11/8/23

Good Wednesday morning, 

Last night it was all about the winds. They blew pretty hard all night at my house from the northwest. This was all from a storm system to the north that only brushed us with the winds. 
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=192&y=117&site=lox&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=192&map_y=117

Today it is all about the shift of the winds to the northeast as another Santa Ana event begins late this morning and runs though Thursday.

Expect high fire danger and wind of 50 miles an hour. Temps each day will be on the rise, but in wind sheltered areas like Santa Ynez expect freezing temps at night, the next 2. 

Friday brief onshore flow then another off shore event for the weekend making Saturday and Sunday fantastic warm days with 80s for highs. 

Next week, the great weather shifts to a rainy and wet week. Monday is transition day where onshore and cooling will begin. 

Tuesday mid to high clouds will roll in, rain possible Tuesday evening on the central coast. 

Wednesday though Friday, it is not about if it will rain, it is about how much and when.

All areas will see some rain likely starting Wednesday. How much is still in question, but models are beginning to agree that we will see the first significant rain of the season. Right now 2 to 4 inches is the bench mark. At this point it is still too far out to know if this will be the amount of rainfall, but it will rain. 

The good news is we have a week to prepare, however you need to. 

Enjoy the great weekend and weather the rest of this week, change is coming.

Jack Martin