Jack's Weather Report

Good Wednesday morning,

Today weak front is moving through. This will do nothing more than cool off temps and keep the fog-clouds over us. Highs today will be below normal with 60s and 70s as highs. The front moves through LA later in the day and we will see a possibility of pockets of drizzle today and Thursday morning.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=41.4,-137.1,4.29z

After the front moves through, north winds will start up. First from the northwest then shift to the northeast later Friday and Saturday. This will bring temps back to above normal due to the winds compressing in the valleys rising the temps 5 to 8 degrees Saturday. Overall this is typical October weather where we see dining fronts then wind.

The weekend will be pleasant with sun returning. It does look like high pressure builds back in early next week with good overall weather to start the work week of next week.

Until then, not a lot of excitement, but wind, cooler and clouds are likely at times and some morning dampness.

More to come, we are on the second half of October, crazy to think November is 14 days away

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

Typical fog is with us to start the day. 1500 feet thick, this will melt away later in the day. Temps will be in the mid 70s coastal and around 80 in the valley.

You can see a weak front on zoom earth that will brush us Wednesday morning and overnight tonight. This will cause the Marine layer to thicken and cause some lift, which will result in some drizzle in areas Wednesday into Thursday. No real rain just damp mornings.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=32.7,-120,4z

As we get into the Friday and the weekend an inside slider will bring winds from the northwest then to the northeast. This is a very typical weather pattern for October as systems are still too far north to bring rain. Just damp mornings and wind at times.

Stay tuned,
Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,

How about those Ducks last night in Oregon beating THE OHIO STATE 😊 Ducks are #2 in the college football polls.

I had to get that in, but today is really about the upcoming weeks weather.

The week really starts out with high pressure thought Tuesday with temps in the valleys 10 degrees above normal with highs 78 to 88 degrees.

Along the Coast, typical morning clouds then highs in the mid-70s to 80 degrees in the foothills. Pretty much perfect weather for mid-October.

Tonight in Santa Barbara some sundowner winds will blow the fog out to sea, and we will start with sunny skies Monday morning

Wednesday a low-pressure system in Vancouver starts to work its way south. This will bring on some north winds to start. then it looks like an Eddy will form Wednesday into Thursday and with low clouds and possible drizzle. mornings could start out damp with drizzle in the foothills and valleys.

Looking further into the week, the low pass to the south then moves east, so winds return from the North then change to the northeast on Friday.

Not a lot of excitement in the forecast with the exception of the full moon arriving this week from the 17th to the 20th, this will be the biggest and fullest moon of the year lasting for around 3 days called the Hunters moon https://www.timeanddate.com/astronomy/moon/hunters.html

Then on the 21st we will see Meteor shower next Sunday with the Orion with 15 meteors per hour. That's your week of weather excitement

Have a great week,
Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Quiet weather on the west coast. On the East coast in Florida the clean up begins.

Milton is almost in the Atlantic and will just play havoc with ship traffic https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=12.5,-107.1,3.65z.

I am sure we will see lots of photos of the mess from the hurricane damage.

Here on the west coast, just great weather for the foreseeable future.
Along the coast highs in the low to mid 70s, in the valleys mid 80s.
Just great October weather with no excitement in our forecast.
To the south in Mexico where there was a potential for a tropical depression that has just gone away and it was completely taken out of the forecast.

Bottom line we will just see great fall weather on the entire west coast

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

Not much Action around here, a matter of fact our forecast is benign with just fog along the coast and above normal temps in the inland areas.

All the excitement is in the east in the Atlantic and the Gulf. Just look at 4 tropical depressions out in the sea right now.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7

Milton is the system that will clip most of Florida and land as a Cat 3 storm. As you watch the news you can see how bad this will be as most of Florida is extremely flat with storm surges this will wipe out a lot of areas as it did a week or so ago in North Carolina.

Speaking of tropical storms, looking west in Mexico there is a tropical depression south of Cabo that looks like it will turn into a hurricane in the next 48 hours and likely by the weekend it will move north and hug the coast. Most of coastal Mexico and Cabo is right in the pathway. This will need to be watched as the week goes on

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=7

Here back at home there is really no excitement with just calm weather, above normal in all valleys with highs in the 90s, along the coast 70s and foothills 80s with sunny skies after the fog breaks.

Enjoy the nice weather here, be glad you don’t live in Florida right now. It is going to be a busy few days, before the weather turns.

I was watching the news as everyone is getting out before the storm arrives Thursday

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning from Santa Ynez,

Wow, it is just crazy to think about the difference in temp from Santa Barbara to Santa Ynez. Saturday it was 103 here and today 101. Santa Barbara on the contrast will be 69 at the beach. That’s crazy for 30 miles away.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.04050493240356&lat=34.62755795089018

Also the days are getting shorter and shorter each day. Sunrise will not be till 7am this week and sunset is in the 6pm hour.

As far as what’s to come next week, we will continue to see hot weather in the valleys and very cool weather with fog at the beaches. Cooling will begin as we get into mid week in the valleys, but that’s means 90s instead of 100.

As we approach next weekend it does look like the valley might cool into the 80s where it is much more reasonable. Santa Barbara will stay in the mid 70s which is perfect weather. See you back in SB, I am out of the valley before it gets to hot.

Happy birthday Christine.

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning and the last day of September.

This week it is all about summer weather in the first week of October.

Looking at the map for southern California there are lots of colors https://www.weather.gov/lox/

When we see this there is something happening this week. This week it is all about the heat, except right at the coast.

This morning coastal areas will see fog to start the day, but inland areas heat up all week long.

High pressure has moved in and so has offshore flow. You know want this means, all valleys and interiors will be hot all week long.

Valleys will warm up into the 90s this week, interior back to 100 degrees and coastal areas will see 80s.

Indian summer will bring us great weather warm to hot conditions.

Welcome to the first week of October and summer weather!

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning and 9/20/24,

Lots of fun with the weather and weather report today.

We will talk about the low pressure system to the east, La Niña for the winter season and fun at the One805 event at Kevin Costner's later today.

We will start with the current weather.

It has been very interesting watching this low pressure system rotate counter clockwise in the middle of the state the last few days. If you look closely right over Bakersfield you will see the rotation of the system https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.78,-117.9,5.87z/date=2024-09-20,00:00,-7

Now it has been very interesting to watch, but coastal we have not seen any rain but to the East over the interior they have seen some heavy rain. This system has been moving very slowly down the coast for days now. It will move further East and South as the day goes on. In reality, along the coast, we really will not likely see any Action for a few reasons.

1. The system centers pretty far to the east and rain clouds are not making this far west
2. Due to the Eastern location and counter clockwise motion the north - south coastal mountain will keep the rain on the East side. This really means we will be in the “rain shadow.“ Now if this low was over the pacific ocean it would be a big rain event for us, but it is too far east.

Rain chances through the morning on paper is 30% for 1/10th or less here. That’s not much rain and 7 out of 10 areas will see no rain.

Highs today lower 70s. Tonight pressure gradients takes over and we will have a change in pressure as low pressure depart and high pressure starts to build in which means we get wind. We will see some wind later tonight up to 40 miles an hour, not crazy, but enough to take note.

Saturday high pressure builds in and we turn to summer conditions through Wednesday of next week. Highs will start in 70s, then 80s, followed by 90s in the local valleys with the hottest day being Monday. High pressure remains till Wednesday then a very weak low will do nothing more than increase the marine layer and cool us off.

Did I mention this was going to be a long weather report?

Now the second part of our forecast is about the El Nina - La Niña chances this winter this is where it gets interesting, and the link below is great, because you can listen to the rundown and look at graphics. If you don’t want to watch I will give you the cliff notes, but I encourage watch if you a weather buff.
Cliff notes ….
We are looking at a weak La Niña, which means dryer then normal in southern half of California, then wetter and colder in the Pacific Northwest and average in Nor Cal.

Weak La Niña mean an average of 83% of normal rainfall here for the winter, last year we had over 150% of normal and some areas 180% of normal.
Now watch and read this, it is very informative:
https://www.abc10.com/article/weather/california-la-nina-winter-wet-dry-conditions-rain-update/103-b00dc542-a681-40c0-998d-439e356a2de4

Now to the last item … the One805 event today. It should be a great event as it has been. A great out door event with a line up of great musicians who for the most part live locally, hosted by Kevin Costner to support the first responders of California and Santa Barbara https://one805.org/events/one805live-fall-2024/. There will be lots of celebrities there last year we got to see Oprah, Harry and Megan and others.

Just check out this line up, pretty cool that we live where we do and we have all these people living near us. Pink, Kenny logan’s, Alan Parsons, Kevin’s band, Al steward, Rich Marx and many more names.

The weather should be good with low 70s to start the show and cooling into the 60s at night. (Bring a light jacket) hopefully the wind will stay somewhat calm.

See you there, it will be a blast with my 5 hour energy keeping me awake till 9 or 10 pm. “Since my day typically starts at 2am when some close the bars ( not me ) … “

Have a great weekend and I hope I did not bore you 😃
…. See you at the 805 if you are there …

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

A very interesting weather pattern for the next 24 hours. Looking at zoom earth you can see the low pressure system spinning in the interior area, away from the coast.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=33.8,-129.1,4.84z/date=2024-09-19,02:00,-7

This is an unusual system for this time of year with some colder unstable air. This system is also well inland so the moisture supply is very limited because it is away from the Pacific Ocean. The low is also moving very slowly which means coastal areas will likely stay dry again today, however interiors have a flash flood watch in some locations due to the potential for thundershowers.

So what does this all mean for us ….. today along the coast is looking to stay mostly dry until tonight when we might see 1/10th of an inch of rain.

If you are to the northeast it is a different story. There is rain currently east of Paso Robles and thundershowers can bring heavy rain at any point today. https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard

I do remember a system like this last year with the same results. Interior area got heavy rain and coastal locations got nothing. We will see if this system follows the same line as the day and night progresses.

Bottom line rain chances along the coast have been reduced to 10% today and increase to 40% tonight. Inland valleys like Santa Ynez stand a better shot for some rain, but the real action will stay more to the East.

Friday the system goes East and we start a warming trend. This will bring back summer like weather through mid week, and possibly longer.

Temps will be in the 60s today, 70s Friday, 80s Saturday and valleys will see some 90s into next week. Just great weather if you want more summer temps.

Until then we will see what Action we get with this system.

Have a great day, I don’t think you need to change any outdoor plans unless you live well into the interior areas.

Have a great Thursday

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

We will have interesting weather over the next few days, it will be more January like then September like. Temps today will drop 5 degrees, and Thursday will be 10 to 20 degrees below normal.

Today, no change in weather. The low-pressure system to the north is slowing down and we will not see any rain until Thursday morning now and really this storm does not pack much of a punch.

You can see it spinning well to the north, and the rotation will not drop over us until Thursday morning https://zoom.earth/

SLO and northern Santa Barbara county may see some rain over night, but Santa Barbara south it looks like Thursday late morning will be the time we start to see rain.

This however will not be a big storm, looking at 1/10th of an inch or less.

Rain drops into LA later in the day, but weakening will bring less precept. SLO could see ¼ an inch, SB south 1/10. The biggest change is in the air temp where 60s for highs are likely for all.

Friday the system clears out and moves East. This will bring some warming, but temps will still be 5 to 10 degrees below normal, warming through the day 10 to 12 degrees.

Saturday through Monday, much warmer weather with temps rising each day. Monday will be the warmest of the next 7 days, with 90s in the valleys and 80s coastal.

Now you’re up to date, dry today, then some light rain Thursday and much cooler.

Jack Martin