Jack's Weather Report

Good Wednesday morning,

Over night we had rain. We received anywhere from 1/3 to 2/3 of an inch.
Not a huge rain maker, but today will be about the cold air, wind and showers.

Satellite shows the front has moved into LA but the cold air is just arriving. If you look at the little dots out in the pacific that’s the cold air and showers.
https://zoom.earth/

Not a lot more rain today, but some showers are likely. These will be in the form of snow above 4500 feet and showers below. These clouds will not hold much moisture because of the cold air. Expect shower chances through 10pm tonight.

Thursday and Friday will be dry and colder. Highs will barely make 60.

Saturday the next system moves in Saturday night. This is looking like it will be further inland so rainfall will likely be light if any, but don’t bet the house at this point, just stay tuned.

Enjoy the winter day and high surf. Thursday morning it will appear you can reach out and touch the islands because of the crystal clear skies from this wind and rain affect.

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning 2024,

This week winter arrives with the coldest storms of the the season. We will see a 1-2 punch tonight and Saturday night
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.3,-164,4z/date=2024-01-02,01:30,-8

This week will be a chilly one with highs along the coast only 60 degrees on Wednesday and snow levels at 4500 feet.
Today we will see sunshine with some high clouds mixed in and highs in the lower 60s.

Tonight the cold storm system moves in. Rain and snow 5000 feet and above. Some snow will fall on the grape vine. Rain should be on the lighter side with 1/2 to 3/4 locally and SLO county could see an inch.

This is a cold system and not a lot of moisture to work with. Rain will start over night tonight and Wednesday. It will be all over by Thursday.

Looks like Thursday through Saturday day will be dry, before the next system moves in with additional rain late Saturday night into Sunday.

This one will also be moisture starved and take a more inland track.

Expect 1/0 to 1/4 out of Sunday system.

Next week it looks like a ridge will build in and keep storms away for most of next week.

Happy 2024, let’s get out there and do it another year!

Jack Martin

Happy new year!

I hope everyone is having a great new years morning.

The start of 2024 will bring us 2 days of sunshine, but chilly weather.

The low pressure system that drifted by us yesterday is near San Diego and really did nothing but bring us cloudy skies and cooler temps.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=26,-114.7,4.7z/date=2024-01-01,03:00,-8

Today and Tuesday we will be sunny and cool with highs in the low 60s.

Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning we are looking at another rain event. Colder air the snow level will drop to 4500 feet and bring snow to the resorts.

There is not a lot of moisture with this next system, so it will be a 1 day event with 1/2 to 1 1/2 inch of rain.

Thursday the rain clears out and we will likely see dry chilly weather into Saturday.

Then Saturday night into Sunday another shot of rain. This one is even weaker then Wednesday's system and is looking to take a more inland track, which will make it moisture starved. Expect another 1/2 inch at this point.

Enjoy your New Year’s Day, sunny and clear out there right now.

High today around 63 degrees

Jack Martin

Good New Year’s Eve morning,

I am sure everyone is counting down the minutes till the new year. However I thought we would end 2023 with some stats.
Cachuma lake is 91% full with Gibraltar and many other reservoirs full.

Rain totals for the season at this point are 114% of normal.

Yesterday's storm brought everyone 1 inch of rain. Some Mountain locations saw 2 inches.
https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Today you will see cloudy skies most of the day with a chance of rain later today and tonight. This is a very weak system, where it does rain expect 1/10 or less.

Monday and Tuesday look dry, but Wednesday a stronger system will move in in the early morning in SLO and late morning on SB and Ventura. rain totals will be 1/2 to 1 1/2 inches.

Thursday the rain clears out and it looks Like a dry few days, with another system Sunday. At this point it looks to be weaker, but we are still too far out to make that call.

In the mean time, enjoy your last day of 2023 and we will talk in the new year 😂

Happy new years to All “Cheers”

Jack Martin

Good Saturday wet morning,

The rains arrived overnight and the good news it is almost over.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVTX/standard

It was a quick hitter with around 8 hours of rain, and all while we were sleeping.

Good rain totals with 1/2 to an inch of rain locally and around 2 inches at some locations. Refugio had around 2 inches.

Today will be dry and cool the rest of today and most of Sunday, before another system Sunday night into Monday.
This will be very similar to last nights rain, but much less in total. No more the 20/100, Or less then 1/4 of an inch. Rain in LA area will likely roll into new years morning, but clear out for the game in Pasadena.

Next week we are now beginning to get a feel for the weather, which is looking to keep the storm door open all week. These do not look like big systems, but it looks like rain Tuesday night into Wednesday then another storm for the weekend. We will feel it out as we get closer to the 3rd storm.

Bottom line we will start off the new years with dampness, but not crazy wet.

After next week it looks like we are in for a great the week following if the long range models hold together.

Have a great weekend and New Year’s Eve, I am sure we will be typing away before the new year.

Jack Martin

It was a wild day if you were sightseeing at the beach yesterday with high tide and high surf at 10:30 in the morning and got quite exciting. I was reading that nine people went to the hospital in Ventura from that rogue wave that flooded everything out.

Today, high tide is at 12:30 and the wave heights will not be quite as high. Still, it will result in the same issues where parking lots will get flooded

Weatherwise, we have rain coming in this evening lasting overnight into Saturday morning. Looks like anywhere from half an inch to 2 inches is likely. Overnight tonight into Saturday morning you can take a look at Zoom Earth you’ll see high clouds over us now and the front will move in later in the afternoon, creating light to moderate rain. Rain rates will not exceed 1/2 inch per hour.

This will not be anything like the last storm, but the accumulations will be decent. Some southeast winds will enhance the rainfall on south-facing mountains to 2 inches. Winds can blow in the hills to 45 miles an hour from the southeast.
https://zoom.earth/

Looks like Saturday afternoon it will clear out. We’ll have a dry Saturday night and Sunday morning at least. Consensus on the next system is still not clear and may completely miss us and stay west and go south.

We have to see how that all plays out. Next week it looks like we’ll have two dry days, Tuesday and Wednesday. Then another system coming in Wednesday night and Thursday. This does not appear to be a strong system only light rain. 

Have a great day, if you're going to the beach watch the waves at all times and get ready to run 🤔🤣

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

With theses holidays, I have to pause for a moment and trying to think about what day it is.

Today, Wednesday, zoom earth shows us that all the storms and energy is north of our forecast area. Northern California and the Pacific Northwest is seeing all the action.
https://zoom.earth/

The system to the north will sag south later today, but it looks like any rain that squeezes out will remain over SLO and maybe western Santa Barbara county. Where rain occurs it will likely be 1/10 of an inch.
Here is SB it looks to remain dry.

Thursday a weak ridge builds in through mid day Friday. Then another stronger system arrives Friday night and Saturday morning. This one does appear to bring everyone some rain. Expect 1/2 to 1 inch of rain for most out of the system. SLO could see a little more and south facing mountains of SB up to 2 inches. Ventura and LA will get wet, but more of 1/4 to 3/4 of an inch.

Sunday looks to be dry, but beyond that the models are not in agreement. There is some chatter about rain New Year’s Eve into New Year’s Day, but all models differ at this point. It does look like a ridge will build in next Tuesday bringing dry weather for the start of 2024. Looking into the extended forecast there does not appear to be any big systems on the forecast for the first full week of January 2024.

Enjoy your week

Good day after Christmas morning,

For some of you it is back to the jobs, otherwise you get to enjoy another day of celebrating the holidays. For me 4 AM wake up and get ready for work.

As far as the weather goes, looks like we’re gonna have mixed bag, the rest of the week with high-pressure today, starting to turn on shore later in the day, with a very slight chance of some rain tonight and Wednesday morning. Mainly to the north in Slo, and northern Santa Barbara County. With Less than a quarter of an inch.

Looks like Santa Barbara should remain dry with the first system.
Wednesday, Thursday and half of Friday also looks to be dry, but Friday night is when the next system arrives. This one looks to create some rain for everyone most likely 1/2 inch to 1 inch starting Friday night and most of Saturday.

Sunday, New Year’s Eve day, rain chances start all over again on Monday and Tuesday. We Have to watch and see how that all plays out.

We don’t expect any huge storms at this point but some rain is likely at times the rest of this week and mainly Friday night and Saturday.

I hope everyone had a great Christmas as always seems to go by so quickly five more days of 2023 then we bring in the new year.

Enjoy the rest of your week

Best,
Jack Martin

Wow, we made it through the storm, but not without a lot of excitement. All the hype came to be 100% accurate Rain intensity and totals broke numerous records, with Oxnard receiving all most 3 inches in 1 hour yesterday. Rain totals ranged from 4 to 16 inches, with rocky Butte the winner with over 16 inches in the 5 day total. The 154 got 10 inches, SB 7 inches and everyone else hovering right around the same on south faces.

It was so crazy that Santa Barbara made the national news last night with quite a long segment. Here are some numbers to view https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA

Today the 22nd of December, the rain is coming to an end as the system is south and East of us. SB today will see 1/10th to no rain today. LA still with a chance of showers.

I do have good news in the forecast with no more rain through the 26th at least. There is a chance for rain the 27th, but models are backing off that for our area and it looks to be more of a north storm.

I think we all need a break, anyway. I know that this week has been intense for me.

We felt trapped yesterday as the waters filled the streets at my office. The only way out was to take the high roads. Everything was flooded to the south. It is amazing to me that people that see an area is flooded and they still drive through it and get trapped.

Here are some photos that I took from my travels and right out side my office door

Enjoy your holiday, merry Christmas and Box day to all.

Also the last bit of good news is every day forward the days get 1 to 2 minutes longer as we have passed winter solstice.

Have a great holiday with Family and friends!

There are some great football and basketball games on this weekend and Christmas Day.

Best,
Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Wow, with all the rain this week I really had to think about what day it was... I started to type Wednesday then I had to check.

The heaviest rain is now over Ventura and moving into LA. Early this morning Oxnard area and Silver Strand Beach got 3 inches of rain in 3 hours.

Looking at the zoom earth you can see the center of the low is just offshore of point conception https://zoom.earth/ ...just west of us.

This is going to bring us numerous showers and rain through out today. Expect rain heavy at times amounting to another 1 to 3 inches through Friday.

Wrap around moisture will occur late today into Friday with showers throughout the day, but Friday will be drier.

By Saturday, the low-pressure system will move East, and the rain will be over, here with only some stray showers in LA.

I would hate to be traveling by air or even car in LA today. There is going to be tons of delays and many accidents on the road.

Stay away from there if you can.

Sunday, Christmas Eve day, the rain will be all but a memory. We will have 3 days of great weather with high pressure building in through Tuesday the 26th.

Wednesday and Thursday of next week, long range models are hinting another storm. However that is a Christmas away.

Here are the numbers so far rainfall has been 3 to 8 inches for most this week so far https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA

Just look at rocky Butte in SLO with over 15 inches of rain so far this week https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSLO

Enjoy the rain, it will be showery more than steady rain the next two days.
4 days till Christmas

Jack Martin