Jack's Weather Report

Wow, that was crazy yesterday. Santa Barbara area was a bullseye for the rain and wet weather. The big winner was Carpentaria where they received 1/2 inch of rain, Santa Barbara was a close 2nd with .30 inches. All the other surrounding counties saw very little rain, except for us https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/getlocal.php?prod=LAXRRMSBA

Today we see and feel the change, it is foggy and cooler. Humidity is gone.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=36,-117.7,5.46z/date=2023-08-11,04:00,-7

Today still a very slight chance for showers, but this is LA and mountains. Here nothing to worry about.

The forecast for the weekend is looking non eventful with a slight warming trend.

Coastal fog and inland slightly warmer. A nice over all weekend which will range from 70s to 90.

Next week no excitement. Inland and valleys heat up again by mid week. Coastal we stay nice with some fog then upper 70s.

Now the excitement of the weekend will be the update on our upcoming wet El Niño year. Stay Tuned

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Let the fun begin. If you’re still in bed sleeping in SB you might have been woken to the thunder and rain. At my house I heard the rain around 4:45 and then thunder. My weather station is telling me that lighting is 6 to 8 miles from my station here at home.

What’s in store for today? Well the tropical weather that we have been talking about all week is here.
The tropical clouds are now over point conception and moving right at us. It does look like we will see some rain this morning and more thunder showers into the afternoon.

Rain totals will be very spotty, if you are under a thunder storm it can be heavy. The official percentage for rain today is 40%, but at my house 100%. We will see what actually falls, but 1/10 to 1/4 is likely, with higher amounts in the mountains and below thunderstorms. Rain chances carry through today then we begin to dry up the atmosphere tonight. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=32,-134.2,4.66z

Friday looks to be dry, but still very slight possibility of rain.
Saturday into the week, we are looking for slightly warmer, but a dry non eventful period. No excitement beyond today.

Enjoy the show today, it looks like we are going to be damp to start your Thursday.

Have a great day,
Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

The burning question of the day, will we see any rain from the tropical system floating in the pacific? Let’s start by talking about this. You can see it spinning 350 miles southwest of LA. It is starting to pump moisture up from the south towards us.
(You can see it in the loop below)
https://zoom.earth/storms/eugene-2023/

Moisture in the clouds will increase through the day today and we can see some rain possibilities later this evening and best chance Thursday morning.

Now let’s not get to worked up over this, because the atmosphere is very dry at lower levels, rain that comes from the cloud base will evaporate before it hits the ground in many cases. So what does this all mean to us?
20% chance of rain later tonight, and best chance Thursday morning. How much?
Basically 1/4 of an inch or less. Now don't get me wrong, there is a chance for thunder showers, and where the rain could be much heavier, especially in some mountain areas, mainly to the south.

Rain chance drop way off the further north you go. Rain chances will likely stop at Santa Ynez.

Beyond the rain. Humidity will increase, but temps will drop. We will actually see cooler temps the next few days especially in the valleys and interiors.

For the weekend, Friday some left over moisture, but rain chances mostly go away.

The weekend will be in the 70s to 90s depending on where you live.

Overall a nice weekend, not as hot as it has been.

Next week a little warm up, nothing crazy adding 3 to 5 degrees to the air.

In the mean time, enjoy the tropical vacation coming to us. You don't need to go to Hawaii, or Mexico. Their weather is coming to us through our nice and cool Pacific Ocean, which is a nice 65 degrees today.

Have a great day,

Jack Martin

Interesting weather for the next few days. There is what’s left of the tropical storm Eugene that will influence our weather through Thursday.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=32.2,-115.2,5.13z

Not much impact today, but Wednesday and Thursday we will see the greatest possibility for some rain.

Looks like today just cooler weather, and fog to start the day.

Tonight areas to the south could see some precipitation, but not here.

Wednesday starts the interesting part of the forecast and the best chance for us to see some rain will be Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

With systems like this it is always difficult on computer models, because we typically do not see subtropical moisture from the south.
Bottom line, water values will be elevated and the rain possibility is there from 20% to 30%. Really this can change at any moment, so watching the weather is important.

We will see how this plays out, but I will be very conservative in my approach with the possibility for rain.

Stay tuned, no rain likely today or over night, some dampness is possible only from fog at this point into Wednesday

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Here we are off and running into a new week.

Good news and interesting weather news:
1. Cooler weather through mid week, all areas will cool each day into Wednesday.
2. Subtropical moisture will arrive Tuesday night to the south and Wednesday night here. There will be a 25% to 30% chance for some light showers. We will see how this shapes up, but moisture and weather coming up from the south is difficult to predict.

It will become humid and feel more like East coast or tropical weather.
This week the cooling trend starts Tuesday with highs in the mid 80s in the valleys and mid 70s in SB. Cooler weather through the week with some fog along the coast. Temps this week overall will be below normal. All good for my guys on roofs.

Enjoy the week,

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,
The last day of fiesta 2023. I might need to make an appearance downtown just for the fun of it.

The weather should be fantastic with highs in SB in the low 80s. Hot in the valleys close to 100 in Santa Ynez.

Next week we will cool slightly Monday, but still warm with summer August weather ahead of us. As mentioned earlier tropical storm Eugene is now right off the coast of Cabo, not doing much other than humid, hot and some rain. Wind speeds are only at 65 miles an hour which is only at tropical storm category. By Wednesday of next week the models show it turning into the Southern California coast, which could spark some rain, mainly to the south. This still will be watch, and a South swell is likely for you surfers.
https://zoom.earth/storms/eugene-2023/

In the mean time summer is in full swing, weather is warm to hot.
The days are becoming shorter, as I see the day light starting a little later each morning. The ocean temp is at 65 degrees, sunrise is 6:03 am and sunset 7:55 pm. Low tide today is at 743 am at a .06 which is fairly low. It might be a good morning for a beach walk with friends, family and or your doggy. Lake levels at still high at 96% at Cachuma so no water worries for some years to come. With another El Nino year coming we will only worry about too much water.
You are now up to date from all weather fronts, enjoy your Sunday, and a am going to take most of this day off work mode.

Enjoy your day and maybe me and Pearl will be at Hendry’s beach in an hour and a half for a beach swim for her.

Jack Martin

Good Fiesta Friday morning,

Last night we had some northwest winds that warmed us up. At 8:30 it was still 79 degrees at my house.

Today we will transition back into heat in the valleys and interior as high pressure push towards us from Texas. As most of you are aware the southern states have had crazy heat this past month plus. Anything pushing west from that area means hotter weather.

This means hot weather for the weekend. Santa Barbara still nice with low 80s, but valleys in Santa Ynez will be upper 90s through the weekend, with Sunday being the hottest day. Almost 100. Interior valleys 105 to 110.

Monday we back off slightly, but still warm through the period. Not much relief in the heart of summertime in August especially for inland areas.

Down to the south towards Mexico, the satellite is getting interesting with lots of tropical Action brewing up. You can see all the activity out there on this graphic
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2

For us, as we get further into next week, we could see some subtropical weather this way from remnants of Eugene. We will have to see how this drifts towards us. Any way you look at it, the tropical season in Mexico is starting up. Hot weather for them over the next 2 months with September always being the worst month for tropical weather and heat.

Enjoy your fiesta weekend. I will watch from the side lines, maybe a trip to De La Guerra or the new spot across from Leadbetter beach at city colleges lower parking lot.

Viva La Fiesta, enjoy the parade I will be at the office.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday Morning,

Viva La Fiesta day. It all starts today! Here is the schedule Events Calendar - Old Spanish Days | Fiesta Santa Barbara (sbfiesta.org)

As far as the weather goes, it is starting out perfect. A nice cool morning to start the day with the ocean A/C working to perfection. No actual AC needed in SB. 58 degrees to start our morning!

It does look like we will have 3 cooler days with highs in the upper 70s to 80 coastal and a nice mid 80s in the valleys. This will be a nice change to the heat the valleys have seen over the last few weeks.

On Saturday it all changes back to hot. 95 to 105 in the valleys. 110 in the interior and upper 80s coastal.

Sunday will be the hottest day of the weekend and weeks.

A cooling trend will start next week, along with a possibility of monsoonal moisture moving in. This will need to be watched, but in the mean time, nice cooler weather through Friday, then we heat up Saturday, especially in the valleys and interior through Monday.

Viva La fiesta

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

I hope everyone had a great relaxing Sunday before it starts all over again today.

Sunday the tropics came to us with some humidity and subtropical clouds and weather.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=33.5,-105.8,4.35z

Today will be the first cool down day, lasting into Wednesday. High clouds should keep the heating to a minimum and valleys and inland areas will be cooler.

Don’t get used to it, because the heat wave inland returns Thursday when hot returns though the weekend.

Santa Barbara will be just fine with high around 80 each day.

Enjoy the week.

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,

Summers in Santa Barbara, how sweet it is. No where better this time of year for the next 3 months. Warm nights, 80s during the day. No thunderstorms, humidity, bugs, hurricanes or days of really hot temps.
Yesterday was just one of those days and nights. I hope everyone got to enjoy it.
No need to jump on a plane unless you’re coming here.

We have 2 more days of July, then we turn the page to August and Fiesta week.

So you ask what’s in store for the weather next week?

In Santa Barbara there will be very few changes, high in the low 80s lows in the 60s. Maybe some morning fog, but burning off quickly.
The valleys, well you will suffer though a few more days of really hot weather with upper 90s to 100 degrees. The good news is there will be a break Tuesday though Thursday where temps will drop in the the 80s, then rise again for the weekend.

Hope everyone has a great Sunday, the ocean temp is rising at 64 degrees, so a beach day is in order. Enjoy and Viva La Fiesta

Jack Martin