Jack's Weather Report

How long has it been since we have seen natural water flow in the Santa Ynez river?

This is a great site to see. I lived in the valley for 25 years, and seeing the river do this is great.

Good Monday morning,

Take a look at these rain total for the last 4 days so far. San Marcos Pass has over 8 inches so far with more to come..... today and Tuesday

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA

Right now it is raining pretty strong over Paso and SLO.

Rain will move over Patty's house in Santa Ynez in the next few hours.

My house will see it soon after... 7 am.

Good Sunday morning,

What a day you all had on Saturday. Watching it from my devices is not the same as being there live. 

As you wake up this morning, things are beginning to come back to normal. 

It will be calmer today with only some showers. 

However there is still lots of Action on its way.

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Good Saturday morning,

Well it is game on…. We have received around ¾ of an inch of rain so far, but the event is just starting.

The heavy rain is starting up in Santa Barbara right now. Heavy rain will fall from 4am to 10am in SB. 6am to noon Ventura and 7am into the afternoon in LA.

Here we go. 4:25pm your time 7:25pm mine. In my Miami office … “I thought that sounded pretty Cool. “

Really I am just heading on a cruise, but still working on the event and work stuff.

I figured I should at least give a update, before the event.

The real event will not start until after midnight, but some lighter rain will start up in a few hours.

This is the real deal.

The latest forecast indicates everything said earlier in the day, it is right in line with current time.

We are going to have a period of around 12 hours of real heavy rain.

Good morning,

Are you ready for the biggest storm, we have seen this rainy season? 

Today it is calm, with only high clouds until this evening, then the event begins.

It's funny, I was trying to think what to call this, we will go with EVENT.

Rain will start out light this evening, and will pick up as the night continues. By around 4am the event really starts. It is going to blow and rain really hard. This is also going to be a prolonged event. With every update, the weather service has increased the rain totals. If there has been any storm to be aware of in Montecito, this will be the one... 

Good Thursday morning Jim... it is Thursday now!

The rain is now knocking on most all of your doors. We have a nicely defined low rolling through this morning. Rain will fall for around 6 hours, then some showers. By the afternoon we will see peaks of sunshine. As nice as this system looks from the sky, it does not have a lot of moisture to tap into. 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Even with lack of moisture we still have south flow, so the mountains in SB will help the totals with around an inch in the hills. For us 1/2 to 3/4 is likely. 

Good Thursday morning,

2 more days of January, then we welcome February. 

For the record, February is normally our wettest month, and also our shortest month. 

This all means we should have more rain days.

With that being said, we are going to start February with rain, it is also looking like we will see at least 3 different systems in the 7 day forecast. 

We have 2 more dry days, then the tap opens.

Thursday or over night Wednesday the rain will begin. We will see light to moderate rainfall 1/4 to 1/2 inch. LA will see more 1/4 to 3/4.

This first system is weaker and will not pack a big punch.