Tuesday 2/12/2019
Good Tuesday morning,
It looks like we have a pretty good plan now for the next weather system.
Today will be the warmest day of the month to date. Oddly it will still be below normal temps for this time of the year.
What this means is, everyday this month has been below normal temps. This trend will likely continue for the next 7 days.
As far as rain goes, it looks like it will hold off until after midnight.
Light rain will start up in the central coast, then more south arriving in our back yard around dawn.
Here is what it looks like now:
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/h5-loop-wv.html
Wednesday is going to be wet. The subtropical jet will be right over us.
Typically we could see heavy rain, but because of some east winds in the area this will keep the rain moderate with .25 to .50 per hour.
Rain will taper Wednesday night, then start up again on Thursday. Rain totals are still looking to be 1 to 2 inches coastal and 2 to 4 inches mountains.
Some south facing mountains can see greater than 4 inches.
This is all good, because spread light to moderate rain will keep the streams flowing right into Lake Cachuma. With no flooding.
Rain tapers off Friday with only a few showers possible.
The weekend looks to be mostly dry, some light showers are possible at times.
Monday we look to start a dry pattern. For how long is still to be determined, but at least the first 2 days.
Ok your up to date.... 20 hours before more rains fill our lakes ...
Lake Cachuma is at 51.7% as of this morning.
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