Jack's Weather Report

Good Saturday morning,

Looks like lull in the rain for the rest of today. Everyone has received around a half an inch coastal the hills 3/4 of an inch Santa Ynez and Lake Cachuma less than a quarter so far
https://www.weather.gov/lox/LAXRRMSBA

Today some light rain and drizzle but accumulation of no more than 1/10 to a quarter of an inch.

Tonight we’ll get another round of rain. Rain will pick up tonight overnight then on Sunday we’ll see another lull before heavier rain comes in again on Sunday night and Monday.

All in all, everything is on track for 1 to 3 inches along the coast 2 to 5 inches in the mountains during the period of Friday night through Monday night

This is not a huge storm, but will make a decent impact on the area.

Tuesday through the end of the week looks to be dry.

Enjoy the indoor activities this weekend probably watching football or if you’re not into football then movies iy is!

Have a nice weekend. Talk to you soon.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

It is funny, I am watching the news in the background, and it is crazy cold and snowy around the country. I am glad I do not live there.

For us it is the Last day of the work week will be a busy day at Action. As everyone is aware by now, we have rain on the way.

Today, lots of clouds, but no rain until tonight. The low-pressure system is 650 miles west of San Francisco right now https://zoom.earth/

This will move over us throughout the day and rain will begin on the central coast late in the afternoon and arrive north to south late tonight into Saturday.

Rain will really come in a few waves, but for the most part we will see good rainfall totals through Monday.

Tonight through Sunday evening it will rain, but on and off. All in all over the 2-day period Friday night to Sunday evening .75 to 1.5 inches is expected coastal.

Less in LA, more on south facing mountains where 2 to 4 are possible.

Sunday night the second wave will arrive. This will start Sunday night and last through Monday night and will bring another .75 to 2 inches of rain.

All in all, over the entire storm system through Monday night we can see 1 to 2 inches coastal. 2 to 4 inches in the foothills and 4 to 6 inches in SLO and south facing mountains.

South flow will give higher rain totals to the Santa Barbara area. We will see how much falls, but 2 plus inches is likely.

Snow levels will remain around 6500 feet and snow accumulation of 8 to 16 inches. After that clearing Tuesday through the rest of the week.

Enjoy the first wet weekend of 2024.

Jack Martin

Good Friday morning,

It is funny, I am watching the news in the background, and it is crazy cold and snowy around the country. I am glad I do not live there.

For us it is the Last day of the work week will be a busy day at Action. As everyone is aware by now, we have rain on the way.

Today, lots of clouds, but no rain until tonight. The low-pressure system is 650 miles west of San Francisco right now https://zoom.earth/

This will move over us throughout the day and rain will begin on the central coast late in the afternoon and arrive north to south late tonight into Saturday.

Rain will come in a few waves, but for the most part, we will see good rainfall totals through Monday.

Tonight through Sunday evening it will rain, but on and off. All in all over the 2-day period Friday night to Sunday evening .75 to 1.5 inches is expected coastal.

Less in LA, more on south-facing mountains where 2 to 4 are possible.

Sunday night the second wave. This will start Sunday night and last through Monday night and will bring another .75 to 2 inches of rain.

All in all, over the entire storm system through Monday night we can see 1 to 2 inches coastal . 2 to 4 inches in the foothills, and 4 to 6 inches in SLO and south-facing mountains.

The south flow will give higher rain totals to the Santa Barbara area. We will see how much falls, but 2 plus inches is likely.

Snow levers will remain around 6500 feet and snow accumulation of 8 to 16 inches. After that clearing Tuesday through the rest of the week.

Enjoy the first wet weekend of 2024. 

Jack Martin

Good Thursday morning,

As always another week flying by. It’s crazy to think back when I was young. Days seemed to last forever and those car rides were a lifetime, even if it was 2 hours in time🤔.

Today we are looking at a nice day with lows only in the 40s with some low 50s to start the day. Highs will range from the lower 60s to upper 60s.

This is thanks to high pressure allowing all clouds to rise up and over us.

Friday the ridge moves east and the first low pressure system approaches with rain.

This will arrive Friday afternoon with high clouds, but rain will not start until Friday night.

Friday night into Saturday we will see rain, but lighter. Rain will be on and off with only 1/4 to 1/2 inch through the period.

Saturday night and Sunday Day will be cloudy, but dry for the most part.

Sunday night and most of Monday is when the stronger system arrives. This will be a good rain maker, but snow levels will remain at around 7000 feet. Resorts will see snow, but none locally. Rain will be 1 to 2 inches coastal 2 to 4 in the mountains with south facing mountains getting the most because of the counterclockwise rotation and subtropical moisture. Rain rates should stay under 1/2 inch per hour, so downtown flooding is not a factor.

Enjoy the fun, it is the rainy season. The good news is Tuesday through the rest of next week will be dry again. I love California weather. When it rains it really does. I will take this over Seattle drizzle 250 days a year, or at least it seems like that.

Jack Martin

Good Tuesday morning,

This will be a quick update.

Today warm temps and some high clouds floating over us as a low-pressure system approaches from the north. https://zoom.earth/

Tonight and Wednesday some lighter rain in SLO and northern Santa Barbara county. Lompoc and possibly Santa Ynez, but 1/10th or less

Thursday and Friday a ridge builds in. Warm temps in the 60s

Saturday through Monday rain for all. This is a warmer system so snow level 6000 feet. Rain will come in 2 or 3 different periods through the weekend.

Next Tuesday a ridge builds in.

The preliminary rainfall forecast is for Friday through Monday. Timeframe (subject to frequent revision) call for 1 to 2 inches, with 2 to 4 inches across the southwest facing slopes and 5+ inches over NW SLO county.

Good Monday morning,

I thought I would start off the week with lake levels and rain totals and percentages for the season and year. As you know we have basically had little to no rain for the last few weeks and this is the heart of our rainy season. Even with the lack of recent rains we are still around normal because of the big storm before Christmas.

Here are the numbers:
Gibralter Reservoir: 96.4%
Cachuma Reservoir: 90.6%
Jameson Reservoir: 100.3%

Now for our forecast. this week is starting out warmer with lows today in the 40s and highs in the upper 60s. This is quite nice for this time of year and the good weather will continue through Friday. Wednesday a weak storm passes but nothing to note.
Dry through Friday.

Friday night through the weekend the storm door opens. We will see 3 days of rain chances and likely 1/2 to 1 inch and 2 inches on south facing mountains.

These are early numbers, but time will tell, as we get into the week.

Basically the party is ending and we will resume the typical wet pattern that we find in January and February each year. This does not mean rain every day, but generally we get a week or so of rain then a break for a week. This will likely be the case all the way through February and into March.

We are in an El Niño year...Enjoy the dry weather this week, it will be a wet weekend

Jack Martin

Good Sunday morning,

Winter is crazy right now around the country, while it seems cold here, that is not the case. Just watching football yesterday showed you how cold it was elsewhere. The chiefs game started at 0 degrees and ended with negative 8 and wind chill of 38 below. Now that is freezing cold.

For us spoiled and over taxed folks in Southern California, 30s for a low and mid 60s for highs looks pretty sweet compared to the rest of the country.

This next work week’s weather is looking just fine. Lots of sun, no rain, cold mornings, warm days in the sun and some wind at times through Friday.

Now we will talk about the change. It does look like we will be getting into a wet pattern starting as soon as next Saturday. We will get back into a wet pattern for likely at least a week. Our Rainy seasons seem to roll with very wet weather for a few weeks followed by dry for another week or so. Starting next Saturday it looks like a wet rainy pattern will develop. We are in the 2 wettest months in our season for rain. January and February are typically very wet.

We are in El Niño if you have forgotten due to the dry weather. This season is still on track to be as wet or wetter than last season.

Get anything wrapped up that requires dryness because the wet weather is going to return quickly.

Enjoy 6 More days of dry, next weekend will change.

Have a great Sunday

Jack Martin

Good Saturday morning,

A great weekend ahead with nice winter weather, highs in the low 60s and lows at night in the 30s to low 40s.

Tonight a weak system passes through and brings light rain to SLO, 1/10th of an inch. Here nothing, only some wind.

Sunday a nice day with warming 2 to 3 degrees. https://zoom.earth/

Next week not a lot of excitement, another weak low passes Wednesday, but looks to affect only SLO, here dry all week.

This pattern continues through Friday at least, but the extended forecast is looking like rain will return starting the week of the 19 of January.

These are the words of the national weather service.

The mostly dry pattern will likely persist through next Friday. We may enter a wetter pattern as early as next weekend with the Climate Prediction Center indicating a 40-50 percent chance of above normal rainfall in the 6-10 day period (Jan 18-22).

Enjoy one more week of dry weather the pattern will be changing likely next weekend.

Jack Martin

Ok now it is really Friday,

It is a chilly start to our morning 30 degrees in Santa Ynez and low 40s in SB.

Today will be a cold start, but plenty of warming with the sunshine. Today will be warmer than yesterday, highs in the lower 60s.

As The weekend is approaching Saturday will be similar to today chilly night and low 60s during the day. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/

Saturday night, a weak low pressure system approaches and the affects will only be felt on the central coast. Here, no rain, just cool and some wind.

It looks like Sunday we will see some Santa Ana winds and warming day time temps.

Looking into next week we will see continued dry weather through Wednesday and at this point likely the rest of the week.

If you look at the graphic, you can see all the atmospheric moisture is remaining to the north. Keeping us dry and our friend in the north quite wet with lots of rain and snow.

The AR will sag south at some point likely the week of 22nd and we will return to winter rainy season. Stay tuned and have a great weekend

For those that follow lake levels we are sitting pretty good for the first half of January, even with little rainfall https://files.countyofsb.org/pwd/hydrology/Rainfall%20Reports/rainfallreport.pdf

Good Friday morning,

Wind and more wind through the day. You can see the clouds on Zoom Earth, which indicates lots of wind.

https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=31.6,-110.8,4z

Today the low passes through and the wind continues. North winds through the day and light snow on north-facing mountains. No rain for us just chilly and windy. 

Making the forecast easy, this trend will continue through next Wednesday. Periods of wind, cold temps, and some warming in between. No rain for the next week. 

Have a great day and enjoy the dry cold winter weather. It will change I promise.

Jack Martin