Monday Morning Update

By Jack Martin on Sep 14, 2015 at 09:13 AM

Is it going to rain?  That is the big question of the day....

So, here is the scoop that we do know. The trough to the north is diving south.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lox/scripts/animate.php?root=sat_16km&list=IR16.GIF.3.jpg,IR16.GIF.4.jpg,IR16.GIF.5.jpg,IR16.GIF.6.jpg,IR16.GIF.7.jpg,IR16.GIF.8.jpg

With moisture from Linda waiting for the low to arrive, the combination of the 2 will create rain.

The biggest problem is that computer models do not handle southerly moisture very well. This is causing all models to be in disagreement with one another.

On top of that the radar for Vandenberg is down, so we cannot see the rain coming in.

What we think will happen is rain will develop later in the day. For us in Santa Barbara there is even a slight chance today. Rain becomes more likely tonight and into Tuesday.

How much?

Not really sure...1/4 of an inch is something that was being talked about for us. And double that in LA area. The LA mountains are looking at up to an inch of rain.

But sadly only time will tell...The models are not really sure.

So of course we will get ready for rain today, and we will see what the night time brings.

Rain chances continue on Tuesday, with clearing Wednesday through the rest of the week.

Things will warm up again at the end of the week

Have a great day, we will hope for rain tonight!      

- Jack Martin