Jack's Weather Report

Today is all about Santa Ana winds blowing from Ventura, south into LA.

High wind warnings are on from now into Thursday with the highest wind rates through the day. This also brings high fire danger for all areas where Santa’s ana winds occur.
https://www.weather.gov/lox/

Here in SB really no affect here. It will be warm through Saturday with no wind here.

Highs in the low to mid 70s and lows in the 50s.

Just over the hill in Santa Ynez cold nights, in the mid 30s, then warm days in the mid 70s. Quite a change in temps day tonight.

Looking into the weekend and early next week, there will be a series of weak systems that will bring us a chance for rain Monday into Tuesday. We will need to watch this closely and how much rain we will see.

In the meantime enjoy SB and hang onto your hats Ventura south.

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Are you ready for winds?
https://www.weather.gov/lox/

It will not be crazy in Santa Barbara, but in Santa Ana wind areas it will.

Just to the south, Ventura south it is going to blow hard. 55 to 80 miles and hour in the mountains, and 35 to 50 miles an hour in the mountains.

This will bring on extremely high fire danger in those locations, and likely power outages.

These will arrive tonight with northeast winds, then another round of northeast winds Wednesday into Thursday.

Overall in Santa Barbara a nice week with highs in the low 70s and lows in the 50s. winds will NOT be a factor here.

To the south it is all about the winds, both tonight, and then again Wednesday and Thursday.

Santa Ynez, chilly nights with lows around 40 degrees and highs around 75.

Have a great week!

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

Wow November first! Halloween was last night and October ended, it is November 1st today and let the holiday season begin.

It is crazy to think that Thanksgiving is 27 days away and Christmas 54 days. So let’s have some fun for a Friday morning.

Who is the queen of Christmas these days, well watch this video for 2024 and you will know, this is fun and brings in the holiday season.

https://youtu.be/XpSdD63j7Y4?si=pwX3GAz0wKOO_u9h
Thank you Marah Carey.

I hope everyone is ready for the weekend, so here is the forecast.

Today, a weak dying front is moving towards us. With all the talk of rain this week, rain is not looking good here in Santa Barbara any longer.

https://zoom.earth/

It does look like the central coast will see a little rain overnight Friday into Saturday morning. maybe 1/10 to max ¼ inch.

The Santa Ynez valley will also see some light rain, but 1/10 is about it. As the front rounds point conception it falls apart, with no southern wind support.

Just a quick explanation... “south winds will trigger some warmer subtropical moisture in a perfect condition, with our mountains facing south causes more rain. North winds will create a rain shadow for us which any rain that is in the air, drops north of our coastal mountains”

This means really no rain for Santa Barbara. There is still a 40% a Chance we will see some light stuff, but 1/10 or less, what this system will really do is bring on wind Saturday night. Expect North winds to come up Saturday late in the day and Saturday night. This will make Sunday a super day with clear skies and a great day for the Santa Barbara ½ marathon. Temps this weekend and into next week will be cooler, but perfect running weather. Highs in Santa Barbara will be in the mid to upper 60s and lows in the 50s. In Santa Ynez, a little cooler and warmer by day. highs will be in the low 70s and lows in the 40s with some upper 30s.

We also must bring up early Sunday morning. 3 am, we turn the clocks back to 2am. This is good news for the 7am start to the ½ marathon but bad for our late afternoons because day light end in the 5pm hour. Now let’s think about when we will see rain. In a nutshell not next week. We will see some winds only with a true Santa Ana wind event likely Monday and Tuesday (fire weather). If you really are looking forward to our first rain in sometime, it will likely be mid-November before that happens.

In the meantime, have a great weekend. and make sure you watch this video ; it will make you smile https://youtu.be/XpSdD63j7Y4?si=pwX3GAz0wKOO_u9h

Most of all have a great weekend!

Jack Martin

Happy Halloween day,

Another chilly day, to my surprise on Wednesday there was frost on roofs in SB early yesterday morning. Today another chilly to start the day, as a low pressure system is pushing through this morning, doing nothing more the cooling the air. Highs today will be in the 60s for all. The only rain will be in SLO and less then 1/10th of an inch

Tonight and Halloween, some sundowner winds, but overall great evening to take the kids out for Halloween 🎃. Temps in the 60s and some 50s as you get into the 8 pm hour.

Friday overall good but cooler day, but another system will be right on the heels of the last. Models have been struggling with the possibility of mixed results, but this morning they came back with dryer scenario for Saturday. It does still look like some rain will occur Saturday, but more to the north and less in Santa’s Barbara.

The latest is the front will approach over night Friday into Saturday north to south.

Rain in SLO and northern Santa Barbara county Saturday morning, maybe 1/4 of an inch. Rain chances for Santa’s Barbara Saturday afternoon 60% for 1/10 to 1/4. Not much rain. Slight chance for Sunday morning, but mainly over the mountains.

Sunday morning will be cooler starting in the 50s and warming into the 60s.

It should be a great cooler day with great Mountain View’s of the clouds drifting by.

Overall a great day for the 1/2 marathon in Santa Barbara, a picture perfect day.

Next week looks to be dry though mid week with slightly warmer temps.

Have a great Thursday and Halloween 🎃, and how about those Dodgers winning the World Series after the Yankees gave up 5 unearned runs in the 5th inning. It is not a good day for the Yankees, because they beat themselves. Overall however, it was a great series with 2 extremely talented teams, I wanted game 6 but that’s how the ball bounces sometimes. Have a fun Halloween 👻

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Clear skies out there this morning made a great view of the rocket launch at 5:07 am.

For those of you that were up at that time. I was outside watching it rip along the sky.

It was pretty amazing with the super clear skies.

Regarding our weather, we will have 2 systems affect us over the next 5 days. System one is approaching now. This will do nothing more the give us chilly temps with some high clouds and rain possibilities from Monterey north on Halloween day and night …. Here where we live, really no effect. Cooler days and some frost in the early mornings. For the most part, dry through Friday.

Now for the second system, that one is giving the computer models some trouble. Each model seems to give a little different outcome, but we are likely looking to see some rain over night Friday into Sunday. How much you ask? Well this depends on which model you believe. The further east the system is the less rain we will receive. The further west it stays the more rain we get. Since we do not know which computer to believe, we will go in the middle and average them. It does look like the middle indicates rain likely Saturday. 1/4 inch or less at this point, But if the system pushes further east we could see no rain. The opposite is true if it goes further west. We would see more rain. Bottom line we are at 70% likely we will get something out of this first Halloween timeline. Law of averages it will be on the lighter side.

From here, I will say stay tuned and by Friday we will know more.

Have a nice day, Halloween arrives on Thursday!

How about those Yankees getting one for Jeff last night!!
Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

Alert‼️ I messed up again Halloween is Thursday the 31st. (I propose getting rid of the 31 days in a month, that just confuses me 😂)

So don’t put your costume on till Thursday, or you will look like me saying Halloween is Wednesday night. Maybe I should stick to the weather.

Speaking of, boy that wind has been quite crazy the past 2 nights. Later today the low pressure system will move through and cool everyone off and winds will shift to the northeast.

It is perfectly clear out there this early morning. Glancing the skies the stars are bright and the early morning skies spectacular. 56 in Santa’s Barbara’s right now and 48 in Santa’s Ynez. Highs today will only be in the upper 60s in SB and 70 in the valley.

A cooler, but nice day other than the wind.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=41.4,-134.5,3.74z

A matter of fact, the entire week will be similar except the winds will go away. Expect highs to range in the upper 60s to mid 70s in SB and the valley.

Halloween (Thursday) will be perfect weather for the outdoor festivities. Starting in the 60s dropping into the upper 50s before bedtime.

Now as I always mention, out first rain always comes right around Halloween 🎃, Well, this is looking more likely to be fact on Friday night into Saturday day. This is not a big storm, but our standard 1/4 inch or less is likely now.

Have a great Tuesday, and how about those Dodgers ……
Can it be a sweep? I am not a betting man, but if it does happen I would bet New York will be a very quiet city later today. (game time 5:08 pm pacific time…)

Go Dodgers 👍

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Another month zipping by and so are the winds out there. Did you remember the forecast from Saturday when I said you would feel the winds, well that’s was true. I had to run out and put down my patio umbrella last night. The winds blew pretty strong all night as the low pressure system to the north is diving south creating nothing more them cooler days and wind. Wind will continue today from the northwest then shift to the northeast later Tuesday into Wednesday. Looking west Kristy is pretty much gone now and the tropical clouds and weather we had yesterday is moving out. I was at brunch at the boathouse and it was mighty tropical out there!

Looking at zoom earth you can see the systems to the north and also west. These will have little effect on us.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=41.4,-134.5,3.74z

Moving towards mid week. Halloween is Wednesday and it should be a good day and evening for the kids to dress up and gather candy for their parents.

Thursday and Friday looks like a weak system will affect us, but no rain here.

The weekend is still in question. It does look like systems are getting closer to us, but the forecast shifted from yesterday. This weekend is really not clear at this point but it does appear an inside slider may brush the coast and drop 1/4 of an inch or less. Don’t break out the rain gear at this point, but as we typically see around Halloween we get our first lighter rainfall.

What does this all mean? Well stay tuned and have a great week!

Jack Martin

Good Saturday morning,

Interesting weather pattern is out there, looking at zoom earth, but nothing more exciting than the Dodgers walk off grand slam in the 10th inning last night. Sadly it was past my bedtime so I had to watch the highlights at 5am, I heard my wife yelling with excitement 😂

Now weather, looking at the satellite you see a strong weather system forming in the Pacific Northwest to the north and a high clouds drifting over Southern California due to Kristy out in the western pacific.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=30,-113.7,4z/date=2024-10-26,02:20,-7

Today we are faced with a very damp start along the coast, at my house everything is damp due to the low fog. In santa Ynez it is a chilly 45 degrees right now, so break out that jacket or sweatshirt.

Today will clear to be nice this afternoon with highs in the low 70s along the coast and low 80s in the valleys.

Sunday and Monday the winds pick up and expect dampness in the morning.
Winds we be north and northeast, you will feel them.

Next week Monday and Tuesday the low pressure system to the north drops south and there is a 20% chance of drizzle or light rain Tuesday into Tuesday afternoon.

The second half of the week moves back to typical fall weather.
Enjoy the weekend, Dodgers game starts at 5:08 pm today and Duck 12:30

Go Dodgers and Ducks!

See you soon,

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

Looks like another weekend is arriving and overall it has been a quiet work week for weather. Nice warm weather has been the story, but this is going to change as we get deeper into the weekend.

Today we start with dampness and fog. Typical fall weather along the coast. Temps today will be mild with low 70s along the coast and low 80s in the valleys both today and Saturday after the fog burns off.

Sunday we start to feel the changes, first with the temps with highs only into the 60s along the coast and 70s in the valleys.

This is due to a weather disturbance in the gulf of Alaska that will bring a deeper marine layer, possible drizzle in the morning Sunday and Monday. The winds
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=37.3,-118.9,4z/date=2024-10-25,00:30,-7

This is a very typical fall pattern with rain chances still staying in the north only.

As the system approaches California it will produce some winds on and off into early next week, and much cooler temps with damp mornings.

The only flying the ointment is hurricane kristy out in the pacific. This might bring higher surf and high clouds into next week. (See zoom earth)

All in all the warm to hot weather will be replaced with cooler weather and some winds next week.

It does look like there is no real rain in our forecast through next week and likely into the first week of November, but generally we do see rain within Halloween and the first 2 weeks in November. We will see if this comes to pass. The best chance is looking into the weekend of the 10th.

In the meantime time pack a sweatshirt and expect your car to be damp.
Have a great weekend, and Go Dodgers!

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

It looks like we will have great weather through the weekend and into all of next week.

Today if you look outside, you will find clear skies and a full moon for the next few days https://zoom.earth/

Offshore Northeast winds this morning will compress the air and warm up Santa Barbara, it will be a great weekend with upper 70s to low 80s here in paradise.

Further south in Santa Ana wind country you will have some wind today tonight and Saturday. nothing crazy but 15 to 25 miles an hour is likely and 35 miles in the hills.

This of course is a fire concern as we always have this time of year due to dry brush and winds. highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s also except for the wind issue through Saturday.

Overall we will see a nice weekend and a fantastic weekend in Santa Barbara, just great Indian summer weather for southern California.

On the other spectrum, looking at Utah and Colorado you will find the first big snowstorm for the season.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/strong-weather-system-heading-utah-234120985.html
?fr=sycsrp_catchall

Pretty crazy to think we have hot weather and just east 700 miles they are getting snow.

Enjoy the great weather here, and check out the full moon this morning.

Have a great weekend,
Jack Martin