Jack's Weather Report

2/6/23

By Jack Martin on Feb 06, 2023 at 05:15 PM

Good Monday Morning,

The system has passed as everyone felt the winds last night. It blew hard at my house, today the system is moving East. https://zoom.earth/

Today is starting out warmer than expected, with 41 in the valley and 53 in Santa Barbara. Today will be cool with highs in the mid-60s.

Tuesday high pressure and offshore flow build in. Temps will rise slightly, but the real warm weather is to come.

Wednesday, warmer and 70s for all with the offshore flow.

Thursday will be the warmest day of the week with temps 4 to 8 degrees above normal and mid-70s.

Friday, we cool slightly, but still a nice day.

The weekend looks for cloudy skies, but the models are now backing off any chance of rain. Of course for selfish reasons we want the weather to be nice for outdoor Superbowl parties

have a great week. 

Jack Martin

2/3/23

2/3/23
By Jack Martin on Feb 03, 2023 at 07:12 PM

Good Friday morning,

Today we will see lots of high clouds as a weak system will pass to the North bringing rain from San Francisco to northern SLO. Only high clouds here  https://zoom.earth/

Saturday we will have a pop-up ridge which will make it the warmest day in the next 7 days. highs in the upper 60s.

Saturday night a slightly stronger system approaches and moves Saturday ridge to the East. This will result in rain in SLO with ¼ of an inch and ½ in the mountains.

As it approaches point conception it really weakens and will only create light rain for us. We are looking at around 1/10 inch maybe ¼ of an inch in the hills.

This is very weak with no southern support.

Sunday will be breezy and cool. Highs will be in the low 60s to upper 50s.

Next week we are looking at dry weather all week. Monday through Wednesday northeast Santa Ana winds and some warming. Thursday is dry, but the models can’t decide whether it will be windy or just warming. Needless to say, we will see very little rain Sunday and nothing beyond that.

Take a look at Lake Cachuma at 99.3% as of yesterday https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Jay provides a great photo of the dam at Cachuma, it is just amazing.

Have a great weekend, Saturday should be the best day to get outside

Jack Martin

2/2/23

By Jack Martin on Feb 02, 2023 at 09:55 PM

Good Thursday morning, 

Today we’re looking at dry weather with some high clouds showing up ahead of a week front that is moving down the coast. This will do nothing more than give us high clouds and no rain. Offshore flow is still holding together today with winds of 15 to 25 miles an hour from the Northeast.

Friday ridge is built-in and it will remain nice through Saturday.

Saturday night another slightly stronger system will pass through and create some rain for all. It really has no southern component so rain on the central coast is up to half an inch but as it rounds point conception. Any rain that occurs in Santa Barbara it’s going to be a very light quarter inch or less. Sunday night we’re looking at North-winds fairly strong. 

Monday and Tuesday we’re looking at offshore flow warming temperatures and nice weather

Wednesday the jury is still out but it’s looking dry.

Overall, we have very little rain in sight for the next week mostly dry, with only some light rain overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. It should be mostly dry Sunday.

Have a great day 

Jack Martin

2/1/23

By Jack Martin on Feb 01, 2023 at 05:29 PM

Good Wednesday morning, 

February 1st, and a start of a new month. Today most are waking up to a chilly start to the day. 34 in Santa Ynez and 45 in Santa Barbara. The good news is offshore flow will warm us up nicely to around 70 degrees for a high. That will be a nice change once it warms up. 

Thursday looks to be another chilly start, but warming into the upper 60s in the afternoon with some high clouds starting to flow as offshore turns to onshore. 

Friday a weak system rolls through, no rain for us, possibly a little in far northern SLO. 

Saturday a ridge pops up for a decent day but Saturday night the next system rolls towards us. This system is stronger and will likely drop some rain all Sunday morning. This is weaker with rainfall of 1/2 inch or less. It will be over by Sunday afternoon. 

Next week is looking dry at this point with at least the first half of the week with sunny skies. 

On the lakeside Cachuma is at 99% now and still filling slowly. Nacimiento still 86%.

I can’t wait to be able to drive past the lake and see all the water.  https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/rainfallreport.pdf

Have a great day!

Jack Martin

1/30/23

By Jack Martin on Jan 30, 2023 at 03:05 PM

Good Monday morning,

As we all wake up, we have some scattered rain showers out there. These are going to continue till about 11 o’clock this morning. Then we should begin to clear up. You can see the rain currently moving to the south it’s just a little wraparound over.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard

Rain totals of varied anywhere from 1/10 to a  quarter of an inch. Montecito has been the big winner with .26 so far . The snow level is at 3000 feet and snow is falling on the grapevine and interstate 5 with traffic being escorted through the snow area. local Mountain will see 1 to 2 inches of snow and higher mountains 2 the 4 inches this morning.

Today will see the rain chances decrease as the day goes on then Tuesday through Thursday will have dry cold weather with sunshine.

Friday another system rolls in this week we’re only affect northern Santa Barbara County and SLO county . 

Saturday dry then Sunday another system rolls and this looks to be a little bit stronger and will affect our area. All rain later this week will be on the lighter side with no atmospheric river connection. I hope everybody has a great week and enjoy the cold weather because it just seems to continue week after week. Next week is set up for another cool week.

Have a great day 

Jack Martin

1/29/23

By Jack Martin on Jan 29, 2023 at 05:44 PM

Good Sunday morning,
Chilly, cool and cloudy are the words of the day. As the day progresses we have a chance of some light rain mainly in the afternoon and evening then overnight. We will see some additional rain with approximately 1/4 inch or less along the coast and up to 3/4 of an inch in the mountains. Today will be quite chilly with temperatures 5° to 10° below normal. Most areas will stay in the 50s to low 60s. The snow level be quite low with snow in the local mountains. The snow level will drop to 2000' to 2500'.
Naybe some morning showers on Monday but not a lot of rain and it really won’t disturb the workday. Monday night everything clears out.
Tuesday we return to sunny but cooler temperatures. And that’s really the forecast for the week. There’s a weak system that will come in Thursday night and into Friday. It really shouldn’t affect our weather here but there may be a slight chance of some rain in northern SLO county. Saturday into Sunday it looks like another system will work its way towards us. No word on what that will do to us at this point.
As far as Lake Cachuma water level, we are at 98.4% and still continuing to rise very slightly. Lake Nacimiento is still at 86%. Just an incredible rise in Lake levels in a period of a month; amazing! Enjoy your cool Sunday. It’s a great day to watch football starting at noon. The Niners are playing the Eagles and I’m sure George’s house will be people yelling for every play the Niners do well. George I wish I could be there with you. Coming home soon.
Have a great day

1/28/23

By Jack Martin on Jan 28, 2023 at 11:37 PM

Good Saturday morning,
It will be a quick report today because I have a busy morning. Today will be 5° to 10° cooler than yesterday as offshore winds turn to onshore flow as a low pressure system begins to move towards us. The only real effect for today is that it will be cooler than yesterday; sunshine and some clouds drifting in this afternoon… by tonight, there should be some winds from the northwest nothing over the top.
Sunday morning some areas will wake up to some light rain or drizzle. For the most part a dry day, cloudy and much colder. Temps will drop another 5° to 7° from Saturday. Snow level will be at about 4000 feet by Sunday night. Sunday night into Monday morning the rain chances begin. This will not be a big storm. Looks like anywhere from 1/10 to 1/3 of an inch depending on where you’re at and it will be quite chilly. Snow levels Monday night will drop to 3000 feet or below.
Tuesday things clear up and we should have a dry three days. Then on Friday a chance for another weak system coming through, but it appears that it will stay in northern areas of Santa Barbara and southern areas will stay dry. More to come on Sunday.

1/27/23

By Jack Martin on Jan 27, 2023 at 04:47 PM

Good Friday morning, 

The weekend is almost upon us. Another work week is coming to a close and a few days off for all. Today the winds have calmed to the south and we are slated to have a chamber of commerce day. Temps will be in the upper 60s with lots of sun and mild offshore flow. Just a great Friday for any January. 

Saturday offshore turns to onshore with cooler days. Saturday night low clouds return.

Sunday morning maybe even be some drizzle in the foothills with a cool day. It will be a great day to watch championship football. Did you know the 4 starting quarterbacks are 23 to 27? The next generation is taking over. I want KC and the 49ers in the Super Bowl.

Sunday night it looks like everyone will see a little rain starting, but not more than 1/4 of an inch. Rain will be very showery and fall into Monday ending mid-day. Rain will not be more than what lawn sprinklers would drop. (I hope everyone’s sprinklers are still off, you don’t need them for a while) 

 This will be a chilly system with snow levels dropping to 3000 feet. 

Tuesday through Thursday looks like we will have dry weather with warming each day.

Thursday should be fantastic with warmer temps.

Jack Martin

1/26/23

By Jack Martin on Jan 26, 2023 at 06:04 PM

A quick update from last night. 

Today all the wind is to the south as a Santa Ana event is beginning today. 

Winds have been slow to start, but they will build as the day goes on. It looks like Montecito will be spared from this event, only Ventura and the south. 

In SB just a cool start to the day with really no wind, it will warm to about 64 degrees.

Friday will be a great day for all this no wind south and warmer temps. It will be as good as it gets for this time of year.

Saturday a reversal of offshore to onshore winds.  And a much cooler day. 

Sunday looks to be ok, but clouds will increase as the day goes on.

Sunday night the rain chances begin, but in Santa Barbara, it looks more like Monday morning is the best chance for rain. Rain will be light with no more than 1/2 inch in total. Most areas will see less.

Tuesday we are back to sunshine and dry weather for at least a few days.

Have a great day, for me, every day that passes is getting a little better.

Jack Martin

1/23/23

By Jack Martin on Jan 23, 2023 at 02:48 PM

Good Monday morning,

This week is all about the wind. Last night the winds in the Montecito hills blew to 90 miles an hour. Everywhere else also felt the winds but more moderate Level from the northeast. We will still feel some wind this morning, but they will be less and the brunt of the winds are now in Ventura and LA. Their world will rock today.

After the winds pass today we are left with sunny skies with only a few high clouds 
https://zoom.earth/maps/daily/#view=30.4,-128.8,4.06z/date=2023-01-23,pm

Tonight it will be chilly but no wind. Valleys will see freezing temps and a lot of frosts on roofs Tuesday morning. Highs during the day will just be in the 60s.

Wednesday same as Tuesday but a few degrees of warming.

Thursday another wind event from the northeast, and the Montecito hills will rock again.

Friday we warm up through Saturday, with little to no wind.

Sunday the jury is still out with models differing. We will see how that plays out as the week progresses. One model is calling for some rain the other for some more wind.

We will see how it plays out.

Enjoy your day!

Jack Martin