Jack's Weather Report

3/8/19 Forecast

By Jack Martin on Mar 08, 2019 at 06:37 PM

Today a little wind and a few showers in areas. Last night the rain was really from Santa Ynez and to the north. For us in SB just some wind. 
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Most systems that move from north to south do not give Santa Barbara much rain, Because the mountain block the clouds.

This will be the case as we have 2 more weak systems that will affect us in the next 4 days . 

Thursday Forecast

By Jack Martin on Mar 07, 2019 at 04:14 PM

Good Thursday morning,

It is great to look outside and see day light starting at 5:30 am.

We will have 1 dry day before another storm rolls in tonight. The next weather system will be cold, with snow levels at 4000 feet.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

It will also bring just a little rain. We are looking at 1/10 to 1/4 of an inch between Thursday night and Friday morning.

Friday is looking to be dry for the most part, but cold. Snow levels will drop to 3000 feet.

Saturday and Sunday also look to remain dry, and chilly. Temps will be 10 degrees below normal for this time of year. 

3/6/2019 Weather Update

By Jack Martin on Mar 06, 2019 at 04:38 PM

We received 1.5 to 2 inches so far, but it is not over.

Rain is going to continue through the day.

Rain will pick up later today with possible showers with 1/2 to 1 inch rates per hour. Expect to see another 1/2 to 1 inch coastal and 1 to 2 inches in the mountains. LA is getting hammered right now.

Tonight, still a chance of showers, but rain will taper away.

Thursday for the most part will be dry, but still a chance of showers. 30% Thursday night and Friday morning. One more round of rain. This will be on the lighter side. Friday afternoon we dry out for 2 days. Friday afternoon through Sunday afternoon will be dry.

Sunday night and Monday morning, one more rain storm. Again on the lighter side.

3/5/2019 Rain Forecast

By Jack Martin on Mar 05, 2019 at 04:04 PM

Good Tuesday morning,

Are we ready for Action...... well you will need to wait until this afternoon. 

The low pressure system has slowed it's movement some, so rain will hold off 4 hour from predictions of yesterday.

Looks like the 12 to 1pm hour is about right for the rain to start.

Rain will start up around 1pm and pick up intensity as the afternoon turns to evening.

6pm to 6am will see the heaviest rain, really the 6am part is over LA. For us the heaviest rain should taper around 2 am. 

As this system approaches, it is going to stall over the SLO and Santa Barbara counties.

This will bring us a longer period of heavy rain. We are looking at 1/2 to 8/10 of an inch per hour.

There will be good south flow and winds of 15 to 25 miles an hour.

With this, clouds will hit the hills and ring out the rain cloud.

Expect the heaviest accumulations over our south-facing mountains of SB and Montecito. 3 to 5 inches is expected. 

3/4/2019 Rainy Week

By Jack Martin on Mar 04, 2019 at 06:27 PM

Good Monday morning,

It seems week after week all we talk about is the rain. Thinking back, I think we have had rain every week for over a month, approaching 2 months.

That’s the way to break the drought, even if it is getting old….

Today we will see clouds, but no rain. Temps will be cool and below normal. This has been a trend for over a month.

Tonight, the low in the pacific moves closer to us. This is going to drift to the northeast and draw in the subtropical moisture.

This is a good sized low that will stall as it moves east. Rain will start up north to south Tuesday morning.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

3/3/19

By Jack Martin on Mar 04, 2019 at 06:19 PM

Good Sunday morning,

It has certainly been very active from the weather front. Next week will be no different.

Saturday’s system brought us almost 2 inches of rain, and between the 2 storms last week, 3 inches coastal and 4 inches in the mountains. 

This active rain pattern is going to continue. Today there is still a chance for scattered showers, but where they fall, it will likely be less than 1/10 of an inch.

Tonight and Monday will be dry. In reality it will be one of the few dry days next week.

Monday night, the next system starts to roll in. You can see it taking the same path and rolling in from Hawaii.

Rainy Saturday 3/2/19

By Jack Martin on Mar 04, 2019 at 05:58 PM

Once again, the heavier rain came over night. Of course it is like an alarm clock for me. 

At least I went to bed at 8 pm. 

Looking back on this rainy season, and past. Typically we will get good rain for a week, then a break for a week.

This year however, there has been no real breaks for a week. 

This trend will continue next week, as we have 2 more systems lined up for Tuesday night though Wednesday, now another on Friday. 

Everyone is now over 100% of rain fall for the year. Some are as much as 141% so far. 

We know of 2 more systems to come after today’s rain. Then we have the month of March.

At this pace there is no reason we will not fill all lakes. 

March the 1st Has Arrived

By Jamie Graham on Mar 01, 2019 at 04:06 PM

2/28/19

By Jack Martin on Feb 28, 2019 at 04:45 PM

It is the last day of February and we have had quite an active weather month. 

Yesterday the rain started out quiet, but as the day went into the evening, the rain picked up.

We received close to 3/4 of an inch yesterday.

Where this was not a heavy rain. It certainly will keep all the creeks flowing.

https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/images/countyPrecipMaps/santabarbara_24HRprecip.png

Today will be cool and cloudy. Any rain chances should go away in the next few hours.

Friday, a weak ridge for the day. Then Friday night, the next system rolls in. 

2/27/2019

By Jack Martin on Feb 27, 2019 at 04:49 PM

Good Wednesday morning.

Another rainy Wednesday. I have not been keeping track, but I think Wednesdays the entire month of February have been wet.

Today will be no different. This next system will be on the weaker side. It also appears we will have a little time this morning to button up some work.

Rain is in SLO right now and moving south into Sant Maria.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/animate.php?root=radar_cr&list=VBX_7.png,VBX_6.png,VBX_5.png,VBX_4.png,VBX_3.png,VBX_2.png,VBX_1.png,VBX_0.png

Looks like the Santa Ynez Valley will see rain around 9 am and Santa Barbara around 11 am.