Jack's Weather Report
2/16/23
Good Thursday morning,
Another week is flying by, but this morning bitter cold out there. For those of you waking up and Santa Ynez 28° Santa Barbara 40°. Other than the cold temperatures the next three days really are pretty much uneventful.
The low-pressure system that was going to be coming in for the weekend is looking to not really affect our weather much.
Friday morning we will wake up to a little warmer temperatures, but still some frost and freeze in the valleys.
The weekend looks to be sunny here and slightly warmer. Nothing over the top, but I’ll take what we can get.
The extended forecast for next week it’s looking for dry the first half of the week and then all models are hinting towards a substantial storm at the end of the week, which will result in a few days of rain. This is still a ways out, but we will need to keep an eye on this as we get into early next week.
Highs this weekend should be around 65 with Lows in the mid-40s in Santa Barbara and low 40s in Santa Ynez valley.
Stay tuned for next week's forecast and updates.
Jack Martin
2/14/23
Happy Valentine’s Day,
If you have not remembered this or have not gotten your spouse a present or flowers this is a fair warning for you. Personally, I love Costco and I order roses weeks ahead of time.
Valentine's weather will be chilly and windy all day. Winds will be 20 to 35 miles an hour. With a high of 59 degrees.
Tonight the cold air will really bare down on us as valleys will see freezing temps. 4 inches of snow could fall on the grapevine. Here in Santa Barbara, just a bitterly cold night and morning.
Wednesday through Friday if you are expecting warmer weather then you will be disappointed. Highs will only get into the low 60s with cooler nights.
The weekend is looking unstable with a rain chance and a cut-off low possible. Rain, where it does fall, will be 1/2 inch or less.
This weekend is another holiday weekend that only schools, banks, and government celebrates. Normal businesses just wake up Monday and go to work and learn that another Presidents’ Day holiday has come and gone.
Have a great Valentine’s Day, dress warm or snuggle because chilly and windy are the words of the day.
Jack Martin
2/12/23
Good Superbowl Sunday,
Hope everyone is ready for a fun game and day. I found it very interesting that some schools were going to start late because of Superbowl festivities.
Here in SOCAL, the weather system that brought us wind is now 100 miles south of us https://zoom.earth/ This really has done nothing but brought us wind and chilly weather.
Monday through Wednesday will bring cooler weather with lows in the 40s and highs in the low 60s, some areas to the north will struggle to even hit 60 as a high.
Tuesday night the wind arrives again as another inside slider rolls through Wednesday the cold is here again with freezing temps in valley areas.
The rest of the work week is continued cooler weather through Friday.
The weekend is looking like another chance of rain. Models do differ at this point, but it is pointing toward rain with a system coming down the coast and staying offshore.
The bottom line it will be a cool week, and those high Gas bills will continue because of the cold weather. “ I laugh when I talk about the 60s being cold “
Instead of giving all that money to the gas company, we give it to the state of California. I would rather give it to the gas company 😊
Enjoy the Superbowl, this should be a great game.
Have a great week, March is a little over 2 weeks away
Jack Martin
2/10/23
Good Friday morning,
I hope everybody enjoys the great weather. We had yesterday all about the change after today. Tonight start to see some high clouds moving in and everybody has a slight chance of rain on Saturday, but the biggest effect will be the cold weather. Rain is more likely on the central coast than in Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara's colder weather.
Super Bowl Sunday looking at cooler weather with a little bit of wind but overall a fair day.
Next week it’s like an inside slider with extremely cold weather and wind some areas we’ll see the 20s for Lows. Sundowner Winds are likely in Santa Barbara, Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain is not likely.
Today will be the last warmer day enjoy
Jack Martin
2/7/23
Good Tuesday Morning,
High pressure is creating a dome around us today, there is a weather system to the north, but not below SF https://zoom.earth/
It is mighty chilly out there to start your day. Waking up in the Santa Ynez valley it is a cold 32 degrees and in Santa Barbara a chilly 42 degrees.
The good news is we are starting a nice warm-up for the next 3 days, today is only slightly warmer but for each day to follow 70s is in our forecast.
Today we will see highs a few degrees warmer with the mid-60s and tonight slightly warmer with the mid-40s.
Wednesday Northeast winds and warming temps for all. Everyone will start to see low 70s and sunny skies. This is the start of the first heatwave of 2023.
Thursday is the warmest day of the week with the mid to upper 70s for all. Enjoy the outdoors at lunch or all day if you’re lucky enough.
Friday is still a great day with slightly cooler temps. Highs are still around 70.
Saturday a low-pressure system approaches, it is still not 100% clear what this will do, at this point, it looks to be dry, but much cooler.
We will have to see where this tracks to over the next few days, there still could be some showers Saturday.
Superbowl Sunday is cooler but slightly warming into the mid-60s and dry. A sweatshirt might be in order for outdoor parties.
Next week it still looks to be dry but cooler through midweek, with no rain in site at this point.
At lake Cachuma, the water level is almost 100% at 99.8%, just about ready to top, it is likely a release is in the future.
Enjoy the great warm weather for the next 4 days, especially Thursday.
Jack Martin
2/6/23
Good Monday Morning,
The system has passed as everyone felt the winds last night. It blew hard at my house, today the system is moving East. https://zoom.earth/
Today is starting out warmer than expected, with 41 in the valley and 53 in Santa Barbara. Today will be cool with highs in the mid-60s.
Tuesday high pressure and offshore flow build in. Temps will rise slightly, but the real warm weather is to come.
Wednesday, warmer and 70s for all with the offshore flow.
Thursday will be the warmest day of the week with temps 4 to 8 degrees above normal and mid-70s.
Friday, we cool slightly, but still a nice day.
The weekend looks for cloudy skies, but the models are now backing off any chance of rain. Of course for selfish reasons we want the weather to be nice for outdoor Superbowl parties
have a great week.
Jack Martin
2/3/23
Good Friday morning,
Today we will see lots of high clouds as a weak system will pass to the North bringing rain from San Francisco to northern SLO. Only high clouds here https://zoom.earth/
Saturday we will have a pop-up ridge which will make it the warmest day in the next 7 days. highs in the upper 60s.
Saturday night a slightly stronger system approaches and moves Saturday ridge to the East. This will result in rain in SLO with ¼ of an inch and ½ in the mountains.
As it approaches point conception it really weakens and will only create light rain for us. We are looking at around 1/10 inch maybe ¼ of an inch in the hills.
This is very weak with no southern support.
Sunday will be breezy and cool. Highs will be in the low 60s to upper 50s.
Next week we are looking at dry weather all week. Monday through Wednesday northeast Santa Ana winds and some warming. Thursday is dry, but the models can’t decide whether it will be windy or just warming. Needless to say, we will see very little rain Sunday and nothing beyond that.
Take a look at Lake Cachuma at 99.3% as of yesterday https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf
Jay provides a great photo of the dam at Cachuma, it is just amazing.
Have a great weekend, Saturday should be the best day to get outside
Jack Martin
2/2/23
Good Thursday morning,
Today we’re looking at dry weather with some high clouds showing up ahead of a week front that is moving down the coast. This will do nothing more than give us high clouds and no rain. Offshore flow is still holding together today with winds of 15 to 25 miles an hour from the Northeast.
Friday ridge is built-in and it will remain nice through Saturday.
Saturday night another slightly stronger system will pass through and create some rain for all. It really has no southern component so rain on the central coast is up to half an inch but as it rounds point conception. Any rain that occurs in Santa Barbara it’s going to be a very light quarter inch or less. Sunday night we’re looking at North-winds fairly strong.
Monday and Tuesday we’re looking at offshore flow warming temperatures and nice weather
Wednesday the jury is still out but it’s looking dry.
Overall, we have very little rain in sight for the next week mostly dry, with only some light rain overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. It should be mostly dry Sunday.
Have a great day
Jack Martin
2/1/23
Good Wednesday morning,
February 1st, and a start of a new month. Today most are waking up to a chilly start to the day. 34 in Santa Ynez and 45 in Santa Barbara. The good news is offshore flow will warm us up nicely to around 70 degrees for a high. That will be a nice change once it warms up.
Thursday looks to be another chilly start, but warming into the upper 60s in the afternoon with some high clouds starting to flow as offshore turns to onshore.
Friday a weak system rolls through, no rain for us, possibly a little in far northern SLO.
Saturday a ridge pops up for a decent day but Saturday night the next system rolls towards us. This system is stronger and will likely drop some rain all Sunday morning. This is weaker with rainfall of 1/2 inch or less. It will be over by Sunday afternoon.
Next week is looking dry at this point with at least the first half of the week with sunny skies.
On the lakeside Cachuma is at 99% now and still filling slowly. Nacimiento still 86%.
I can’t wait to be able to drive past the lake and see all the water. https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/rainfallreport.pdf
Have a great day!
Jack Martin
1/30/23
Good Monday morning,
As we all wake up, we have some scattered rain showers out there. These are going to continue till about 11 o’clock this morning. Then we should begin to clear up. You can see the rain currently moving to the south it’s just a little wraparound over.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KVBX/standard
Rain totals of varied anywhere from 1/10 to a quarter of an inch. Montecito has been the big winner with .26 so far . The snow level is at 3000 feet and snow is falling on the grapevine and interstate 5 with traffic being escorted through the snow area. local Mountain will see 1 to 2 inches of snow and higher mountains 2 the 4 inches this morning.
Today will see the rain chances decrease as the day goes on then Tuesday through Thursday will have dry cold weather with sunshine.
Friday another system rolls in this week we’re only affect northern Santa Barbara County and SLO county .
Saturday dry then Sunday another system rolls and this looks to be a little bit stronger and will affect our area. All rain later this week will be on the lighter side with no atmospheric river connection. I hope everybody has a great week and enjoy the cold weather because it just seems to continue week after week. Next week is set up for another cool week.
Have a great day
Jack Martin