By Jack Martin on Jan 02, 2023 at 03:21 PM

Good Monday morning 2023,

I hope everyone had a nice New Year. Banks, government, schools, and banks are all closed today, but not roofers.

We will be preparing for a busy work week, with lots of rain to come. Today is a break until tonight, then welcome back rain.


As the morning progresses, we will see high clouds start to stream in. This will not bring any rain until tonight.

Monday night into Tuesday we will see more rain, likely ½ to 1 inch with 1 more inch in the mountains. It is amazing because San Marcos Pass has received over 21 inches of rain since Sept 1st and 65% of the annual rainfall, and that does not include this week’s rain totals.

Countywide we are at around 50% of annual rainfall.

and 169% of the average for this time of year. needless to say, we are on the right track for above-normal rainfall for the season. Lake levels have not been updated because of the holiday. Nacimento 27% Cachuma 31.7% but all levels totals are growing and will continue to increase. https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Tuesday will be dry, with a small pop-up ridge. This will bring a warmer day with a high in the mid-60s. However, this will be short-lived.

Wednesday the rain starts, this will be like Saturday’s storm, but stronger. Rain will start up Wednesday morning just like Saturday’s system. This is the prefrontal rain and will be on the lighter side bringing another inch of rain. Look out Wednesday night as the Main front arrives. This will be the event, south flow, atmospheric river, and heavy rain. This will bring lots of rain. Coastal 2.5 inches, foothills (Montecito) 4 inches, and the mountains of Santa Ynez over 6 inches of rain.” It will be wild. “

Rain will fall through Thursday then we dry out Friday, for the weekend the storm track continues, but it looks to shift to the north. The rain will be around, but we might see only smaller amounts. The bay area will continue to see lots of rain. Looking into the crystal ball more rain the week of the 9th through Wednesday, but after that, it looks like we might see a break


In the short term, we will see lots of additional rain this week, with flooding possible Wednesday night and Thursday. I will be watching the lake levels all week.

Enjoy one more dry day and the Rose Bowl parade and game today. We will be back Tuesday with the next update

Jack Martin

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Patty Rogers