11/17/19

Good Sunday Morning,

Not a lot of changes from Saturday's forecast. Here is a quick re-cap and El Nino forecast for 2019-2020 season.

Today, hot in Ventura and south to LA with winds 35 to 45 miles an hour. Many areas will see 90s due to off shore winds compressing and heating the air.

As always, high fire danger again.

Even a few records should be broken with the highs of the day. Santa Barbara will be a calm warm 82 degrees.

Monday another great day. Warm, but less wind. Perfect day.

Tuesday, a complete reversal of weather, as a low pressure system drops south.

Tuesday night and Wednesday, the rain chance increases. Low pressure should bring rain chance starting around 4am.

The models really have no agreement with this system. One takes it East, that gives us less rain. The other take it west, and we get more.

Regardless, Santa Barbara and north will be on the dryer side with around 1/10 of an inch at this point. Areas south, the totals climb to ¼ to 1/3 of an inch.

The facts will come clearer on Monday morning.

Stay Turned.

Now El Nino.

It is looking like we will have a warmer winter with average rain fall here in southern California. El Nino is neutral for us, so this means average rain.

Here is the report:

https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/winter-outlook-warmer-than-average-for-many-wetter-in-north

This shows all of the United States.

Enjoy a great Sunday and get outdoors!