Jack's Weather Report
1/29/24
Good Monday morning,
No I was not sleeping in... It's just been a busy morning, but my weather groups are never to be forgotten.
Today the continued summer weather will be upon us with upper 70s to 80 degrees.
Tuesday more of the same, but high pressure begins to move east.
Wednesday the first system to bring us rain will begin to move in. rain Wednesday night in SLO, then drop to us early Thursday morning.
Thursday will be a wet day; we are looking at a good system with lots of moisture to mix with the low-pressure system. This will bring us rain into Friday.
We are looking at 1 to 2.5 coastal, 2 to 4 inches in the mountains and 5 or more on south faces. (Yep, a good rain) with rates per hour from 1/3 to ¾ inch at times.
Looks like drier Saturday before rain moves in again Sunday.
Looking into the long-range models we will see rain into mid-February.
Enjoy the great weather the next 2 days, then winter returns. Snow levels will start out at 6000 to 6500 feet and drop to 3000 on Friday. This is a colder storm.
Jack Martin
1/26/24
Good Friday morning,
The weekend is almost here and it is going to be a really nice warm one https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.6897277496755&lat=34.42976536745786
Highs today 71 in Santa Barbara, 75 Saturday and warmer Sunday. Just great weather for the weekend.
Monday and Tuesday high pressure continues and warmer temps. Tuesday the ridge breaks down.
Wednesday low pressure rolls towards us with chances of rain stating in the afternoon.
Wednesday night and Thursday rain is expected moderate to heavy at times, but still too far out to have a good handle on this.
This weekend high surf and the Rincon classic. The weather will be as good as it gets for this surf competition.
Enjoy the weekend regardless of what you’re doing, it will be a great weekend to get outside and call family around the country where it is bitter cold.
Jack Martin
1/25/24
Good Thursday morning,
A Weak low pressure system passed through yesterday with some light rain north and light drizzle here.
This morning, fog is out there, but by this afternoon, high pressure and off shore flow builds.
Zoom Earth | Live Weather Map & Hurricane Tracker
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=50.7,-136.9,4.18z
Friday, warming weather and above normal temps through the entire weekend.
Saturday and Sunday you are going to love the forecast. High pressure and off shore flow will spell the warmest weather of 2024. Temps will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Highs for all will be in the 70s and some valley areas into the 80s.
Next week the nice weather continues into Tuesday then it changes on Wednesday.
Wednesday the storm door opens again with a series of systems giving us rain on and off into the second week of February. It looks like an atmospheric river is possible.
Meaning the subtropical moisture is like a river in the air. Combined with cold air, it drops lots of rain.
Now this is still in the long range models and you really can not trust long range models, but it is something to watch over the next 2 weeks.
Bottom line, it will be a fantastic weekend, with warm temps through the weekend.
Beyond, stay tuned. It is just the start of February, later next week. the wettest time of year is upon us.
Enjoy the great weather starting Friday and better Saturday and Sunday!
As far as lake levels, all lakes are full except for Cachuma at 91%. Nacimento is 61% San Antonio 65%. Needless to say all these numbers are pretty good for this time of year.
High surf this weekend for surfers
Enjoy,
Jack Martin
1/23/24
Good Tuesday morning,
The rain is over, but it was a success with total of 2 to 3 inches in the Santa Barbara area over the period Friday through Monday.
The big winner was Rocky Butte in SLO with 8.86 inches, locally San Marcos pass and Refugio pass both had over 3 inches.
https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA
So what’s up next? Well. the wind of course. Between the rain and the wind, it should be crystal clear out there today. You also need to check out the full moon.
Today we will see warming begin with temps a few degrees warmer.
Wednesday a weak low-pressure system will bring rain to SLO and northern Santa Barbara county ¼ inch or less. None here in southern Santa Barbara county.
Thursday, we start a nice warm up with offshore winds.
Friday through Monday it will be great weather for January with 70s and lots of sunshine.
Next week, it looks like the storm track returns Wednesday or Thursday, so enjoy the great weather, but don’t get to use to it.
We are getting into the shortest month of the year, but the wettest for southern California.
Enjoy the views today, the island should be picture perfect.
Jack Martin
1/22/24
Good Monday morning,
The wet weekend continues today with the heaviest rain. The only good part about a rainy weekend is there was really no rain during the day.
Certainly not beach weather, but at least it was dry for the most part. Today the strongest and wettest system rolls through. https://zoom.earth
The new work week is here, but in the construction industry many jobs will take a pause today.
Today the rain was falling pretty heavy from 2 to 4 am in SB. The heavier rain is now in Ventura and heading south to LA just in time for the commute this morning.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVTX/standard
Today it looks like rain through around noon for our area, and heavy at times. This afternoon rain will turn to showers.
Tonight there is a 20% to 40% chance of thunderstorms and heavy rain. Models are still trying to figure that part out, so we will focus on today.
The Santa Barbara area will see the greatest rainfall numbers today because of the south flow and subtropical jet. South winds of 25 miles an hour is likely at times, causing enhanced rain squeezing all rain out of the sky due to the south facing mountains.
After tonight we dry out here in SB and south. SLO will still see a little more rain on Wednesday as a weak system passes through. For us dry weather the rest of the week.
Plus a warming trend with 4 to 8 degrees above normal for next weekend. Maybe you can break out the suntan lotion 😊.
Looking into the crystal ball it looks like the wet pattern returns the first of February, nine days away.
Enjoy the day off if you are in the construction industry (not me). This will be one of those Mondays that weekend warriors do not need to call in sick (again not me)
Have a great day and stay dry.
Did you see the Chief’s game yesterday? Great game especially if you like the chiefs. Talyor swift was there, but Jason Kelce stole the show with shirt off and downing a beer.
If you have not seen the Kelsey documentary on amazon prime called KELCE you need to watch it. It was great.
A true Phila man and fan, being from Phila many moons ago it was hilarious.
Ok that’s the excitement for the day.
Jack Martin
1/21/24
Good Sunday morning,
Rain last night came down pretty good and the rain totals are now starting to add up, and we are just beginning to get into the wet period. The Santa Barbara area has received the most rain so far with everyone approaching 1 inch.
https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA
Today we will see rain again as the next wave moves in today, tonight and Monday.
This will be the heaviest rain with rates tonight and Monday at 1/2 to 3/4 an inch per hour. Everyone will receive another 1 to 2 inches and 2 to 4 in the mountains.
Rain will end Monday night and we will dry out the rest of the week.
Enjoy the rain, and I am sure lots will be watching football 🏈
Jack Martin
1/20/24
Good Saturday morning,
Looks like lull in the rain for the rest of today. Everyone has received around a half an inch coastal the hills 3/4 of an inch Santa Ynez and Lake Cachuma less than a quarter so far
https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA
Today some light rain and drizzle but accumulation of no more than 1/10 to a quarter of an inch.
Tonight we’ll get another round of rain. Rain will pick up tonight overnight then on Sunday we’ll see another lull before heavier rain comes in again on Sunday night and Monday.
All in all, everything is on track for 1 to 3 inches along the coast 2 to 5 inches in the mountains during the period of Friday night through Monday night
This is not a huge storm, but will make a decent impact on the area.
Tuesday through the end of the week looks to be dry.
Enjoy the indoor activities this weekend probably watching football or if you’re not into football then movies iy is!
Have a nice weekend. Talk to you soon.
Jack Martin
11/19/24
Good Friday morning,
It is funny, I am watching the news in the background, and it is crazy cold and snowy around the country. I am glad I do not live there.
For us it is the Last day of the work week will be a busy day at Action. As everyone is aware by now, we have rain on the way.
Today, lots of clouds, but no rain until tonight. The low-pressure system is 650 miles west of San Francisco right now https://zoom.earth/
This will move over us throughout the day and rain will begin on the central coast late in the afternoon and arrive north to south late tonight into Saturday.
Rain will really come in a few waves, but for the most part we will see good rainfall totals through Monday.
Tonight through Sunday evening it will rain, but on and off. All in all over the 2-day period Friday night to Sunday evening .75 to 1.5 inches is expected coastal.
Less in LA, more on south facing mountains where 2 to 4 are possible.
Sunday night the second wave will arrive. This will start Sunday night and last through Monday night and will bring another .75 to 2 inches of rain.
All in all, over the entire storm system through Monday night we can see 1 to 2 inches coastal. 2 to 4 inches in the foothills and 4 to 6 inches in SLO and south facing mountains.
South flow will give higher rain totals to the Santa Barbara area. We will see how much falls, but 2 plus inches is likely.
Snow levels will remain around 6500 feet and snow accumulation of 8 to 16 inches. After that clearing Tuesday through the rest of the week.
Enjoy the first wet weekend of 2024.
Jack Martin
1/19/24
Good Friday morning,
It is funny, I am watching the news in the background, and it is crazy cold and snowy around the country. I am glad I do not live there.
For us it is the Last day of the work week will be a busy day at Action. As everyone is aware by now, we have rain on the way.
Today, lots of clouds, but no rain until tonight. The low-pressure system is 650 miles west of San Francisco right now https://zoom.earth/
This will move over us throughout the day and rain will begin on the central coast late in the afternoon and arrive north to south late tonight into Saturday.
Rain will come in a few waves, but for the most part, we will see good rainfall totals through Monday.
Tonight through Sunday evening it will rain, but on and off. All in all over the 2-day period Friday night to Sunday evening .75 to 1.5 inches is expected coastal.
Less in LA, more on south-facing mountains where 2 to 4 are possible.
Sunday night the second wave. This will start Sunday night and last through Monday night and will bring another .75 to 2 inches of rain.
All in all, over the entire storm system through Monday night we can see 1 to 2 inches coastal . 2 to 4 inches in the foothills, and 4 to 6 inches in SLO and south-facing mountains.
The south flow will give higher rain totals to the Santa Barbara area. We will see how much falls, but 2 plus inches is likely.
Snow levers will remain around 6500 feet and snow accumulation of 8 to 16 inches. After that clearing Tuesday through the rest of the week.
Enjoy the first wet weekend of 2024.
Jack Martin
1/18/24
Good Thursday morning,
As always another week flying by. It’s crazy to think back when I was young. Days seemed to last forever and those car rides were a lifetime, even if it was 2 hours in time🤔.
Today we are looking at a nice day with lows only in the 40s with some low 50s to start the day. Highs will range from the lower 60s to upper 60s.
This is thanks to high pressure allowing all clouds to rise up and over us.
Friday the ridge moves east and the first low pressure system approaches with rain.
This will arrive Friday afternoon with high clouds, but rain will not start until Friday night.
Friday night into Saturday we will see rain, but lighter. Rain will be on and off with only 1/4 to 1/2 inch through the period.
Saturday night and Sunday Day will be cloudy, but dry for the most part.
Sunday night and most of Monday is when the stronger system arrives. This will be a good rain maker, but snow levels will remain at around 7000 feet. Resorts will see snow, but none locally. Rain will be 1 to 2 inches coastal 2 to 4 in the mountains with south facing mountains getting the most because of the counterclockwise rotation and subtropical moisture. Rain rates should stay under 1/2 inch per hour, so downtown flooding is not a factor.
Enjoy the fun, it is the rainy season. The good news is Tuesday through the rest of next week will be dry again. I love California weather. When it rains it really does. I will take this over Seattle drizzle 250 days a year, or at least it seems like that.
Jack Martin