Jack's Weather Report

4/15/24

By Jack Martin on Apr 15, 2024 at 09:12 PM

Tax day has arrived... 4/15/24... but so has the sunshine, which is back again. Hopefully for a long time.

The weekend rains were quite strong for this time of year. The big winner as San Marcos pass with 3.13 inches, Santa Ynez with 2.12 inches and Montecito had an easier time with 1 inch. The real difference was the heavier rains that occurred on Sunday https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA

This is all in the past now and we are ready for sunshine and warmer temps for the entire week. Warming each day with 70s coastal and 80s valleys by mid-week.

Thursday cooler with some coastal fog, but no rain in site. Hopefully, this means we are done with the heavier rains. We are now in mid-April, with daylight arriving at 6am hour and sunset at 7:31 pm. This means lots of daylight and the sun angle will begin to heat up the skies.

Just look at these crazy rain totals year to date. Santa Barbara has received 188% above normal rain totals. Everywhere is 150% over normal rain totals

https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfall

Enjoy the sunshine, time for spring and warmer weather... Bring on summer 😊

Jack Martin

4/14/24

By jack martin on Apr 15, 2024 at 09:09 PM

Good Sunday morning,

Just another rainy day. Rain is picking up again as the low that has been spinning bands of moisture is finally moving south. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=35.34,-125.96,5z/date=2024-04-14,03:00,-7

Rain is really coming down north of our areas. Here showers will continue throughout the day, but more on and off
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard

Rain totals so far run anywhere from 1/2 to 2 inches. The higher amounts are in the mountains. Lots of snow also covering the hills in Santa Ynez and some even local SB hills . Snow levels are at 3500 to 4000 feet today. More snow in the hills are likely IMG_7435Moving into the work week, the snow will melt quickly and we will dry out. Warming into the 80s by mid week in the valleys and 70s coastal. A little cool down on Thursday with on shore flow lasting into Saturday, but still nice with 70s. It will also be dry with no rain chances next week. As mentioned yesterday the 8 to 14 day forecast is dry, and warmer. Enjoy the last day of rain, then let’s bring on dry and warm.

Have a great Sunday, stay dry...

4/13/24

By jack martin on Apr 15, 2024 at 09:06 PM

Happy Saturday the 13th of April. Here is the next system spinning off the coast, but moving a little slower then expected
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=42.5,-141.8,4.32z
Rain will develop this morning as the first part of the system moves through.

Rain is approaching quickly, and is just to our north. It looks like a wet 36 hours. Here is the low down on how much rain we will see https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=laxqpslox. 1 to 1.5 inches coastal and up to 3 inches in the mountains. Here is the rain right now. If your not getting wet you soon will be https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard

Expect rain through the day, then a break later tonight. Sunday more rain with showers as the cold air passes through. As mentioned before snow levels will drop to 4000 feet on Sunday.

Looking ahead the system clears out Sunday night then moves across the country through the week. It will cause wild weather and tornados mid week Tuesday or Wednesday in the middle of the country. For us we clear out and welcome sun and warmer weather.

Highs will get into the 70s and 80s by mid week. Cooling Thursday some. But great news the 8 to 14 day forecast shows dry and above normal temps, so hopefully this will end the rains that we have had to much of this year.

It will be a wet weekend, so a good time to catch up on paperwork or clean out your garage. Maybe finish your taxes, because Monday is April 15th. I need to fund my IRA today. Regardless it will be an indoor weekend. Enjoy, I promise weekends will get better soon.

Jack Martin

4/12/24

By jack martin on Apr 12, 2024 at 04:14 PM

Good Friday morning,

Quite a change is the weather today from Thursday, with temps a lot cooler today. Temps will dip 10 to 20 degrees from Thursdays highs.

Last night was fantastic outside until the cooler air arrived Thursday night. We went to Solvang theater fest which I have not been to for many years.

It was really a great very small venue with every seat being fantastic. We saw Jimmy Messina, and Pablo Cruz, it was just a great show. Jimmy was the best. Playing a lot of music that you expect from Kenny Loggins. The venue was like a mini-SB county bowl holding maybe 600 to 800 people.

I highly recommend it if you have not been there in along time or never, it was well worth the late night.

Onto the weather, as mentioned earlier, quite a bit cooler today. Highs will only be in the 60s, low clouds and some fog to start the day, with a few pockets of drizzle.

This afternoon the system moves closer https://zoom.earth/ with rain starting tonight and overnight. Rain will start out light overnight, but as we get into Saturday it will get much wetter.
Looks like 1/4 inch over night tonight. Saturday 3/4 of an inch and rain stops Saturday night, with showers and another 1/4-inch Sunday. Overall a good rain with 1 to 2 inches in total.

Saturday will be quite windy in SB with south winds at 20 to 30 miles an hour. Highs will only be in the 50s for the weekend. Snow level starts out at 6000 feet and drops to 4000 feet Sunday.

Sunday will be one of those days with cold air and thundershowers possible. It will be spotty rain. Hopefully, nothing like the last storm that brought that crazy rain in Montecito.

Good news for next week, we clear out the storm and start a gradual warm up. Highs will get into the 80s by Wednesday, then cool slightly Thursday. It looks like a dry week ahead.

When will this rain end? The wet weather just continues. I am very ready to put a close to this wet season.

It will be a very wet Saturday, so outdoor plans are not looking good, besides that it will be very chilly all weekend.

Let's make the best of it, sunny and warmer days will arrive one of these days 😊

Jack Martin

4/11/24

By jack martin on Apr 11, 2024 at 10:05 PM

Good Thursday morning,

You can see and feel the changes starting along the coast. Low fog levels are hugging the coast of SB. This will clear by late morning bringing sunny skies this afternoon. Many inland areas will see no fog, just more sun and warm temps. Inland valleys will see upper 70s to low 80s today. Coastal areas 70s due to the fog this morning.

Overall a nice Thursday, just some fog to start the day.

Friday the big change arrives, where 80s were in the valleys, it will drop to 60s as the late season low starts to arrive

Zoom Earth | Live Weather Map & Hurricane Tracker
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=44.1,-137.9,4.32z

It looks like rain will hold off until Friday night into Saturday early morning in LA.

Another Saturday will bring more rain as the low moves over us.
Overall we are looking at around an inch coastal and 2 inches in the mountains. Saturday highs will only get into the 50s for most and snow levels at 5500 to 6000 feet.

Sunday, cool and some showers are likely, but the bulk of the rain will be over.

Next week, dry and warming all week. This is great news with 80s by midweek.

I know I sound like a skipping record player, but hopefully this will be the last real storm event for the season. As we are all tired of this crazy 2023-2024 rainy season. Looking back over the past 2 years we have seen crazy rains. The wettest years since 2004.

Jack Martin

4/10/24

By Jack Martin on Apr 10, 2024 at 09:44 PM

Good morning,

Just look outside right now, it is going to be a perfect day. highs today for all will be in the 70s and 80s.

One of those chambers of commerce days, high pressure and weak offshore flow will make today and Thursday great, warm days with above normal temps.

Thursday coastal areas will cool a few degrees due to onshore flow, but foothills and mountains will be even warmer then today.

You would never know it looking out there and at the satellite that rain is on the way... https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=43.8,-118.9,4z (look up well to the north in Alaska)

The change arrives Friday with cooler temps and onshore flow. It looks like maybe some fog Friday and a much cooler day.

Friday afternoon into Friday evening a storm out of the gulf of Alaska arrives. This is a cold storm. Snow level very low at 5500 feet especially for this time of year.

Rain Friday night and Saturday for all, maybe some showers Sunday. How much rain models are still all over the board but this system that will spin counter clockwise down the coast. This means more rain for Santa Barbara and south facing mountains. 1 to 2 inches in the hills, and .5 to 1 inch coastal. Central coast and south facing areas will see the most rainfall. It is just crazy that rain just keeps coming this year, and this weekend is no different. If you look at the past 5 weekends, we have received rain 4 out of the 5 and the one we did not see rain last weekend, but it rained Thursday and Friday. just crazy and hopefully this is going to stop.

Next week does look like we will see dry weather and warming again

Enjoy the next 2 days, it will be fantastic, but another wet weekend is ahead of us.

Jack Martin

4/5/24

By jack martin on Apr 05, 2024 at 03:52 PM

Good Friday morning,

Last night the rain went through just as forecast. Rain totals were right in line as predicted. SB received 1/4 inch, the pass 1/2 inch Santa Ynez valley .40

Interesting that Montecito only received .002 according to the gages.

Today it is all about cold weather with chilly conditions and showers on and off. The snow level is at around 3000 feet and can fall as low as 2500 feet in thunder storm location. The air is cold and unstable any heating today can lead to afternoon thunder showers mainly over the mountains. Showers are likely on and off throughout the day, with some sun peaking throughout at times.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=37.9,-121.8,4.44z/date=2024-04-05,01:10,-7

It will be chilly with highs only in the 50s. Tonight the system clears out and sunshine returns on Saturday. Highs Saturday will warm 6 to 8 degrees but will be 8 degrees below normal for this time of year. Sunday will be the same, with slightly warmer temps but still below normal.

Next week we are looking at a break from the rains and a warming trend Tuesday and Wednesday, as off shore and high pressure builds in. Highs will be in the 70s and some 80s in the valleys. Warming will create some nice spring blooms in the hills and valleys showing their colors.

Hopefully we are near the end of a very wet season and we can all start to mop up after a very wet first quarter. For the year we are at an average of 130 % of above normal rainfall for the entire year through aug 31st. Some locations are almost 200% above normal rainfall. This is as of yesterday. It is higher as of today.

https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

It has been a crazy year, and hopefully we can start to enjoy what we love Santa Barbara and Southern California for.

Have a great Friday, bring a jacket and maybe an umbrella.

The weekend will be cool but sunny with no rain!

Jack Martin

4/4/24

By jack martin on Apr 05, 2024 at 03:49 PM

Good Thursday morning,

Winter will return for at least a few days. Today will start out cool then turn to cold, a cold low-pressure system takes over our atmosphere.

The low is currently to the north and will arrive today https://zoom.earth/ Where this is extremely cold, it is also Moisture starved, so rain totals will be lower.

It looks like a cool day with rain possible later in the day and over night. rain total will be on the lighter side with 1/10 of an inch today and ¼ inch possible tonight.

Snow levels will drop quickly tonight to around 3000 feet.

Friday looks to be cold and showery. Thunderstorms are also possible. This is a very cold storm, and clouds will not carry a lot of moisture.

Expect ¼ to ½ inch of wet stuff through Friday. Highs will only get into the mid-50s.

Friday night will be quite chilly, but the rain ends. 40s in SB and 30s in the valleys

The weekend starting Saturday clear, but crisp with cool temps, climbing to around 60 as a high.

Sunday warming some and will be dry. This will be the first weekend rain free in a while.

Monday an inside slider, that will do nothing more than create some winds.

Tuesday high pressure builds in, and we warm up. Wednesday warming and offshore winds. Highs in the valleys will near 80 degrees and 70s coastal.

Enjoy the weaker and cold system for 48 hours, then we turn back into spring. Don’t worry about this rain causing problems, it will be like a drizzle compared to what we have seen.

Have a great Thursday, Happy birthday Gail. Aries rule this first half of the month.

Jack Martin

4/3/24

By jack martin on Apr 05, 2024 at 03:47 PM

OMG, you know how I always start with the date in my reports. Well I found myself typing 4/3/59 for a brief second.

Yes, it is my Birthday, with a few other special people I know. Happy birthday Dina and James. (shoot I am officially a senior citizen)

It is funny to think of significant years from past for birthdays. What comes to mind was turning 18 you can vote, 21 you can go to bars and drink, 25 your car insurance goes down, because you are now a grown up.

Then there is a long dry spell until 65. I can sign up for Medicare and get discounts at the grocery store.... I am not sure if I am ready for that, because I would have to show ID with my age 😊

Ok my little chuckle for the day, now the weather.

Today, perfect day… Sunny warm temps above normal … great day for a birthday 😊

Thursday, big changes… 10 to 20 degrees cooler with a system coming in from the northwest https://zoom.earth/

Rain will hold off till late I the day, and it will be on the lighter side. looks like ¼ to ½ inch of rain. The biggest thing with this system will be the low snow level dropping to 3000 feet over night Thursday.

Friday will be quite cold, highs only in the 50s with some showers . This is a very cold system, but has no subtropical moisture support, so rain total will remain low.

Friday due to the cold air there is a 20 to 30 % chance for thunderstorms. You might even wake up to a little snow in the local mountains. clearing and sun will re appear by noon Friday.

Great news for Saturday we will see the first weekend in awhile with out rain. it will be cooler, but 6 to 8 degrees of warming. Sunday a weak system starts to approach, but it looks like no rain with this one.

Any rain should remain to the north … Hopefully we are now approaching the end of our long, extremely wet rainy season.

I don’t know about you, but I believe most of us are ready for sun and warm weather.

If you are a one of the few that loves rain, book a trip to the pacific northwest it will rain there for at least a few more months.

Have a great sunny day and sun will return Friday afternoon and all of Saturday.

Jack Martin

3/27/24

By Jack Martin on Mar 27, 2024 at 06:27 PM

Good Wednesday morning,

It should be a nice day, and the warmest until next Tuesday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 60s today.

However, there is going to be a lot happening between today and Tuesday of next week.

Tonight a weak wave will flow through, this will bring some light rain to SLO, a 1/4 inch or less.

Rain may fall as far south as Santa Ynez, but it is more likely that south of SLO will just see low clouds and possible fog or drizzle.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/

Here is how it looks from the sky; you can see the first wave and the parent low to in Canada.

Friday the low moves closer to us and rain will start up Friday day in SLO. As we get into the afternoon rain chances increase south and we will see rain late afternoon in SB.

Rain Friday night and Saturday will be heavier with south flow. This will have a greater impact on south-facing mountains and Santa Barbara through Saturday and showers are possible on Sunday. The parent low will cut off and park over us through Saturday pumping in rain. This will be a good system, especially for this time of year.

Rain totals 1 to 3 inches and 3 to 6 inches on south-facing Hills. Locally in SB we are looking to receive in the 2.5 inches of rain range, Santa Ynez 2 inches.

The hills of SB 4 inches are likely or more possible. Rain will fade to showers on Sunday, and we clear out and dry weather is expected next week.

It looks like we will see dry warm weather Tuesday on, with a longer dry period.

The Friday System will be a classic cut-off low with south winds. These systems always affect Santa Barbara with greater rainfall.

It looks like Easter Sunday will be mostly dry with some showers, but Saturday and Easter egg hunts will be rained out, at least outdoors.

Enjoy the nice weather today because it will not be this nice until next Tuesday.

Edhat had this today and it is pretty accurate, except for the Monday rain, the rain will be showery at best on Sunday. Friday night and all of Saturday will be wet. These are pretty good graphics.

https://www.edhat.com/news/heavy-rainfall-expected-to-arrive-on-friday-evening/   Thanks Adam for the link

FYI if you have sliding hill issues from this winter’s rains, I suggest covering them for this next rain system.  

Jack Martin