Jack's Weather Report

Good Sunday morning and October 1st,

Not much rain fell yesterday, because the low pressure system decided to track a little further inland. We received barely a trace of rain. With Refugio pass receiving .008

This morning the rain is blowing through to the south, but with only a small amount, if any. Today will still be quite cool with temps 10 to 20 degrees below normal.

If you are waking up in santa Ynez it is a chilly 45 degrees. 58 in SB. Highs today will be in the 60s.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=34.109,-122.448,6.51z/date=2023-10-01,02:40,-7

Monday the big warm up begins with October bringing us above normal temps all week long. Expect off shore flow and 80s coastal, 90s in the valleys and interiors close to 100 degrees.

Back to summer for next week!

Jack Martin

Good damp Friday morning,

Changes are in the air this morning, with more to come. Today some are waking up to some drizzle and others to fog. Today will be foggy and damp with low clouds most of the day. It will be cooler today and through the weekend. Highs in the 60s to low 70s.

The real changes will start tonight as the low pressure system to the north drops towards us. Tonight the the drizzle will start for most.

Saturday morning you will wake to wet streets and roofs. Saturday the rain chances climb with light rain likely. Not a lot of rain is expected, but 1/4 of an inch or less. Even some snow in the mountains.

This is more November like weather than September.

Sunday remains cool and damp, but the low pressure system will move east.

Next week October moves in and so does warmer weather. It looks like we will see a 180 to warmer and above normal temps most of next week.

Bottom line, it will be a damp and cool weekend. Break out your light jackets for a few days.

Did you see the full moon last night, it really lit up the skies!

Have a great weekend,

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

A cool down today and into the weekend is the story over the next 4 days. Today we will be the first day of change. Cooling will not be crazy today, but you will feel the difference over the past 3 days.

North – South flow will bring a low-pressure weather system to the area for the weekend. https://zoom.earth/

Friday the marine layer deepens, and thicker fog will affect our weather. Highs will be in the upper 60s to 70 along the coast, and not much warmer in the valleys.

Friday night and Saturday the marine layer really deepens, and the low-pressure system descends over us.

Saturday we are looking at drizzle and light rain is possible. With cloudy skies all day, rain chances are at 30% but I expect it to be quite damp Saturday.

Sunday will also be cooler, with the fog and drizzle in the morning. It will be wet and damp all weekend.

Low pressure starts to move East Sunday night, and next week we will see a nice warm up.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Another week and month is flying by. September leaves this week and October arrives on Sunday.

Today will be the last warm day, before we go back to below normal temps. Today will be the warmest day in the next 7 days.

Tonight more sundowner winds as pressure gradience changes.

Thursday on shore flow returns and so does cooler temps, 3 to 5 degrees cooler.

Friday, I like what the national weather services says “ riday will be like Thursday, but super charged “ This means deeper marine layer and cooler.

Friday night and Saturday a cut off low forms and will drop through the area. This will bring a very slight chance for rain, more like light rain and drizzle.

Looks like 1/10 of an inch is possible, there is not much moisture to support this system and at the most ¼ of an inch. It is really more of a drizzle or light rain, pretty much like all of September has been.

Our weather is more like a late November than September.

Next week we start October, it will start out cooler with typical fog and low clouds in the mornings. As the week progresses the forecast is not clear. We could see some Santa Ana winds and a warmup, but models are not confident on this, so we will wait and see.

In the meantime today is the last day of warm, and sundowner winds in our area is more likely.

Thursday through Sunday a series of low-pressure systems will keep us cool and possibly damp.

Jack Martin

Good Monday morning,

Not a lot of excitement for us this week, but look at this massive low in the Pacific Northwest that will affect from the Bay Area north into Canada this week.
https://zoom.earth/

Traveling to the Pacific northwest will require an umbrella, rain coat and jacket, because it will be wet and chilly through Thursday.

For us we will just see cooler temps today, some sundowner north winds Tuesday and Wednesday evening. It was chilly last night with a cool 54 degree start at my house which is within a mile from the beach. Santa Ynez you need a jacket at 52 degrees right now. That’s quite chilly for this time of the year. Highs today will be in the mid 70s. It looks like a warming trend will begin Tuesday through Friday. It looks like upper 70s to upper 80s in the valleys through Thursday.

Friday low pressure will create onshore flow, fog and some drizzle into the weekend as a cut off low moves over our area. This should move east Sunday and high pressure will build in again.

It is very Fall like out there with chilly nights then the days warm up into the 80s in the valleys.

I hope everyone had a great weekend, Enjoy your week.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

A few interesting facts for today. Today is the equinox where we will have 12 hours of day light and 12 hours of darkness. Sadly, the days are getting shorter and November 5th is right around the corner when we turn our clocks a head and days really get shorter.

You can see some high clouds streaming over us thanks to former tropical storm Kenneth
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=32.96,-119.3,5.33z

Today high clouds and a very slight warm up. A few degrees of warming. High around 68 in SB. If you going to maroon 5 show you better pack a light jacket.

Santa Ynez will be a little warmer at 75 degrees.
The weekend will be good, but still cooler, highs in SB around the low 70s and valleys upper 70s to 80 degrees.

No exciting change for next week, still cooler until Wednesday when we get high pressure and warmer temps.

Enjoy the weekend, mark your calendar for 12:30 pm Saturday when Oregon Ducks meets Primetime and Colorado. It should be a great game. I say Oregon by 14 points.

Have a great weekend! See you at Maroon 5 later this afternoon if you going, it should be fun on the cliffs of Padaro Lane.

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

Another day of unseasonable cool weather, with high temps only 60s.

This is thanks to low-pressure rolling into our neck of the woods https://zoom.earth/.

This has brought in the marine layer at 5000 feet, this thicker marine layer will squeeze out some drizzle in some locations at around 20% for 05/100 of an inch, meaning just damp streets where it happens. The main thing today will be temps 10 to 20 degrees below normal. The low rolls through this afternoon and Friday will bring a slight warmup.

Still below normal temps but just 5 to 10 degrees. Saturday the remnants of tropical storm Kenneth will throw some high clouds our way. Nothing more then that with a pretty sunset Saturday night.

Sunday should be mostly clear and warmer as weak high pressure rolls in and warms us up. Sunday should be the nicest day of the past 7.

Monday another low starts its way down from the pacific northwest, bringing another round of cooler weather. no rain.

Wednesday looks like we might start a warmup through the rest of the week. In the meantime we will see if the drizzle starts up in the next few hours, regardless it will be quite a cool day.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday evening,

Yes a rare late afternoon weather update. It was an extremely busy day and I did not have a chance to sent the forecast till now, but I wanted to give the heads up on the damp morning that is coming Thursday.

The second low pressure system will drop south and create drizzle and light rain for us. Nothing crazy, but 05/100 of an inch is possible Thursday morning with light rain and drizzle. Here is the system dropping south
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=33.5,-144.2,3.68z

Thursday will be very cool with temps 15 to 20 degrees below normal with many areas with highs only in the 60s. It will be a damp start to the day.

Friday we will start a slight warm up thought the weekend. This might bring us to normal temps but barely. The past 7 days have been below normal temps and will continue for the next few days.

Warmer weather goes away next week as another Pacific Northwest storm affects the weather. No rain any further south the Northern California, but back to cooler weather. Button line, I can’t believe this is September. Crazy weather the past 2 months.

El Nino is coming, it should be a interesting January and February

Good thing is we still are 3 months to get ready.

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning, 

A low-pressure system is just offshore spinning west of point conception. 

This system will move East tonight and cause some sundowner winds. 30 to 40 miles an hour at Gaviota and Goleta  https://zoom.earth/

Wednesday another low-pressure system will work its way from Canada toward us and deepen the marine layer once again, creating low clouds, fog, and drizzle possible, especially Thursday. It will also be quite cool with temps only in the 70s. 

Friday we finally start to move towards normal weather for this time of year. Temps will start to rebound for the weekend as high pressure takes over. It looks like a nice weekend, but a very slight chance for some subtropical moisture from the south. 

We will wait on that for now. Temps will still be slightly below normal for the weekend.

This morning was a cool start to the day, with 59 degrees. Highs today will be in the low to mid-70s. 

Enjoy a cool Tuesday and the rest of the work week 

Jack Martin

Just funky weather for September lingers through next week. 

Just crazy to think that our highs will be in the low 70s coastal and mid-70s in the valleys most of the week. 

Low pressure is off the central coast creating cool temps, fog and drizzle the next few days. Temps will be 4 to 8 degrees below normal along the coast and 8 to 15 degrees below normal in the valleys. Yesterday Paso Robles had a high of 76 degrees. Typically more like  96 this time of year. This is good news for outside workers. 

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=25,-133,4.1z

This low will move out and be replaced by another one Wednesday creating the same pattern all over again until Friday. 

On Friday we start to come out of this funk and we will gradually warm up, but it will be early the week after before we return to normal temps. 

Hard to believe that September has been this cool, we will see what October brings, but in my eyes, October is the best month of the year. 

Enjoy the cool weather, you might need a sweatshirt  

Jack Martin