January 2nd, 2019

By Jack Martin on Jan 02, 2019 at 08:07 PM

The holidays are over, and it is time to make 2019 a productive year.

The weather during the holiday has been cold, but dry.

I feel like I have been singing the same record for the past 2 weeks.

We will have 2 more days of the same. Cooler days and colder nights, then it all begins to change.

Friday will be transition day, then we open the door for a series of storms.

The first will arrive Saturday, which is 900 miles north west of Hawaii. This will arrive as a cut -off low.

We have not talked about this type of storm in awhile, but they are not real predictable on timing and strength.

If sub tropical is pulled into the picture, the rainfall is enhanced.

At this point, the models are still all over the map.

From 2/10 to 2 inches. Between you and I, cut-off lows drop a lot of rain or very little.

I think rain totals will begin to climb in the next few days, and 1 to 2 inches is more likely.

Behind that, there is at least 1 more storm for next week. This storm is suppose to be stronger then the first.

So it looks like we will get into a wet pattern:

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html 

For what it is worth, predictions for January rain fall is greater then normal.  Expect around 6 inches for the month.

We will see how it all develops.

More  to come, and happy New Year.