Jack's Weather Report

2/21/19 Wintery Forecast

By Jack Martin on Feb 21, 2019 at 04:50 PM

Winds last night blew pretty hard from the north. This is thanks to a low pressure system spinning over Nevada right now.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/h5-loop-wv.html

This is an extremely cold system that is working its way south today. It has very little moisture with it, and north winds will prevent most of SB from seeing much precipitation.

With that being said, there will still be showers today. These will occur throughout the day. Not much, but we will have some showers. Maybe ¼ of a inch, mainly over the mountains.

We will hope that snow may be seen at sunrise. Snow levels today can actually get as high as 1000 feet. Possible as low as 500 feet.

We will see what the day brings us.

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2/20/19 Snow Forecast

By Jack Martin on Feb 20, 2019 at 06:56 PM

Here comes the next very cold system. The feature of this low pressure system is not the wind or rain, but the cold air it brings with it.

This system is diving south out of Canada right now. North to south flow over land is going to be moisture starved. 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

This will make for unstable air, but very limited rain and snow.

For areas like Santa Barbara, the south facing mountains are going to block the rain showers.

The best we can hope for is some white on the hillside of San Marcus Pass.

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Super Snow Moon Setting Just Before Sunrise

By Jack Martin on Feb 20, 2019 at 12:14 AM

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2/19/2019

By Jack Martin on Feb 19, 2019 at 05:00 PM

Thanks Kirk, check out the changes 1 year brings with the snow pack.

We will give Kirk a plug, he runs our solar division. If you are interested in solar, call Kirk with Action Energy at 805-896-3776.

This is the last year for the 30% tax credit, then it is reduced

https://www.noozhawk.com/article/nasa_satellite_dramatic_difference_in_california_snowpack_levels_20190217

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2/18/19

By Jack Martin on Feb 18, 2019 at 08:38 PM

Good Monday morning,

It is bitter cold out there. Good thing Kids and some working kids get a day off. 

For all the rest of us, you will want heavy coats and gloves this morning. 

All windshields and Roofs will have Ice. 

Skies are relatively clear and it is bright out there with the full moon overhead.   

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

We will have 3 dry-cold days. Today is the last day of wind for a few. 

Wednesday night into Thursday we are looking at a weak- cold storm. Snow levels will be at or below 2000 feet.

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Sunday Chill 2/17/19

By Jamie Graham on Feb 18, 2019 at 08:25 PM

Now the weather, cold and windy out there today. The jet stream is pushing well to the north and then turning the cold air back at us.

Take a look:

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

This means north-cold winds. The low pressure will create showers to the North, but this is moisture starved.

Any rain will be squeezed out of the cold air. The best chance of rain will be to the north of us. North winds tend to block showers in Santa Barbara.

Santa Ynez and north faces are likely to see rain and snow. Everyone will be cold …..

Snow levels are at 3500 feet today, then dropping to 1500 to 2500 tonight.

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Saturday Chill Forecast 2/16/19

By Jack Martin on Feb 18, 2019 at 08:19 PM

Good Saturday morning,

North winds are blowing out there, with chilly temps. 

Today, we are looking at no rain in Santa Barbara as north flow creates a rain shadow over Santa Barbara. For Santa Ynez, there may still be a slight chance for a shower, but it should be mostly dry. 

For the chill however, it will be unseasonably cold. Highs will make it into the 50s. 

Tonight, another system rolls into the forecast area. This is extremely cold. 

Sunday, we are looking at some rain or snow at higher elevation. This is not a big system, but we will see some showers.  1/4 inch of rain. 3/4 on north facing mountains or snow of 3 to 5 inches. Highs will be in the 40s in the valleys and low 50s coastal.

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2/15/2019 Forecast

By Jack Martin on Feb 18, 2019 at 06:56 PM

Good Friday morning,

It is looking like a few more days of unsettled weather through Sunday. 

The 2 day rain totals were right on track with what was expected.

San Marcos Pass had over 3 inches, Montecito 1 1/2, SB received an inch, and Patty in Santa Ynez also saw an inch of rain. 

Today a colder system will bring light showers to the area.

Looking like the greatest chance of rain is this afternoon as the low over Oregon drops into California this afternoon.

1/4 inch for SB, 1/2 inch for northern locations. Snow levels around 5000 feet.

There are some showers approaching the central coast as you read this:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/animate.php?root=radar_cr&list=VBX_7.png,VBX_6.png,VBX_5.png,VBX_4.png,VBX_3.png,VBX_2.png,VBX_1.png,VBX_0.png

Saturday will be chilly, but mostly dry. Snow levels will be 3500 feet.

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2/14/19 Thursday Forecast

By Jack Martin on Feb 14, 2019 at 04:46 PM

Good Thursday morning, 

Yesterday’s system did not drop much rain along the coastal areas, but all you had to do is look into the mountains and you saw the rain most of the day.

The hills received quite a bit more. 

Don’t be lulled to sleep, today is going to be much different.

The atmospheric river is pointed straight at us. The rain totals will climb quickly today.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

We will start to see the rain pick up by 7am and continue into the afternoon before it starts to let up.

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Wednesday 2/13/19

By Jack Martin on Feb 13, 2019 at 03:56 PM

Good Wednesday morning, 

1 day before Valentine’s Day, in case you forgot.

I had to study the forecast a little harder today to understand what we have coming. 

So here we go... 

The rain is right off the coast. We should see rain by sunrise:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/animate.php?root=radar_cr&list=VBX_7.png,VBX_6.png,VBX_5.png,VBX_4.png,VBX_3.png,VBX_2.png,VBX_1.png,VBX_0.png

Rain will fall steady but lighter most of the day, then taper for a bit tonight. Today rainfall totals will remain lower.

With 1/2 to 3/4 coastal, but the water shed in the Santa Ynez mountains will see 1 to 2 inches.

The start of the system has no really big rain push to it. Subtropical plum does, however, extends all the way to Hawaii. 

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