Jack's Weather Report

Good Saturday morning,

A great weekend ahead with nice winter weather, highs in the low 60s and lows at night in the 30s to low 40s.

Tonight a weak system passes through and brings light rain to SLO, 1/10th of an inch. Here nothing, only some wind.

Sunday a nice day with warming 2 to 3 degrees. https://zoom.earth/

Next week not a lot of excitement, another weak low passes Wednesday, but looks to affect only SLO, here dry all week.

This pattern continues through Friday at least, but the extended forecast is looking like rain will return starting the week of the 19 of January.

These are the words of the national weather service.

The mostly dry pattern will likely persist through next Friday. We may enter a wetter pattern as early as next weekend with the Climate Prediction Center indicating a 40-50 percent chance of above normal rainfall in the 6-10 day period (Jan 18-22).

Enjoy one more week of dry weather the pattern will be changing likely next weekend.

Jack Martin

Ok now it is really Friday,

It is a chilly start to our morning 30 degrees in Santa Ynez and low 40s in SB.

Today will be a cold start, but plenty of warming with the sunshine. Today will be warmer than yesterday, highs in the lower 60s.

As The weekend is approaching Saturday will be similar to today chilly night and low 60s during the day. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/

Saturday night, a weak low pressure system approaches and the affects will only be felt on the central coast. Here, no rain, just cool and some wind.

It looks like Sunday we will see some Santa Ana winds and warming day time temps.

Looking into next week we will see continued dry weather through Wednesday and at this point likely the rest of the week.

If you look at the graphic, you can see all the atmospheric moisture is remaining to the north. Keeping us dry and our friend in the north quite wet with lots of rain and snow.

The AR will sag south at some point likely the week of 22nd and we will return to winter rainy season. Stay tuned and have a great weekend

For those that follow lake levels we are sitting pretty good for the first half of January, even with little rainfall https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Good Friday morning,

Wind and more wind through the day. You can see the clouds on Zoom Earth, which indicates lots of wind.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.6,-110.8,4z

Today the low passes through and the wind continues. North winds through the day and light snow on north-facing mountains. No rain for us just chilly and windy. 

Making the forecast easy, this trend will continue through next Wednesday. Periods of wind, cold temps, and some warming in between. No rain for the next week. 

Have a great day and enjoy the dry cold winter weather. It will change I promise.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Crazy that 1 year ago yesterday we had the wild storm with flooding everywhere. It was a far cry from last year. The current weather is all about sunshine, cold and winds as another dry and cold low drops into the interior of California.
https://zoom.earth/

This will bring lots of wind and some light snow on north mountains. Mountains should expect 45 to 55 mile an hour winds tonight with 80 mile an hour gusts. It will be quite cold and wild winds. Not a good place to be.

It looks like our dry weather will continue through the next week, with a few more inside sliders that will really keep us cold, windy and sunny.

This is great news for my sewer project at my house in Santa Ynez, but bottom line this will change and we will get back to El Niño.

It is still early in our rainy season and I do expect wild rains to return before the end of January.

In the mean time, dress warm and be ready for wind. Winds will be felt everywhere tonight and Saturday night.

It sure is pretty and clear out there.

Jack Martin

A week into the new year, I think I am finally getting it down to write a 24 after the date.

It is cold out there. 36 in Santa Ynez and 49 here, and it is only getting colder this week. Just look at the lows in the 20s in the valley. Highs will be in the upper 50s to 60 degrees
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.03501176834101&lat=34.61117088969736

Looking at the forecast the next 7 days there is just not a lot happening. Sunny, cold days and nights most of the week with below normal temps.

Rain chances are low and if we do see any rain through the week it will be very light.

Rain chances start Wednesday night, with a weak system just like Saturday's. An inside slider. Saturday nights system we saw lot of wind, but only .001 to .003 of rain.

This will be another result of the same with Wednesday night system. After that our next shot of rain will be Saturday into Sunday, however there is no agreement on the long range models. The only agreement is it will be on the lighter side if we do see rain.

Bottom line, cold and dry is pretty much what to expect this week. Frost on roofs is likely in the valleys and some foothills. Be careful on those roofs 😂 leave it to the pros.

Have a great week, don’t forget the game tonight Huskies Vs Michigan should be a good one. As I check off my boxes of teams, between the 2, I will root for the huskies... And what was the pac 12.

Have a great week, bring a jacket and maybe gloves

The first weekend in 2024 is approaching.

Today we start out with cooler weather and some high clouds over head. No real excitement to report other the minor winds.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=35.9,-107,4z

Saturday an inside slider will drop south. This is a very weak system that should not result in any rain, but it will become quite windy, especially in the mountains. Expect north and northwest winds with gusts in the mountains of 60 to 70 miles an hour. Less Breezy at lower elevations but still windy.

Where wind is not a factor, cold will there will be some areas with freezing temps

Once that system blow though Sunday we are off to good weather through at least Wednesday. High pressure and some off shore winds will warm us up to the low to mid 60s.

Wednesday night into Thursday another weak system that will bring little rain, if any.

It is looking like next week will remain dry for the most part.

Beyond that models are struggling with long range forecast. At this point it looks like we could get back into a wet pattern the middle of January.

Have a great Friday and enjoy your weekend.

Jack Martin

Good Wednesday morning,

Over night we had rain. We received anywhere from 1/3 to 2/3 of an inch.
Not a huge rain maker, but today will be about the cold air, wind and showers.

Satellite shows the front has moved into LA but the cold air is just arriving. If you look at the little dots out in the pacific that’s the cold air and showers.
https://zoom.earth/

Not a lot more rain today, but some showers are likely. These will be in the form of snow above 4500 feet and showers below. These clouds will not hold much moisture because of the cold air. Expect shower chances through 10pm tonight.

Thursday and Friday will be dry and colder. Highs will barely make 60.

Saturday the next system moves in Saturday night. This is looking like it will be further inland so rainfall will likely be light if any, but don’t bet the house at this point, just stay tuned.

Enjoy the winter day and high surf. Thursday morning it will appear you can reach out and touch the islands because of the crystal clear skies from this wind and rain affect.

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning 2024,

This week winter arrives with the coldest storms of the the season. We will see a 1-2 punch tonight and Saturday night
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.3,-164,4z/date=2024-01-02,01:30,-8

This week will be a chilly one with highs along the coast only 60 degrees on Wednesday and snow levels at 4500 feet.
Today we will see sunshine with some high clouds mixed in and highs in the lower 60s.

Tonight the cold storm system moves in. Rain and snow 5000 feet and above. Some snow will fall on the grape vine. Rain should be on the lighter side with 1/2 to 3/4 locally and SLO county could see an inch.

This is a cold system and not a lot of moisture to work with. Rain will start over night tonight and Wednesday. It will be all over by Thursday.

Looks like Thursday through Saturday day will be dry, before the next system moves in with additional rain late Saturday night into Sunday.

This one will also be moisture starved and take a more inland track.

Expect 1/0 to 1/4 out of Sunday system.

Next week it looks like a ridge will build in and keep storms away for most of next week.

Happy 2024, let’s get out there and do it another year!

Jack Martin

Happy new year!

I hope everyone is having a great new years morning.

The start of 2024 will bring us 2 days of sunshine, but chilly weather.

The low pressure system that drifted by us yesterday is near San Diego and really did nothing but bring us cloudy skies and cooler temps.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=26,-114.7,4.7z/date=2024-01-01,03:00,-8

Today and Tuesday we will be sunny and cool with highs in the low 60s.

Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning we are looking at another rain event. Colder air the snow level will drop to 4500 feet and bring snow to the resorts.

There is not a lot of moisture with this next system, so it will be a 1 day event with 1/2 to 1 1/2 inch of rain.

Thursday the rain clears out and we will likely see dry chilly weather into Saturday.

Then Saturday night into Sunday another shot of rain. This one is even weaker then Wednesday's system and is looking to take a more inland track, which will make it moisture starved. Expect another 1/2 inch at this point.

Enjoy your New Year’s Day, sunny and clear out there right now.

High today around 63 degrees

Jack Martin

Good New Year’s Eve morning,

I am sure everyone is counting down the minutes till the new year. However I thought we would end 2023 with some stats.
Cachuma lake is 91% full with Gibraltar and many other reservoirs full.

Rain totals for the season at this point are 114% of normal.

Yesterday's storm brought everyone 1 inch of rain. Some Mountain locations saw 2 inches.
https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Today you will see cloudy skies most of the day with a chance of rain later today and tonight. This is a very weak system, where it does rain expect 1/10 or less.

Monday and Tuesday look dry, but Wednesday a stronger system will move in in the early morning in SLO and late morning on SB and Ventura. rain totals will be 1/2 to 1 1/2 inches.

Thursday the rain clears out and it looks Like a dry few days, with another system Sunday. At this point it looks to be weaker, but we are still too far out to make that call.

In the mean time, enjoy your last day of 2023 and we will talk in the new year 😂

Happy new years to All “Cheers”

Jack Martin