where the first part of the storm has been steady with overall light to moderate rainfall. The second wave will be Interesting, with heavier rain likely at times due to cold air, thunderstorms, and south winds. This will arrive later in the afternoon and last into Thursday Morning. The rain will be heavy at times, the total might not be as great as the first wave. We are likely looking at another ½ of an inch, coastal, and another 1 inch in the hills, higher amounts during thunderstorms.

All in all, this storm will over-perform than originally thought. “ That’s the story of this rainy season”.

Snow levels will drop today and bring snow down to 3000 feet tonight. Expect some snow in the local mountains Thursday morning. The system clears out Thursday afternoon and we are looking for a nice weekend, warming each day.

Saturday and Sunday we will warm into the upper 60s with lots of sunshine, and the second dry weekend in a row.

Next week, when the models are still not in agreement. There will be a weak system moving through early next week, but it is looking to be dry or at least weaker.

The good news is Saturday welcomes April, and we are hoping for spring weather and a warmer, drier month.

Enjoy the rain, it is adding up…   

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

Today should be a nice day before more rain arrives tonight. Last night it was a great sunset, it is nice to see later sunsets once again.

Today you can see the spinning low over the Pacific Northwest which will start its move south today  https://zoom.earth/ The only effect this will have today is some high clouds will start to roll in. Rain will start up later tonight from 5 pm to 8 pm ahead of the front.

This will bring rain overnight with light rain only. Rain totals overnight will b around 1/2 inch for most. Wednesday morning the first wave will be through, and there will be some clearing into the afternoon before the stronger, colder part of the storm arrives. This will bring unstable air, and heavier rain at times into Thursday morning. This will bring us some south winds, with the hills in Montecito can see some enhanced rain. Nothing crazy will this system. another 1/2 inch for coastal areas with a total of around 1 inch. mountains and foothills 1 to 2 inches. Nothing crazy, but another wet 36 hours.

Thursday we still can see some showers, but the system will move out by the afternoon. It does not look like the daytime hours Wednesday or Thursday will be a washout. We will see some sun breaks during the day. Most of the construction world will still be able to work both days.

Looking into the weekend we will be cool with a warmup Saturday and dry through at least Sunday. Next week the jury is still out with a few weak systems moving through to the north.

It Is more likely these will stay to the north of the forecast area, but time will tell.

April is near, and hopefully, drier weather will start to prevail.

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Another chilly start to the day with 32 in Santa Ynez, 39 in Camarillo, and 41 in Santa Barbara.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.0698547363281&lat=34.61796626893967

Highs today will vary due to the winds. Camarillo will see the warmest weather with 73 degrees due to the Santa Ana winds. SB 65 and Santa Ynez 68, overall a nice day after the cold this morning.

Tuesday now looks to be dry during the day, before the next cold system arrives Tuesday evening. Right now you can see the low-pressure system spinning in the Pacific Northwest.

https://zoom.earth/ This will drop South Tuesday and bring us more rain, cold temps, and Mountain snow. Snow levels will start off higher Tuesday night at 5000 to 6000 feet then drop on Wednesday to 2500 to 3000 feet by Wednesday night. Rain will start up Tuesday night and last through Wednesday night, and possibly into Thursday morning. We are expecting ½ to 1 inch coastal and 1 to 2 inches in the foothills and mountains. Thursday night the Spring Northwest winds will come up as the system clears out. As we work our way through another week and into the weekend, we will start a slight warm-up and dry weather.

We are looking for an extended period of dry weather. let’s hope that April will bring us dry weather and warming.

Enjoy 2 days of dry, before we get a storm with 1 inch or so of rain.

Have a great week, March is almost over …

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Finally a break from the rain, Amen. Today will not be cloudless but it will be dry. More sun on Friday and no rain until Tuesday.

First, let’s start with rain totals for the year to date.

This chart goes back to march 1st, so you will need to look at the graph and chart it yourself. As of yesterday, 8 am Santa Barbara is at over 33 inches for the year ( this does not include rain from yesterday). With yesterday's rain, we are over 34 inches. Normal rainfall is 18.24 inches. We are almost double for the year we are way over double for the season. I really think it will be hard to beat the record year of 1998, of 46.97 inches.

likely we will get to #2 for this year that goes until October 1st, 2023. Personally, there is no way I want to break a record;” I have had enough of this rain”.
https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Historic%20Data/Rainfall/historical%20graphs/100yr%20Rainfall.pdf 

Here is where we are at as of Wednesday at 8 am: https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

As you can see we are getting really high on the chart. With this last system, we have received 1.5 inches to 5.25 inches of rain in our local area. San Marcos pass is getting close to 30 inches, in the past 30 days https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA

Now the forecast for today and into the next week. You can see the North flow and the system moving out of our area. https://zoom.earth/

Today there will be some clouds and even some build-ups over the mountains. There is even a very slight chance for 1/10 of an inch of rain over the hills.

Tonight, north winds take over and we will see 20 to 25-mile-an-hour winds to the north with gusts of 35 miles an hour. We will see how the trees hold up.

Friday winds switch to the Northeast. Temps will only warm slightly, with frost in some valleys Friday night.

The weekend will be in the upper 50s to mid-60s. Sunny and dry through Monday day.

Monday night into Tuesday the next system shows up. another cold system with .75 inches of rain to 1.5 inches. Also cold with 4000-foot snow levels.

We are hoping this will be the last system for a while, enjoy the dry days for the next 5 days.

ok, that’s my weather for the day, now off to my day Job.

Enjoy the dry weather.

Jack Martin