12/18/23

Good Monday morning,

Not much Action out there at this point, but there are a few interesting things going on.

It is quite warm this morning, crazy warm, 59 in Santa Ynez and 66 along the coast in Santa Barbara.
The rain really has been light to non-existent at this point.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=39.49,-130.75,5z

The upper low is too far offshore and rising to the Northeast, keeping the rain to the north.

Don’t fear it will still arrive, just giving us a little more time to get ready for it. Rain will arrive later this morning or afternoon, but this first storm will be much lighter.

Rain today and Tuesday will be around ½ an inch to 1.5 inch in higher elevations. Rain will start out light then pick up tonight and most of Tuesday.

The second storm is what it will be all about. This system promises to be a strong storm. This starts up Tuesday night into Thursday, but rain will occur into Friday.

This system will wobble down the coast, and park, pumping in moisture from the subtropical jet. Yes, we are still on track for a lot of rain.

How much? Well models are still saying 2 to 5 inches, with 4 to 7 inches possible on south facing mountains.

Saturday it looks like we clear up for Christmas.

Enjoy the fun, it will get much more interesting!

Jack Martin