Good Tuesday morning,
We are on track for a wet Thursday and Thursday night. Take a look at the link, you will see the low to the north in the Gulf of Alaska which is in the driver’s seat.
This low will begin to sag south, and will push a good subtropical jet of clouds over us. The low combined with subtropical jet will create a good rain event for us.
We should see rain starting around 10am Thursday morning in SB. SLO Wednesday night. And Santa Ynez in between. We should see a nice 12 hours of rain with 3 to 6 hours of heavy rain.
To add more fuel to this, we are going to have southeast winds. This will channel the winds into our South facing mountains a squeeze out as much rain as possible. Also wind for us.
This will be the best storm to date this year. Heavier rains will produce much needed run off into our lakes and streams.
In the meantime, expect night and morning clouds and Fog the next 2 days. Also after the fog clears you will see mid-level clouds over head. None of this means rain, until the low drops to the south.
The weekend is looking dry, but cold... or at least below normal temps.
Expected rain totals: SB coastal 1 to 2 inches. Mountains 2 to 4 inches. Other areas that are not south facing will be less. .75 to 1.5 coastal and more in the hills.
Enjoy, this is going to be a good one ...