12/13/23

Good chilly Wednesday morning, 

Winds are shifting once again to off shore. What this means is above normal temps during the day and colder nights. There will be temperature change, day to night of 40 degrees in some locations. 

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.04623413085939&lat=34.6196473597972

Dry weather is expected through Saturday, then major changes are expected most of next week, with our first chance of rain Sunday into Monday.

Let’s start with current weather. Off shore winds will start to warm us up. Expect Friday and Saturday to be the warmest days. Highs in the mid 70s to 80 degrees in the warmest locations, but colder nights.

Sunday look for the first storm system to arrive, chances of rain starts during the day, especially on the central coast. Rain fall is not clear yet, but 1/2 to 3/4 on the central coast 1/4 to 1/2 in the Santa Barbara area and 1/10 in LA. This first system does not have a lot of moisture to work with.

After that it gets very interesting. Models are still not really aligned but if it all comes together we could see a series of storms affection us in the 7 to 12 day forecast leading up to Christmas. Right now, as it stands, we could see subtropical moisture combined with low pressure later next week. Should this happen we will see heavy rain, and likely a series of systems from the 20th to at least the 25th. 

Nothing is for sure right now, but we need to watch this closely as we get into the weekend. It does appear we will be getting into a wet pattern, just how wet is still to be determined.

Stay tuned, this is the time of year where Jack's forecast gets interesting.

Jack Martin