Prophetic

Good Thursday morning,

Can you believe it has been a month since we have seen any rain and worse that it was rain that created the biggest disaster that I have ever witnessed?

Also who would ever think we would have no rain between Jan 9th to now. This is our rainy season. Well not this year.

Well, it looks like the long dry period might be coming to an end next week. Rain is in the forecast for late Monday through Thursday. This is still a ways out and confidence is low at this point, but rain is in the forecast.

For now, today will be the last hot day. We will begin a good cool down through the weekend. Cool at night, but upper 60s and low 70s during the day. Looks like Saturday will bring us back low clouds and fog. Rain word comes into play late Monday. This could have some sub-tropical component with it.

Stay tuned…

Amazing, it has been 1 month since the start of the rains. This is Monday morning’s forecast, right when the first rain started to drop lightly. The disaster came 18 hours later.

Interesting for me to read this back, who would have known the real outcome. 

Weather Report from January 8, 2018

“Monday morning to all,

Well this is going to be an interesting day to watch. It looks like the lighter rain is starting everywhere but Santa Barbara right now. It smells like rain outside, it should start here soon. This is all thanks to moisture being pulled up from the subtropical jet.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html

Today we will see light rain and lighter winds from the south. 10 to 15 miles an hour. The core of the storm is still to the northwest. You can see it well defined with the colors on the satellite picture. This part of the storm will arrive later tonight into Tuesday morning. In LA, commuter traffic on Tuesday will be a nightmare. 

The heavy rain from the storm comes over night. It will get pretty wild. We will see flooding in the burn areas, just how much mud is mixed with the water is yet to come.

Carpentaria will be impacted the most, followed by the San Ysidro Rd, Ramero Canyon, and Sycamore Canyon areas. Creeks are going to be flowing like rivers.

Heavy rains should taper off by late morning Tuesday. Expect showers after that until Wednesday morning. You will know when the rain is going to end, by the wind . It will change from south to north.

Wednesday through the weekend will be dry, and mostly sunny. This will give us a chance to clean up the mess.

Rain totals

• SB 3 inches
• Costal 1 to 3 inches
• Foothills 4 to 7 inches
• South facing mountains 9 inches

Lots of wind for all tonight, 30 to 60 miles an hour overnight.

Have a great day, rain today will not be that bad. Look out Tuesday morning.”

30 days later, and the cleanup is not even close to being done.

San Ysidro creek was 200 feet wide at Park Lane West.

Wider at Glen Oaks.

So sad, this will change the area forever.