Tuesday Morning

By Jack Martin on Feb 27, 2018 at 04:08 PM

Good morning,

Looks like the low is right over us right now. You can see it spinning counter clockwise.


Most of the rain is off shore, but the best chance of rain for us will be in the next 3 hours. After that, the storm will move south and east.


This was another system that teased us, but did not perform. Rain totals to this point have been less than 1/10 of an inch.

We still have rain chances this morning, but it will clear up this afternoon. We will then remain dry throughout Thursday day time.

Thursday night through Friday, we are looking at a good storm with southern flow and a subtropical connection. This system is looking better as time rolls on. We are looking now for 1 to 1 1/2 inches and 2 inches in the mountains. Heaviest rain rates will be 1/3 to 1/2 inch per hour. They will need to keep an eye on Montecito burn areas, but remember the mud flow had 1/2 an inch of rain in 5 minutes. The max rate is 12 times less than the Jan 9th event. Creeks will flow, but not like rivers.

The weekend is looking dry, but cool. As a matter of fact, all days will stay cool with highs in the 50s or low 60s at best. 

Ok, have a great day.

Stay tuned.