Jack's Weather Report

Good Monday morning,

As we wake up out there you can see stars in the skies in many locations. That’s not a good sign for more rain.

The low pressure is still spinning out over point conception but there is not a lot of moisture to work with so any rain will be minimal and showery in nature.

Today is Santa Barbara it will be Chilly, breezy and for the most part dry. There is still a chance of rain, but mainly to the south of us.

How much rain did we get, the best answer is “not enough”. The rain totals were really all over the board, with some areas getting decent rainfall but others getting almost none.

Santa Barbara saw ½ inch, with Goleta FS #14 seeing 1.76 inches, then Montecito .09 inches and the san Marcas pass 1.16 inches. as you can see the totals were really about where the showers were heaviest.

https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA Ventura and LA really saw the bulk of the rain.

Here is what it looks like from the sky, you can see the spinning low, with very little moisture imbedded. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=34.38,-113.15,5z/date=2025-01-27,03:40,-8

Highs today will be in the upper 50s, with most areas not making it to 60. Right now, it is 45 degrees in Santa Barbara and 32 in Santa Ynez.

It will be dry and cool the rest of this week with the next system coming in Friday night into Saturday. This will affect mainly SLO and Santa Barbara county and it will likely be on the weaker side.

Looking into the future all we can do is hope for a wet February which ushers in on Saturday. February is the shortest month of the year, but typically the wettest month also.

We will hope for lots of wet weather during the month of February, and a March miracle. until then, it looks to be dry the rest of January.

Hope everyone enjoyed the rain, and Ventura loved the hailstorm for excitement yesterday

Have a great week as always!

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,
What a great day with rain for the first time in to long.

The rain started up around 6pm last night and has been on and off over night .
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVTX/standard

Not a lot of rain at this point with most areas around 1/4 of an inch so far.

It does look like later today and overnight we will get the most of our rain. With this system the rain totals will be greatest to the south, with the central coast seeing the least amount of the rain. South facing mountains of Santa’s Barbara’s will see good totals of 1.5 to 2.5 inches . SB around 1 inch in total, and LA getting a good 1 to 1.5 inches.

From 4 pm today to 4 on Monday there is a flood watch in affect for the burn areas. It does look like we will see rain into our Monday then Tuesday though Friday we will clear up and see dry weather.

It will be quite cold, with highs not even making it to 60 and lows in the 20s and 30s. Snow lever will be at 3500 feet so some snow in the santa Ynez mountains will make for a pretty view today and Monday.

It does look like another spot at some rain next weekend, but if it does it will be on the lighter side.

In the mean time enjoy the rain, and turn off those sprinklers

Jack Martin

Good Saturday morning,

Wow, I get to say it is going to rain.

The back and forth forecast this week with the cut off low pressure system is now understood. Current a closed low is in the Bay Area and it will work it’s way sound today and bring everyone rain.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=33.2,-128.7,4.73z

This morning clouds but no rain , the rain will work it’s way sound way from the north and arrive on the central coast this afternoon and in Santa Barbara later in the day.

Rain rates will be on the lighter side tonight and into Sunday.
Sunday night into Monday will bring us the heavier rain, with south facing mountains receiving 1.5 inches to 2.5 inches of rain. Santa Barbara in total should see about 1 inch of rain. The rain will be heaviest over night Sunday and burn areas could see some minimal debris flow.

It will be windy today ahead of the front, and temps will drop 15 degrees making it a cool windy day.

Snow levels will drop below 4000 feet on Sunday .
Monday still a chance of showers, but Tuesday through Thursday should be dry.

I am in Bellevue Wa right now and it is beautiful but quite cold especially in. We went for a walk yesterday in the late afternoon and it was so pretty on lake Washington.

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

It is going to be a very interesting next 4 days. You will want to watch the weather for the next 4 days.

Today, will be the warmest day of the year to date. There will be some record highs set due to offshore winds.

Going outside you will feel it first thing and it is 51 degrees in Santa Barbara at 6am. Highs today will be in the upper 70s and some locations hitting the 80 degrees mark.

Just to our south another Santa Ana wind even fueling another fire. this is the 3rd fire this month in LA that has burned more then 10,000 acres. Having another fire with extremely dry air and another moderate Santa Ana is not a good thing. The offshore winds will also cause the air to heat up, and some record highs will be broken today. Winds will back off on Friday and start to cool us down, but it will still be well above normal temps for this time of year. https://zoom.earth/

Saturday, we do a 180 with a cutoff low dropping south. As I always say a cut off low is very difficult to predict its movement, a lot like a 2-year-old on the beach, you always must keep your eye on them.

Should this move closer to the water or coast we will see more rain, further east less rain, but colder temps and possible thundershowers. It does look like we will see the first rain for January of 2025 late Saturday night, through Sunday. How much? looks like ¼ to ½ inch on the central coast. ¼ to ¾ on the south coast and ½ to 1 inch in the mountains. With 2 inches possible if thunderstorms occur.

It will also be quite cold, Saturday through Monday the highs will be in the 60s and by Monday temps will drop 20 to 25 degrees. Snow levels might get as low as 2500 feet.

It will be very cold at night, freezing temps in all valleys and mountains are likely. highs will not make it to 60 degrees in many areas

Tuesday it looks like the system clears out, and we are just left with cold weather.

Bottom line, we will see very interesting weather over the next 4 days. you will see heat turning to extremely cold weather.

Regarding the cut off low, as mentioned slight movement of this low can be the difference between more rain. if it moves close to the coast, it will produce more rain. More to the east, increase the possibility of thunderstorms. At this point we would want closer to the coast, as thunderstorms in the burn areas is not a good thing. let’s hope for no more fires in LA who has been hammered this month.

Enjoy the summer weather today, and Stay tuned, for updates.

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

No real changes in the forecast. Today extremely winds in the Santa Ana part of the area. 60 to 70 miles an hour is likely today.
https://zoom.earth/

Winds will die down Wednesday then return again Thursday as another milder Santa Ana event will be over us.

Temps will be mild to quite warm during the day, with highs in the 70s and Thursday some 80s in valleys especially. Nights will be quite cold especially in the valleys where freezing temps are likely.

Friday we switch it up as a cut off low works its way south. It looks like a chance of rain Saturday, but more likely Saturday night. This will not be a big event with 1/4 to 1/2 possible. This is welcome as it has been way too long since we have seen rain.

More to come stay tuned
Jack Martin

Good Monday,

A later morning forecast, because of a busy morning for me. However I wanted to get the forecast out to all because it is going too crazy from Ventura south today.

The forecast for the next 24 hours is all about the Santa ana winds starting shortly and lasting into midday Tuesday. We are expecting one more extreme Santa ana event starting at noon today 50 to 70 miles an hour coastal and valleys and 60 to 100 miles an hour in the mountains. Yes, this is another extreme event for those locations https://www.weather.gov/lox/

Temps will also warm up as the week goes on, but nights will be very cold. SB 38 tonight, the valleys 25 degrees. Highs however are going to climb into the 70s during the day, and into the 80s Wednesday and Thursday for the valleys.

Moving into the weekend the weather is still not clear. We will have a cut off low approaching for the weekend. Cut off lows are extremely difficult to predict, along with the dry air. It will take a lot to moisten the air to create rain, but the chances are there for the weekend. We will need to watch this as we get closer, at this point we just need to worry about the winds to the south, and the extreme fire danger that goes with it.

Enjoy the warmer days, lets hope we get into a wet pattern soon

No action in Santa Barbara, just great weather.

The winds will not affect us, it is crazy to think we are talking about low 80s in January.

What a crazy year it has been with no rain, the fires and dry warm weather.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

Quite a chilly start to the day. 42 in SB 24 in SY, but the return to the marine layer is mildly out there. I guess anything with dampness helps at this point.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=33.77,-117.294,6.18z

Regarding the forecast it is all about very cold nights in the valleys, and highs in the low 60s. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.0352478027344&lat=34.612866252964096

No rain in our forecast again for another week. The next chance according to long range models will not be until the 29th of January. This means almost the entire month of January will be bone dry https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.0352478027344&lat=34.612866252964096

Next week, looks like another moderate Santa Ana event for Ventura -south, Monday night into Wednesday morning. Then even another possible on Friday.

It has been clear, dry and cold too long …. With no relief in site. This is sad but true. Enjoy the chilly overnight lows, then the sun warms us up until it sets and we cool quite fast.

Have a nice weekend,

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Just crazy weather in Southern California for January. The last 2 years we were floating with life rafts because of the amount of rain we had. This year it is a 100% turn around.

We have had 0.00 rain in 2025 and less than 1 inch of rain in the last 9months. It does not take a rocket scientist to tell us this is not good. We need rain… or all the wonderful things the last 2 years has brought us will evaporate, “literally”

Well I have worse news, the latest models show no rain for the next 10 days, putting us into the end of January.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.68986511230467&lat=34.43183254485123

The only good news is the off shore winds will be gone this afternoon and we will turn to onshore winds. This will bring back some marine layer along the coast Friday and especially Saturday. Hopefully we can start to get the humidity back up and the fire is under control down in the Los Angeles area.

Next week, the continued weather story will be dry, no rain, and cold nights but 60s during the day.

Next week we will need to see what happens with another potential Santa Ana event arising possibly.

Bottom line the East coast is likely reading about our complaints of no rain and 60s in January, because they are experiencing a massive freeze for the next 10 days also.

Bottom line "can you say La Niña" because this is a typical La Niña pattern that we are in. Dry west coast and extreme cold on the east coast.

We need something or someone to break us out of this pattern and bring back normalcy. Hang in there it has to get better soon, but Jacks team is running low on work. The only calls we seem to be getting is how do we fireproof our houses and roofs, Or we are being canceled from our insurance and we need help . ☹️

Have a great-day and let’s do a rain prayer and dance 🕺

We might have to open a car wash, because they are the only ones that seem to be busy 😂

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

A new work week and another round of wind for the Los Angeles area, with one more Santa’s ana event. You can see the next dry system with just winds from the north starting it track towards southern cal.
https://zoom.earth/

Today overall a nice day for all. Highs in the upper 60s to 70 degrees with lighter winds for all. Very dry air out there which is very unseasonable. No fog and no dampness to start the day, or at all this week.

Tuesday the low moves closer and the winds ramp up in the normal Santa Ana towns.

Looks like the palisades will get hammered again with one more wind event Tuesday into Wednesday. Winds will be in the 50 mile an hour range.

Here is SB really no wind just dry conditions with warm days and as soon as the sun goes down it cools off quickly.

This is pretty much the forecast for the entire week. No rain this week, but next week we may have a few chances of something happening. Keep you fingers crossed, we need the rain.

Enjoy another dry warm week, the press makes it look like all of California is on fire.

But we know otherwise. I watch the national news last night and they showed Santa Barbara as one of the cities. That must be why I have had many people text and email me. Our weather is fantastic compared to all the folks freezing there butts off around the country.

Have a great week, Altadena and the palisades hang in there this will be the last brutal wind week for awhile.

Jack Martin

Good Saturday morning,

It has been a crazy week just to the south of our area. It sounds like there are more than 10,000 structures lost from the fires 🔥 mainly in the Los Angeles area.

Here in SB we have been dry, with little in the way of winds. The Santa’s ana winds always affect areas south of us From Ventura to Pasadena and to the ocean. We are all aware of the devastation from the Santa’s ana event. Fortunately there has been none locally, but many of us have friends that live in the fire areas that have lost their homes.

We have had a long extended dry period. A matter of fact it is the second driest period on record. We need the rains to return, but this will not likely happen until the week of the 20th. Even that being said it is very difficult to know how rain will affect us, when it does occur.

Here is the 30day extended forecast
https://www.30dayweather.com/en/d/united-states/california/santa-barbara/

Bottom line there is no rain through at least mid week and the chance of rain at this point is slim for Southern California. A matter of fact we have 2 more Santa’s ana wind events likely from now into mid week. These winds will be lighter and likely in the 20 to 30 miles an hour range.

For us in wind sheltered Santa Barbara, no real wind events, highs in the upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. All the way into mid week.

We will hope for a break from this pattern and bring back rain. This is our rainy season with January and February being our wettest months typically.

Enjoy the sun and dry weather, but I am sure we are all wishing for some rain.

Enjoy your weekend
Jack Martin