Jack's Weather Report

Good Tuesday morning,

This will be a quick update.

Today warm temps and some high clouds floating over us as a low-pressure system approaches from the north. https://zoom.earth/

Tonight and Wednesday some lighter rain in SLO and northern Santa Barbara county. Lompoc and possibly Santa Ynez, but 1/10th or less

Thursday and Friday a ridge builds in. Warm temps in the 60s

Saturday through Monday rain for all. This is a warmer system so snow level 6000 feet. Rain will come in 2 or 3 different periods through the weekend.

Next Tuesday a ridge builds in.

The preliminary rainfall forecast is for Friday through Monday. Timeframe (subject to frequent revision) call for 1 to 2 inches, with 2 to 4 inches across the southwest facing slopes and 5+ inches over NW SLO county.

Good Monday morning,

I thought I would start off the week with lake levels and rain totals and percentages for the season and year. As you know we have basically had little to no rain for the last few weeks and this is the heart of our rainy season. Even with the lack of recent rains we are still around normal because of the big storm before Christmas.

Here are the numbers:
Gibralter Reservoir: 96.4%
Cachuma Reservoir: 90.6%
Jameson Reservoir: 100.3%

Now for our forecast. this week is starting out warmer with lows today in the 40s and highs in the upper 60s. This is quite nice for this time of year and the good weather will continue through Friday. Wednesday a weak storm passes but nothing to note.
Dry through Friday.

Friday night through the weekend the storm door opens. We will see 3 days of rain chances and likely 1/2 to 1 inch and 2 inches on south facing mountains.

These are early numbers, but time will tell, as we get into the week.

Basically the party is ending and we will resume the typical wet pattern that we find in January and February each year. This does not mean rain every day, but generally we get a week or so of rain then a break for a week. This will likely be the case all the way through February and into March.

We are in an El Niño year...Enjoy the dry weather this week, it will be a wet weekend

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,

Winter is crazy right now around the country, while it seems cold here, that is not the case. Just watching football yesterday showed you how cold it was elsewhere. The chiefs game started at 0 degrees and ended with negative 8 and wind chill of 38 below. Now that is freezing cold.

For us spoiled and over taxed folks in Southern California, 30s for a low and mid 60s for highs looks pretty sweet compared to the rest of the country.

This next work week’s weather is looking just fine. Lots of sun, no rain, cold mornings, warm days in the sun and some wind at times through Friday.

Now we will talk about the change. It does look like we will be getting into a wet pattern starting as soon as next Saturday. We will get back into a wet pattern for likely at least a week. Our Rainy seasons seem to roll with very wet weather for a few weeks followed by dry for another week or so. Starting next Saturday it looks like a wet rainy pattern will develop. We are in the 2 wettest months in our season for rain. January and February are typically very wet.

We are in El Niño if you have forgotten due to the dry weather. This season is still on track to be as wet or wetter than last season.

Get anything wrapped up that requires dryness because the wet weather is going to return quickly.

Enjoy 6 More days of dry, next weekend will change.

Have a great Sunday

Jack Martin

Good Saturday morning,

A great weekend ahead with nice winter weather, highs in the low 60s and lows at night in the 30s to low 40s.

Tonight a weak system passes through and brings light rain to SLO, 1/10th of an inch. Here nothing, only some wind.

Sunday a nice day with warming 2 to 3 degrees. https://zoom.earth/

Next week not a lot of excitement, another weak low passes Wednesday, but looks to affect only SLO, here dry all week.

This pattern continues through Friday at least, but the extended forecast is looking like rain will return starting the week of the 19 of January.

These are the words of the national weather service.

The mostly dry pattern will likely persist through next Friday. We may enter a wetter pattern as early as next weekend with the Climate Prediction Center indicating a 40-50 percent chance of above normal rainfall in the 6-10 day period (Jan 18-22).

Enjoy one more week of dry weather the pattern will be changing likely next weekend.

Jack Martin

Ok now it is really Friday,

It is a chilly start to our morning 30 degrees in Santa Ynez and low 40s in SB.

Today will be a cold start, but plenty of warming with the sunshine. Today will be warmer than yesterday, highs in the lower 60s.

As The weekend is approaching Saturday will be similar to today chilly night and low 60s during the day. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/

Saturday night, a weak low pressure system approaches and the affects will only be felt on the central coast. Here, no rain, just cool and some wind.

It looks like Sunday we will see some Santa Ana winds and warming day time temps.

Looking into next week we will see continued dry weather through Wednesday and at this point likely the rest of the week.

If you look at the graphic, you can see all the atmospheric moisture is remaining to the north. Keeping us dry and our friend in the north quite wet with lots of rain and snow.

The AR will sag south at some point likely the week of 22nd and we will return to winter rainy season. Stay tuned and have a great weekend

For those that follow lake levels we are sitting pretty good for the first half of January, even with little rainfall https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Good Friday morning,

Wind and more wind through the day. You can see the clouds on Zoom Earth, which indicates lots of wind.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.6,-110.8,4z

Today the low passes through and the wind continues. North winds through the day and light snow on north-facing mountains. No rain for us just chilly and windy. 

Making the forecast easy, this trend will continue through next Wednesday. Periods of wind, cold temps, and some warming in between. No rain for the next week. 

Have a great day and enjoy the dry cold winter weather. It will change I promise.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Crazy that 1 year ago yesterday we had the wild storm with flooding everywhere. It was a far cry from last year. The current weather is all about sunshine, cold and winds as another dry and cold low drops into the interior of California.
https://zoom.earth/

This will bring lots of wind and some light snow on north mountains. Mountains should expect 45 to 55 mile an hour winds tonight with 80 mile an hour gusts. It will be quite cold and wild winds. Not a good place to be.

It looks like our dry weather will continue through the next week, with a few more inside sliders that will really keep us cold, windy and sunny.

This is great news for my sewer project at my house in Santa Ynez, but bottom line this will change and we will get back to El Niño.

It is still early in our rainy season and I do expect wild rains to return before the end of January.

In the mean time, dress warm and be ready for wind. Winds will be felt everywhere tonight and Saturday night.

It sure is pretty and clear out there.

Jack Martin

A week into the new year, I think I am finally getting it down to write a 24 after the date.

It is cold out there. 36 in Santa Ynez and 49 here, and it is only getting colder this week. Just look at the lows in the 20s in the valley. Highs will be in the upper 50s to 60 degrees
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.03501176834101&lat=34.61117088969736

Looking at the forecast the next 7 days there is just not a lot happening. Sunny, cold days and nights most of the week with below normal temps.

Rain chances are low and if we do see any rain through the week it will be very light.

Rain chances start Wednesday night, with a weak system just like Saturday's. An inside slider. Saturday nights system we saw lot of wind, but only .001 to .003 of rain.

This will be another result of the same with Wednesday night system. After that our next shot of rain will be Saturday into Sunday, however there is no agreement on the long range models. The only agreement is it will be on the lighter side if we do see rain.

Bottom line, cold and dry is pretty much what to expect this week. Frost on roofs is likely in the valleys and some foothills. Be careful on those roofs 😂 leave it to the pros.

Have a great week, don’t forget the game tonight Huskies Vs Michigan should be a good one. As I check off my boxes of teams, between the 2, I will root for the huskies... And what was the pac 12.

Have a great week, bring a jacket and maybe gloves

The first weekend in 2024 is approaching.

Today we start out with cooler weather and some high clouds over head. No real excitement to report other the minor winds.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=35.9,-107,4z

Saturday an inside slider will drop south. This is a very weak system that should not result in any rain, but it will become quite windy, especially in the mountains. Expect north and northwest winds with gusts in the mountains of 60 to 70 miles an hour. Less Breezy at lower elevations but still windy.

Where wind is not a factor, cold will there will be some areas with freezing temps

Once that system blow though Sunday we are off to good weather through at least Wednesday. High pressure and some off shore winds will warm us up to the low to mid 60s.

Wednesday night into Thursday another weak system that will bring little rain, if any.

It is looking like next week will remain dry for the most part.

Beyond that models are struggling with long range forecast. At this point it looks like we could get back into a wet pattern the middle of January.

Have a great Friday and enjoy your weekend.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Over night we had rain. We received anywhere from 1/3 to 2/3 of an inch.
Not a huge rain maker, but today will be about the cold air, wind and showers.

Satellite shows the front has moved into LA but the cold air is just arriving. If you look at the little dots out in the pacific that’s the cold air and showers.
https://zoom.earth/

Not a lot more rain today, but some showers are likely. These will be in the form of snow above 4500 feet and showers below. These clouds will not hold much moisture because of the cold air. Expect shower chances through 10pm tonight.

Thursday and Friday will be dry and colder. Highs will barely make 60.

Saturday the next system moves in Saturday night. This is looking like it will be further inland so rainfall will likely be light if any, but don’t bet the house at this point, just stay tuned.

Enjoy the winter day and high surf. Thursday morning it will appear you can reach out and touch the islands because of the crystal clear skies from this wind and rain affect.

Jack Martin