2/18/24

By jack martin on Feb 18, 2024 at 11:25 PM

Good Sunday morning, 

Just take a look at this comma shaped system. This a a classic west coast low pressure system that is wound up spinning tropical moisture our way. This is California version of a hurricane. It is 300 mile away from the central coast right now. Getting ready to start the Action later this afternoon on the central coast, to  around dawn in LA. 
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.8,-122.4,4z/date=2024-02-18,00:20,-8

Yesterday the rain started, but it gave everyone 1/4 to 1/3 on an inch, which was spot on the predictions. 

Today we will see a pause into the rain until mid afternoon before the real Action starts. This will bring us heavy rain tonight into Monday and really through Monday. Expect wind of 20 to 30 miles an hour with mountains up to 50 miles an hour. Rain rates have been updated and up graded to 1/2 to 1 inch per hour at the peak of the storm, with the storm last from 12 to 24 hours with heavier rain. 
Rain totals of 2 to 5 inches coastal 4 to 8 inches foothills and mountains with up to 10 inches on south facing mountains. Yes this is the real deal. Very similar to the last system that we saw, except the ground is even more saturated. All the normal problems with heavy rains will exist from down trees, mud and land slides, power outages to flooding of creek and streams. It will get interesting. 

The low pressure system will move very slowly south and is expected to pause over Ventura and LA later Monday afternoon or night. This will just pump more rain over those location.

Flash flood warnings are in effect in the burn areas and along all the creeks and stream.

Evacuation warning have gone out to all the typical locations, basically the same as the last system. Creeks, streams and burn areas. 

Tuesday a pause in the rain, before the low opens up and moves through with heavy rain Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Wednesday late morning, the rain should come to an end, with dry days Thursday and Friday. However Saturday into Sunday it looks like more rain with February going out with a bang. Let’s hope that March will be drier. We are tapped out with all the rain in the past month. 

Ok you have a little more time to prepare for the strongest part of the system.

It will be a good one. 

Jack Martin

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